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Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 109-133
34-31 12-36 36-40 27-26
Position#29
Record15-44
FormWLLLL
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game119.2
vs
Position#14
Record28-31
FormWLLWW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game113.4
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Charlotte Hornets
08 Mar 2027
IND v CHA
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
IND109
CHA133
19 Nov 2025
IND127
CHA118
02 Apr 2025
IND119
CHA105
08 Dec 2024
IND109
CHA113
20 Dec 2023
IND144
CHA113
04 Nov 2023
IND124
CHA125
08 Jan 2023
IND116
CHA111
26 Jan 2022
IND126
CHA158
29 Dec 2021
IND108
CHA116
18 May 2021
IND144
CHA117
02 Apr 2021
IND97
CHA114
25 Feb 2020
IND119
CHA80
15 Dec 2019
IND107
CHA85
11 Feb 2019
IND99
CHA90
20 Jan 2019
IND120
CHA95
10 Apr 2018
IND93
CHA119
29 Jan 2018
IND105
CHA96
15 Mar 2017
IND98
CHA77
12 Dec 2016
IND110
CHA94
26 Feb 2016
IND95
CHA96
10 Feb 2016
IND95
CHA117
03 Apr 2015
IND93
CHA74
19 Nov 2014
IND88
CHA86
13 Dec 2013
IND99
CHA94
13 Feb 2013
IND101
CHA77
12 Jan 2013
IND96
CHA88
19 Feb 2012
IND108
CHA73
07 Jan 2012
IND99
CHA77
09 Feb 2011
IND104
CHA103
10 Dec 2010
IND100
CHA92
16 Mar 2010
IND99
CHA94
16 Dec 2009
IND101
CHA98
25 Jan 2009
IND98
CHA93
28 Nov 2008
IND108
CHA115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
114-118
114
118
-4
108avg 105
H03/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
122-131
122
131
-9
104avg 105
H04/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
99-105
99
105
-6
92avg 105
A07/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
104-122
104
122
-18
89avg 105
A08/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
137-134 OT
137
134
+3
127avg 105
A11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
115-110
115
110
+5
98avg 105
A12/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
105-112
105
112
-7
94avg 105
A20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
118-131
118
131
-13
104avg 105
A21/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
130-134
130
134
-4
116avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
114-135
114
135
-21
90avg 105
H25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
28-39
31-24
27-31
32-25
24-31
33-40
33-35
29-23
18-31
18-29
34-22
20-21
28-25
26-44
30-32
32-33
31-36
31-24
30-31
18-31
35-33
31-26
31-20
24-26
23-33
33-29
25-24
27-22
41-35
24-35
26-39
33-36
33-35
29-32
35-31
38-30
27-45
20-31
29-29
239.0Avg total
115.8Scored
123.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)111.5119.2230.8-7.725%
Season at home (30)114.5118.2232.7-3.733%
Season away (29)108.4120.3228.7-11.817%
Last 10 (10)115.8123.2239.0-7.420%
Last 5 (5)116.4124.4240.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)113.1121.5234.7-8.429%
vs Similar (9)113.7118.1231.8-4.433%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-106
111
106
+5
111avg 106
H31/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 106
H02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
109-99
109
99
+10
99avg 106
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
126-119
126
119
+7
124avg 106
A08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
104-110
104
110
-6
95avg 106
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
110-107
110
107
+3
100avg 106
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
101-105
101
105
-4
96avg 106
H20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-118
113
118
-5
103avg 106
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
129-112
129
112
+17
128avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
131-99
131
99
+32
128avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
35-17
24-28
26-31
23-30
26-34
29-18
24-13
29-26
32-23
30-26
18-24
32-35
28-25
38-30
28-29
33-29
24-32
21-27
26-22
35-27
23-22
31-26
21-32
33-24
19-29
26-27
23-25
20-30
33-29
36-31
24-28
38-37
23-19
44-28
24-28
31-31
25-24
42-16
33-28
220.6Avg total
113.6Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)115.9113.4229.3+2.447%
Season at home (28)113.0113.2226.2-0.243%
Season away (31)118.5113.6232.1+4.852%
Last 10 (10)113.6107.0220.6+6.670%
Last 5 (5)116.8108.2225.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.097.0221.0+27.0100%
vs Similar (14)111.1105.6216.6+5.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)121.4110.8232.2+10.667%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Indiana PacersCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H03/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H04/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A07/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A08/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A12/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A21/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H22/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H25/02
NBA
118.3Avg total
56.9Scored
