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Indiana vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 65-64
34-29 31-35
Position#153
Record17-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game74.5
Indiana 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan State
USA
Position#154
Record18-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Indiana v Michigan State
01 Mar 2026
INDI64
MICH77
10 Mar 2024
INDI65
MICH64
22 Jan 2023
INDI82
MICH69
20 Feb 2021
INDI71
MICH78
23 Jan 2020
INDI67
MICH63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H03/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A07/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A11/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H18/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H22/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A24/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
35-40
41-37
30-48
29-42
47-31
25-37
34-42
26-34
46-42
31-51
39-34
33-40
41-43
38-33
36-37
33-43
50-35
30-25
40-33
147.8Avg total
72.3Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.174.5147.7-1.457%
Season at home (19)74.374.3148.6+0.163%
Season away (11)71.175.0146.1-3.945%
Last 10 (10)72.375.5147.8-3.250%
Last 5 (5)74.274.8149.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.775.8148.5-3.152%
vs Similar (7)73.671.9145.4+1.757%
vs Weaker (2)76.070.5146.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#347
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A18/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A03/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
48-27
31-27
32-27
32-27
24-32
44-41
44-39
45-31
35-41
39-37
34-26
33-45
38-33
32-22
25-38
35-38
39-42
20-25
33-24
135.3Avg total
69.6Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.765.9139.6+7.860%
Season at home (21)75.663.2138.8+12.471%
Season away (9)69.172.2141.3-3.133%
Last 10 (10)69.665.7135.3+3.960%
Last 5 (5)65.666.0131.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.076.4150.4-2.420%
vs Similar (16)68.867.0135.8+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.158.1140.2+24.0100%
This opponent (Indiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +2.3+2.3
IndianaMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A07/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A11/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H22/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A24/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A07/03
NCAA
69.5Avg total
32.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.637.271.8-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.737.674.3-0.958%-
Last 30 away (11)31.036.667.6-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)32.537.069.5-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.471.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.538.673.1-4.138%-
vs Similar (7)34.734.068.7+0.757%-
vs Weaker (2)35.534.069.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#347
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H21/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H07/03
NCAA
67.2Avg total
34.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.529.765.2+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (21)35.127.062.2+8.167%-
Last 30 away (9)36.435.872.2+0.756%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.867.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.833.465.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.436.068.4-3.620%-
vs Similar (16)33.831.665.4+2.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.322.763.0+17.789%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana wins
4
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
22/02/23Michigan State v Indiana80-65
22/01/23Indiana v Michigan State82-69
12/02/22Michigan State v Indiana76-61
03/03/21Michigan State v Indiana64-58
20/02/21Indiana v Michigan State71-78
24/01/20Indiana v Michigan State67-63
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AMinnesota70-58
03/03/24AMaryland83-78
28/02/24HWisconsin74-70
24/02/24APenn State74-83
22/02/24HNebraska70-85
18/02/24HNorthwestern72-76
11/02/24APurdue59-79
07/02/24AOhio State76-73
03/02/24HPenn State71-85
31/01/24HIowa74-68
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HNorthwestern53-49
03/03/24APurdue74-80
25/02/24HOhio State57-60
21/02/24HIowa71-78
18/02/24AMichigan73-63
14/02/24APenn State80-72
10/02/24HIllinois88-80
07/02/24AMinnesota56-59
03/02/24HMaryland63-54
31/01/24HMichigan81-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLLLW63%
AwayWLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %57%63%45%
Points / game73.174.371.1
Allowed / game74.574.375.0
Point differential-1.4+0.1-3.9
Avg total147.7148.6146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%26%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games30219
Win %60%71%33%
Points / game73.775.669.1
Allowed / game65.963.272.2
Point differential+7.8+12.4-3.1
Avg total139.6138.8141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3128390%84.270.2+14.0
2 Illinois3022873%84.373.3+11.0
3 Nebraska3122971%76.869.3+7.5
4 Northwestern31211068%74.169.0+5.1
5 Oregon31201165%75.872.6+3.3
6 Ohio State31191261%74.569.0+5.5
7 Wisconsin31191261%74.469.8+4.6
8 Michigan State30181260%73.765.9+7.8
9 Iowa30181260%83.878.9+5.0
10 Minnesota31181358%75.771.6+4.1
11 Indiana30171357%73.174.5-1.4
12 Washington31171455%80.877.0+3.8
13 Maryland30151550%69.665.0+4.6
14 UCLA31151648%65.965.6+0.3
15 Rutgers31151648%65.866.6-0.7
16 Penn State30141647%75.674.5+1.1
17 USC31141745%74.774.5+0.3
18 Michigan3182326%73.579.4-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana343165
Michigan State293564
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