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Indiana vs USC Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#49
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#62
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Indiana v USC
02 Jan 2027
INDI v USC
upcoming
08 Jan 2025
INDI82
USC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
USC win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
64-93
64
93
-29
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-47
77
47
+30
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H11/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H03/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#148
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H09/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#223
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-46
35-47
42-33
26-39
37-45
27-32
43-28
34-19
33-50
45-41
37-36
24-38
44-23
47-34
50-26
42-43
34-38
49-42
41-37
49-29
149.4Avg total
76.8Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.068.0157.0+21.0100%
Season at home (4)89.068.0157.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.872.6149.4+4.250%
Last 5 (5)83.469.2152.6+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.280.6147.9-13.412%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.178.9157.0-0.862%
vs Weaker (14)83.466.0149.4+17.471%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
65-101
65
101
-36
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H21/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H28/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A05/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
68-89
68
89
-21
H08/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H03/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#102
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A09/11
NCAA
California
#84
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-54
33-47
32-35
38-36
29-38
33-43
36-31
31-51
43-40
29-51
30-45
38-44
40-33
31-38
46-29
49-34
43-45
50-41
39-30
38-35
156.0Avg total
74.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.371.3159.7+17.0100%
Season at home (1)95.063.0158.0+32.0100%
Season away (2)85.075.5160.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)74.881.2156.0-6.430%
Last 5 (5)82.477.2159.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.582.2151.8-12.825%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.677.1153.7-0.550%
vs Weaker (8)88.570.4158.9+18.1100%
This opponent (Indiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -5.0-5.0
IndianaUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H05/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#148
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H09/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#223
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H12/11
NCAA
75.2Avg total
39.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.733.872.5+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.631.273.7+11.483%-
Last 30 away (12)33.037.870.8-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)39.036.275.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.232.073.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.038.571.5-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.235.572.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (14)42.930.173.0+12.786%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A05/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H08/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#102
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A09/11
NCAA
California
#84
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A12/11
NCAA
75.0Avg total
37.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.272.8+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.134.671.7+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.237.773.9-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.075.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.476.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.539.071.5-6.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.435.273.6+3.250%-
vs Weaker (8)40.833.173.9+7.675%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indiana wins
1
USC wins
DateGameScore
04/02/26USC v Indiana81-75
09/01/25Indiana v USC82-69
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HTennessee Tech90-66
09/11/26HSyracuse83-80
05/11/26HBellarmine92-69
03/11/26HEastern Illinois91-57
11/03/26HNorthwestern61-74
07/03/26AOhio State78-91
04/03/26HMinnesota77-47
01/03/26HMichigan State64-77
25/02/26HNorthwestern68-72
21/02/26APurdue64-93
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ACalifornia77-65
09/11/26AWichita State93-86
03/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee95-63
11/03/26AWashington79-83 OT
08/03/26HUCLA68-89
05/03/26AWashington72-91
28/02/26HNebraska67-82
25/02/26AUCLA62-81
21/02/26HOregon70-71
19/02/26HIllinois65-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
USC
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.395.085.0
Allowed / game71.363.075.5
Point differential+17.0+32.0+9.5
Avg total159.7158.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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