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Indiana State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-84
32-42 47-42
Position#254
Record9-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Belmont 🏆
USA
Position#79
Record11-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Indiana State v Belmont
29 Dec 2025
INDI81
BELM80
11 Jan 2025
INDI79
BELM84
13 Jan 2024
INDI94
BELM64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H29/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A30/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A02/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A08/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H19/12
NCAA
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#662
W
101-53
101
53
+48
H21/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
83-103
83
103
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-46
46-40
45-45
38-35
53-31
34-40
36-40
44-37
41-26
43-48
56-19
45-34
47-52
36-51
34-30
48-52
31-36
35-26
40-45
46-41
164.3Avg total
84.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.178.0162.1+6.156%
Season at home (7)88.169.9158.0+18.357%
Season away (9)81.084.3165.3-3.356%
Last 10 (10)84.979.4164.3+5.560%
Last 5 (5)86.881.2168.0+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.487.0167.4-6.60%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.285.2169.4-1.060%
vs Weaker (14)83.666.1149.6+17.586%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#139
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H27/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
H05/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A14/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H20/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A02/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-35
44-31
37-44
46-30
54-45
34-43
38-30
44-49
40-34
53-52
39-25
45-67
21-39
25-26
34-39
36-37
46-43
46-44
43-31
47-55
163.6Avg total
82.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.778.8160.5+2.969%
Season at home (11)85.480.4165.7+5.073%
Season away (5)73.675.4149.0-1.860%
Last 10 (10)82.880.8163.6+2.070%
Last 5 (5)76.481.2157.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.879.0149.8-8.217%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.773.9152.6+4.767%
vs Weaker (8)87.575.2162.8+12.2100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -1.4-1.4
Indiana StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A02/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H19/12
NCAA
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#662
W
56-19
56
19
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A04/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A09/01
NCAA
78.8Avg total
41.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.776.0+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.634.574.1+5.161%-
Last 30 away (12)38.940.078.9-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.078.8+4.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.478.0+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.240.078.2-1.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.341.377.6-5.010%-
vs Weaker (14)41.931.473.2+10.586%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#139
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H29/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H05/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A02/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H09/01
NCAA
76.2Avg total
39.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.273.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.035.174.1+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)36.535.471.9+1.158%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.576.2+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.472.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.736.871.5-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.635.473.0+2.267%-
vs Weaker (8)41.032.673.6+8.475%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana State wins
1
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
01/02/24Belmont v Indiana State72-78
13/01/24Indiana State v Belmont94-64
03/03/23Belmont v Indiana State91-94
23/02/23Belmont v Indiana State89-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25AValparaiso95-98 OT
04/01/25AEvansville66-62
02/01/25HBradley89-90 OT
29/12/24AOhio State83-103
21/12/24HSt. Louis College of Pharmacy101-53
19/12/24HMurray State84-74
08/12/24AMissouri State80-77
02/12/24ATarleton87-71
30/11/24AIona83-80
29/11/24HArkansas State81-86
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HSouthern Illinois90-86
04/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)92-87
02/01/25ANorthern Iowa70-76
29/12/24ADrake46-65
20/12/24HUC Irvine84-92
14/12/24ARichmond Spiders93-86
07/12/24HMiddle Tenn. St.82-79
05/12/24HIllinois State99-97 OT
29/11/24HGardner Webb83-74
27/11/24HTulane89-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%57%56%
Points / game84.188.181.0
Allowed / game78.069.984.3
Point differential+6.1+18.3-3.3
Avg total162.1158.0165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %12%14%11%
Belmont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW69%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %69%73%60%
Points / game81.785.473.6
Allowed / game78.880.475.4
Point differential+2.9+5.0-1.8
Avg total160.5165.7149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1513287%71.958.1+13.7
2 Bradley1613381%80.168.1+11.9
3 Illinois (Chi.)1611569%80.773.4+7.3
4 Belmont1611569%81.778.8+2.9
5 Valparaiso1610662%80.773.8+6.9
6 Illinois State1610662%77.470.7+6.7
7 Northern Iowa169756%76.967.8+9.2
8 Murray State169756%75.268.7+6.5
9 Indiana State169756%84.178.0+6.1
10 Evansville1661038%65.268.9-3.7
11 Southern Illinois1651131%72.076.2-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State324779
Belmont424284
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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