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Rutgers vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-37
26-20 41-17
Position#136
Record8-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game71.1
Rutgers 🏆
USA
vs
Position#159
Record8-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Rutgers v Michigan State
27 Jan 2026
RUTG79
MICH88
25 Jan 2025
RUTG74
MICH81
04 Feb 2023
RUTG61
MICH55
05 Feb 2022
RUTG84
MICH63
28 Jan 2021
RUTG67
MICH37
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rutgers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RutgersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#150
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A14/12
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H20/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H02/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A06/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H09/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H16/01
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
47-32
37-41
54-47
38-28
30-52
40-34
41-42
35-35
40-42
22-28
23-40
30-42
38-37
32-33
22-27
24-34
43-41
38-33
36-37
143.0Avg total
69.7Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.471.1144.6+2.357%
Season at home (9)77.871.4149.2+6.367%
Season away (5)65.670.6136.2-5.040%
Last 10 (10)69.773.3143.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)61.670.4132.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.581.0156.5-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (21)66.566.0132.5+0.648%
vs Weaker (5)78.666.6145.2+12.0100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#154
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#153
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
109-91
109
91
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H25/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A29/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
38-36
35-35
48-41
39-35
40-26
44-40
65-51
30-43
35-36
42-42
34-43
16-36
40-45
40-33
44-44
28-22
40-23
31-16
23-39
146.8Avg total
74.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.071.3147.3+4.767%
Season at home (8)79.068.8147.8+10.275%
Season away (4)70.076.5146.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)74.971.9146.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)67.668.6136.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.071.2143.2+0.850%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.369.0143.3+5.373%
vs Weaker (15)73.165.5138.7+7.667%
This opponent (Rutgers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +2.3+2.3
RutgersMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
RutgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#150
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H20/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A06/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H09/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A24/01
NCAA
65.9Avg total
32.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.831.864.6+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.131.266.2+3.971%-
Last 30 away (13)29.832.562.4-2.746%-
Last 10 (10)32.333.665.9-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)29.234.063.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.036.571.5-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)31.531.162.6+0.362%-
vs Weaker (5)36.630.667.2+6.080%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#154
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#153
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H09/01
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.466.3+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.431.167.4+5.371%-
Last 30 away (13)30.834.264.9-3.446%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.567.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.861.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.231.567.8+4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.030.264.2+3.873%-
vs Weaker (15)33.334.367.5-1.053%-
This opponent (Rutgers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rutgers wins
2
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
06/01/21Michigan State v Rutgers68-45
09/12/19Michigan State v Rutgers77-65
Rutgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21AIndiana74-70
22/01/21APenn State67-75
16/01/21HWisconsin54-60
09/01/21HOhio State68-79
06/01/21AMichigan State45-68
02/01/21HIowa75-77
30/12/20HPurdue81-76
23/12/20AOhio State68-80
20/12/20HIllinois91-88
14/12/20AMaryland74-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/21HPurdue54-55
06/01/21HRutgers68-45
03/01/21ANebraska84-77
29/12/20AMinnesota56-81
25/12/20HWisconsin76-85
21/12/20ANorthwestern65-79
13/12/20HOakland109-91
06/12/20HWestern Michigan79-61
04/12/20HDetroit83-76
02/12/20ADuke75-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rutgers
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW57%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %57%67%40%
Points / game73.477.865.6
Allowed / game71.171.470.6
Point differential+2.3+6.3-5.0
Avg total144.6149.2136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game76.079.070.0
Allowed / game71.368.876.5
Point differential+4.7+10.2-6.5
Avg total147.3147.8146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan1413193%79.765.4+14.4
2 USC1613381%76.664.5+12.1
3 Iowa1512380%90.773.7+16.9
4 UCLA1512380%76.368.1+8.2
5 Wisconsin1713476%71.961.8+10.2
6 Ohio State1713476%76.968.0+8.9
7 Oregon129375%76.066.6+9.4
8 Minnesota1611569%76.972.4+4.6
9 Illinois1510567%82.968.9+14.0
10 Michigan State128467%76.071.3+4.7
11 Purdue1711665%70.366.9+3.4
12 Rutgers148657%73.471.1+2.3
13 Indiana169756%72.968.1+4.8
14 Maryland179853%71.467.1+4.3
15 Northwestern146843%76.172.5+3.6
16 Penn State125742%76.876.8+0.0
17 Nebraska124833%75.074.3+0.7
18 Washington1431121%67.477.3-9.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Rutgers264167
Michigan State201737
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