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Indiana State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-80 (OT)
36-41 35-30 10-9
Position#311
Record7-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#25
Record12-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Indiana State v Belmont
29 Dec 2025
INDI81
BELM80
11 Jan 2025
INDI79
BELM84
13 Jan 2024
INDI94
BELM64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
L
62-100
62
100
-38
A15/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Eureka
#568
W
99-57
99
57
+42
H03/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
99-108 OT
99
108
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-51
30-49
30-25
30-26
27-28
43-24
26-37
47-38
16-36
58-45
52-22
47-35
35-27
42-28
36-39
34-29
41-36
33-38
25-42
40-43
148.1Avg total
74.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.473.2149.6+3.254%
Season at home (6)84.866.0150.8+18.883%
Season away (7)69.179.4148.6-10.329%
Last 10 (10)74.973.2148.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)82.074.6156.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.382.7151.0-14.518%
vs Similar (14)80.478.0158.4+2.450%
vs Weaker (5)85.669.0154.6+16.660%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#121
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
96-49
96
49
+47
H22/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H24/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A30/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H04/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
83-62
83
62
+21
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A17/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-24
50-44
46-25
50-24
36-28
58-29
36-33
51-39
49-31
47-42
43-41
33-43
35-31
48-31
30-43
57-41
41-30
42-48
38-36
46-22
154.6Avg total
86.1Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.970.4153.4+12.586%
Season at home (8)85.169.5154.6+15.688%
Season away (6)80.071.7151.7+8.383%
Last 10 (10)86.168.5154.6+17.690%
Last 5 (5)82.673.2155.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.074.3143.3-5.333%
vs Similar (11)80.574.9155.5+5.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.970.5151.4+10.481%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +11.9+11.9
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +11.9+11.9
Indiana StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A15/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H20/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A28/11
NCAA
Eureka
#568
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A21/12
NCAA
66.3Avg total
32.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.273.8-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.133.670.6+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)34.242.376.5-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)32.034.366.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.271.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.640.971.5-10.318%-
vs Similar (14)37.937.475.3+0.643%-
vs Weaker (5)39.634.874.4+4.860%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#121
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H20/11
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H22/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H24/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A30/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H13/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A17/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A20/12
NCAA
70.1Avg total
37.9Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.672.2+3.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.932.770.6+5.281%-
Last 30 away (14)37.236.773.9+0.571%-
Last 10 (10)37.932.270.1+5.790%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.273.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.333.070.3+4.367%-
vs Similar (11)38.134.072.1+4.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.335.272.6+2.188%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana State wins
3
Belmont wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AIllinois State65-85
19/12/25HBradley99-108 OT
14/12/25AWisc. Milwaukee70-68
07/12/25HSouthern Indiana77-55
03/12/25HEureka99-57
28/11/25AAlcorn State74-81
27/11/25ALouisiana Tech73-75
23/11/25HBall State70-52
20/11/25HLouisiana Tech60-51
15/11/25ADuke62-100
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AUC Irvine84-58
17/12/25AEvansville83-78
13/12/25HIllinois (Chi.)87-84
07/12/25AMiddle Tenn. St.83-62
04/12/25HRichmond Spiders76-84
30/11/25ACharleston96-73
26/11/25HToledo87-72
24/11/25HSt. Francis (PA)94-57
22/11/25HFisk96-49
20/11/25HLipscomb75-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game76.484.869.1
Allowed / game73.266.079.4
Point differential+3.2+18.8-10.3
Avg total149.6150.8148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %86%88%83%
Points / game82.985.180.0
Allowed / game70.469.571.7
Point differential+12.5+15.6+8.3
Avg total153.4154.6151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont1412286%82.970.4+12.5
2 Illinois State1310377%81.067.3+13.7
3 Murray State1310377%89.378.1+11.2
4 Northern Iowa129375%71.258.1+13.1
5 Bradley139469%78.569.5+8.9
6 Drake137654%79.169.2+9.9
7 Indiana State137654%76.473.2+3.2
8 Valparaiso126650%73.371.2+2.2
9 Southern Illinois136746%78.873.5+5.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)135838%77.873.7+4.1
11 Evansville134931%69.472.8-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Indiana State36351081
Belmont4130980
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