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Michigan State vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 54-55
31-16 23-39
Position#159
Record8-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#97
Record7-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Michigan State v Purdue
30 Jan 2027
MICH v PURD
upcoming
18 Feb 2025
MICH75
PURD66
16 Jan 2023
MICH63
PURD64
26 Feb 2022
MICH68
PURD65
08 Jan 2021
MICH54
PURD55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#236
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H29/11
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#153
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
109-91
109
91
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H25/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A29/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
41-44
37-33
38-36
35-35
48-41
39-35
40-26
44-40
65-51
30-43
35-36
42-42
34-43
16-36
40-45
40-33
44-44
28-22
40-23
150.9Avg total
77.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.072.8150.8+5.273%
Season at home (7)82.670.7153.3+11.986%
Season away (4)70.076.5146.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)77.573.4150.9+4.170%
Last 5 (5)69.873.4143.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.076.7154.7+1.367%
vs Similar (11)74.369.0143.3+5.373%
vs Weaker (16)74.565.3139.8+9.269%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#260
W
93-50
93
50
+43
H01/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H13/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H17/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A19/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A23/12
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H25/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-27
44-23
23-34
45-27
32-14
22-44
38-29
42-39
38-33
29-27
47-42
41-36
27-37
28-33
41-28
32-42
34-40
42-41
23-33
35-33
137.4Avg total
71.2Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.667.2138.8+4.358%
Season at home (6)76.362.2138.5+14.2100%
Season away (6)66.872.3139.2-5.517%
Last 10 (10)71.266.2137.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)70.073.0143.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.260.5125.8+4.850%
vs Similar (21)68.869.3138.1-0.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)72.861.0133.8+11.880%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +1.5+1.5
Michigan StatePurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#236
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#153
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H06/01
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.532.767.2+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.431.568.9+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)30.834.264.9-3.446%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.569.5+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.266.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.036.774.7+1.333%-
vs Similar (11)34.030.264.2+3.873%-
vs Weaker (16)34.233.667.8+0.656%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#260
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H01/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H05/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
32-14
32
14
+18
A08/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A19/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A23/12
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H25/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A02/01
NCAA
66.9Avg total
35.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.331.063.3+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.529.865.3+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)29.132.161.2-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.766.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.070.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.530.562.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (21)31.831.563.2+0.348%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)35.229.264.4+6.060%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
1
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
12/01/20Purdue v Michigan State71-42
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/21HRutgers68-45
03/01/21ANebraska84-77
29/12/20AMinnesota56-81
25/12/20HWisconsin76-85
21/12/20ANorthwestern65-79
13/12/20HOakland109-91
06/12/20HWestern Michigan79-61
04/12/20HDetroit83-76
02/12/20ADuke75-69
29/11/20HNotre Dame80-70
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/21AIllinois58-66
30/12/20ARutgers76-81
25/12/20HMaryland73-70
23/12/20AIowa55-70
19/12/20ANotre Dame88-78
17/12/20HOhio State67-60
13/12/20HIndiana State80-68
08/12/20AMiami (FL)54-58
05/12/20HValparaiso68-61
01/12/20HOakland93-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW73%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%86%50%
Points / game78.082.670.0
Allowed / game72.870.776.5
Point differential+5.2+11.9-6.5
Avg total150.8153.3146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL58%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%100%17%
Points / game71.676.366.8
Allowed / game67.262.272.3
Point differential+4.3+14.2-5.5
Avg total138.8138.5139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan10100100%82.567.0+15.5
2 Iowa1210283%92.473.4+19.0
3 Wisconsin1210283%76.561.5+15.0
4 Oregon108280%76.965.1+11.8
5 UCLA108280%75.967.9+8.0
6 USC97278%77.663.7+13.9
7 Minnesota1310377%79.773.2+6.5
8 Illinois129375%85.067.9+17.1
9 Ohio State118373%76.366.2+10.1
10 Michigan State118373%78.072.8+5.2
11 Rutgers107370%76.571.2+5.3
12 Northwestern106460%79.168.9+10.2
13 Indiana127558%71.965.8+6.1
14 Purdue127558%71.667.2+4.3
15 Maryland126650%72.268.5+3.7
16 Penn State73443%78.476.3+2.1
17 Nebraska114736%74.973.5+1.5
18 Washington91811%61.773.7-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State312354
Purdue163955
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