PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Indiana vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-78
30-26 41-52
Position#220
Record12-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#159
Record10-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Indiana v Michigan State
01 Mar 2026
INDI64
MICH77
10 Mar 2024
INDI65
MICH64
22 Jan 2023
INDI82
MICH69
20 Feb 2021
INDI71
MICH78
23 Jan 2020
INDI67
MICH63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#131
L
73-80 OT
73
80
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H15/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A22/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A13/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-29
37-32
46-34
38-42
36-40
33-41
31-37
50-32
33-38
37-36
41-34
27-34
33-31
34-34
20-23
34-31
28-38
31-40
35-37
47-35
148.1Avg total
73.5Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.669.3142.0+3.357%
Season at home (12)72.068.2140.2+3.858%
Season away (9)73.470.9144.3+2.656%
Last 10 (10)73.574.6148.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)71.673.2144.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.871.3139.2-3.538%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.966.7138.6+5.262%
vs Weaker (4)82.564.8147.2+17.8100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#316
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H09/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
58-88
58
88
-30
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
44-44
28-22
40-23
31-16
23-39
20-26
17-41
30-42
32-37
43-48
35-36
34-22
32-34
32-24
28-34
27-46
31-42
27-30
38-45
131.6Avg total
63.2Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.471.7142.2-1.353%
Season at home (11)74.268.4142.5+5.873%
Season away (8)65.276.4141.6-11.125%
Last 10 (10)63.268.4131.6-5.240%
Last 5 (5)65.472.2137.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.976.4145.2-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.167.9136.0+0.267%
vs Weaker (10)78.168.0146.1+10.170%
This opponent (Indiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -5.5-5.5
IndianaMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#131
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A10/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H15/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A13/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.664.5+1.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.931.766.6+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)30.231.561.8-1.323%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.166.8-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.664.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.833.765.5-1.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.129.860.8+1.346%-
vs Weaker (4)42.231.073.2+11.275%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#316
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H09/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A17/02
NCAA
62.1Avg total
31.2Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.366.6+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.031.566.5+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)31.435.366.7-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)31.230.962.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.066.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.036.570.5-2.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.728.360.0+3.367%-
vs Weaker (10)34.836.671.4-1.850%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indiana wins
0
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
24/01/20Indiana v Michigan State67-63
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/21HMinnesota82-72
13/02/21AOhio State59-78
10/02/21ANorthwestern79-76 OT
07/02/21HIowa67-65
03/02/21HIllinois71-75 OT
24/01/21HRutgers70-74
22/01/21AIowa81-69
15/01/21HPurdue69-81
10/01/21ANebraska84-76
08/01/21AWisconsin73-80 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/21APurdue65-75
13/02/21HIowa58-88
10/02/21HPenn State60-58
06/02/21HNebraska66-56
03/02/21AIowa78-84
31/01/21AOhio State62-79
29/01/21ARutgers37-67
09/01/21HPurdue54-55
06/01/21HRutgers68-45
03/01/21ANebraska84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeLLLWW58%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %57%58%56%
Points / game72.672.073.4
Allowed / game69.368.270.9
Point differential+3.3+3.8+2.6
Avg total142.0140.2144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %24%17%33%
Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL53%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %53%73%25%
Points / game70.474.265.2
Allowed / game71.768.476.4
Point differential-1.3+5.8-11.1
Avg total142.2142.5141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan1615194%78.464.9+13.5
2 USC2118386%76.063.6+12.4
3 Ohio State2218482%78.168.6+9.5
4 Oregon1713476%74.566.4+8.2
5 Illinois2015575%81.268.8+12.3
6 UCLA2015575%73.067.1+6.0
7 Iowa2216673%87.073.0+14.0
8 Wisconsin2315865%69.963.2+6.7
9 Purdue2214864%70.666.6+4.0
10 Rutgers2012860%71.568.0+3.4
11 Minnesota2213959%74.872.6+2.2
12 Indiana2112957%72.669.3+3.3
13 Maryland23131057%69.765.6+4.2
14 Michigan State1910953%70.471.7-1.3
15 Penn State1871139%73.073.8-0.8
16 Northwestern1961332%72.872.1+0.7
17 Nebraska1951426%69.572.6-3.1
18 Washington2141719%66.376.7-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana304171
Michigan State265278
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.