61.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.561.3117.9-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.763.4123.1-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)53.359.3112.6-5.947%-
Last 10 (10)56.961.4118.3-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)59.865.2125.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)56.862.0118.8-5.143%-
vs Similar (9)55.959.9115.8-4.022%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H31/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/02
NBA
112.1Avg total
56.8Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.453.8112.3+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.956.6113.6+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)59.851.4111.1+8.475%-
Last 10 (10)56.855.3112.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)56.054.4110.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.050.0117.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar (14)55.050.1105.1+4.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)61.157.5118.6+3.560%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 115.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.128.0
57.0%
54.8%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.414.4
36.5%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws21.416.5
77.1%
78.1%16.5
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers54.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.4
48.9%
54.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.618.2
39.1%
35.8%54.6
🏀 Free throws20.718.2
87.9%
78.1%18.2
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LLLLWWLLLL
Charlotte Hornets
WWLLWLWWWW
#29
League position
#14
-6.0
Net rating
+6.8
106.5
Offensive rating
117.2
112.4
Defensive rating
110.4
56.0%
Effective FG%
54.0%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
4.8%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.5%
3-point %
39.1%
67.7%
Assist %
64.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 117.2Defence112.4 · 110.4Shooting56.0% · 54.0%3-point %36.5% · 39.1%Ball care14.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds4.8% · 34.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HPhiladelphia 76ers114-135
22/02/26HDallas Mavericks130-134
21/02/26AWashington Wizards118-131
20/02/26AWashington Wizards105-112
12/02/26ABrooklyn Nets115-110
11/02/26ANew York Knicks137-134 OT
08/02/26AToronto Raptors104-122
07/02/26AMilwaukee Bucks99-105
04/02/26HUtah Jazz122-131
03/02/26HHouston Rockets114-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26AChicago Bulls131-99
22/02/26AWashington Wizards129-112
21/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers113-118
20/02/26HHouston Rockets101-105
12/02/26HAtlanta Hawks110-107
10/02/26HDetroit Pistons104-110
08/02/26AAtlanta Hawks126-119
06/02/26AHouston Rockets109-99
02/02/26HNew Orleans Pelicans102-95
31/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLWWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game111.5114.5108.4
Allowed / game119.2118.2120.3
Point differential-7.7-3.7-11.8
Avg total230.8232.7228.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)42% (12)57% (7)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWWWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592831
Win %47%43%52%
Points / game115.9113.0118.5
Allowed / game113.4113.2113.6
Point differential+2.4-0.2+4.8
Avg total229.3226.2232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%18%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)38% (8)17% (6)
Overtime %5%4%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder58441476%119.2108.3+10.9
2 Detroit Pistons57431475%117.4109.5+7.9
3 San Antonio Spurs56401671%118.2111.7+6.5
4 Boston Celtics58382066%114.4107.5+6.9
5 Houston Rockets57362163%114.7109.1+5.6
6 Denver Nuggets59372263%120.5115.7+4.8
7 Cleveland Cavaliers60372362%119.5115.1+4.4
8 New York Knicks57352261%116.8111.8+5.1
9 Minnesota Timberwolves59362361%119.6115.1+4.5
10 Los Angeles Lakers56342261%115.5115.7-0.1
11 Toronto Raptors58342459%113.8111.7+2.2
12 Phoenix Suns58332557%112.5110.9+1.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers58322655%116.6115.9+0.6
14 Orlando Magic55302555%115.0114.4+0.5
15 Miami Heat58312753%120.2117.1+3.1
16 Golden State Warriors59312853%115.8113.8+2.0
17 Atlanta Hawks60293148%117.0118.0-1.1
18 Charlotte Hornets59283147%115.9113.4+2.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers59283147%115.8118.3-2.6
20 Los Angeles Clippers57273047%112.1112.6-0.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks57263146%112.4115.4-3.1
22 Chicago Bulls59243541%115.8120.4-4.6
23 Memphis Grizzlies57213637%115.4118.1-2.7
24 Dallas Mavericks57213637%114.4117.6-3.2
25 Utah Jazz58184031%118.0125.9-7.9
26 New Orleans Pelicans59174229%114.8120.4-5.6
27 Washington Wizards57164128%112.2122.8-10.5
28 Brooklyn Nets57154226%106.9114.8-7.9
29 Indiana Pacers59154425%111.5119.2-7.7
30 Sacramento Kings60134722%110.1121.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers34123627109
Charlotte Hornets31364026133
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