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Inowroclaw vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-80
22-27 24-18 20-11 19-24
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game93.3
Poland1 LigaRound 4· Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowroc
Other2026-27
Meetings · Inowroclaw v Starogard Gdanski
11 Oct 2026
INOW85
STAR80
22 Feb 2026
INOW79
STAR70
01 Mar 2025
INOW84
STAR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Inowroclaw winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
Lancut
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
84avg 73
H07/03
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
66-72
66
72
-6
53avg 73
A13/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
79-67
79
67
+12
81avg 73
H22/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
95-71
95
71
+24
88avg 73
H25/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
79-70
79
70
+9
77avg 73
A28/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
54avg 73
A08/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 73
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-66
80
66
+14
71avg 73
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#15
W
75-62
75
62
+13
66avg 73
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#5
L
87-90
87
90
-3
75avg 73
A04/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
29-20
21-21
18-27
18-23
10-13
22-18
16-18
31-18
12-20
15-16
21-13
22-22
18-15
26-22
29-12
13-25
20-9
24-18
22-18
11-15
20-29
14-15
23-20
20-13
12-20
20-19
15-29
15-13
20-19
20-15
25-19
16-19
20-12
18-18
21-13
12-17
25-23
25-29
25-21
154.2Avg total
78.3Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.772.7153.3+8.067%
Season at home (1)75.062.0137.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)83.578.0161.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)78.375.9154.2+2.450%
Last 5 (5)75.475.6151.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.286.0165.2-6.833%
vs Similar (16)80.478.4158.8+2.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)77.571.5149.0+6.050%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Lancut
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 79
A26/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
74avg 79
A02/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
53avg 79
A03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
103-82
103
82
+21
103avg 79
H09/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
70-72
70
72
-2
65avg 79
H10/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
no box
H16/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 79
A23/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 79
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
83-101
83
101
-18
75avg 79
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
97avg 79
H03/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
23-20
16-19
28-18
14-25
26-16
19-28
19-32
16-9
17-22
17-20
12-17
27-18
35-27
20-16
21-21
10-14
21-19
18-23
21-16
24-13
23-34
19-19
28-36
25-16
26-28
13-19
15-15
16-20
16-22
22-23
22-25
12-20
29-29
25-27
17-25
29-27
26-26
26-19
21-17
170.3Avg total
83.8Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.093.3180.3-6.333%
Season at home (2)92.595.0187.5-2.550%
Season away (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)83.886.5170.3-2.740%
Last 5 (5)86.892.0178.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.085.1166.1-4.125%
vs Similar (7)78.981.6160.4-2.743%
vs Weaker (15)87.981.9169.8+6.167%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
InowroclawStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lancut
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H07/03
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A13/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H25/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A28/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A08/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/10
1 Liga
74.1Avg total
36.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.379.9-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.640.381.9+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.378.1-2.525%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.874.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.070.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.242.080.2-3.825%-
vs Similar (16)40.839.280.0+1.544%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)38.038.576.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lancut
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H09/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H16/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A23/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H03/10
1 Liga
86.9Avg total
43.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.084.1+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.742.787.4+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.639.380.9+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.086.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.247.092.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.041.682.6-0.638%-
vs Similar (7)42.340.682.9+1.757%-
vs Weaker (15)44.740.885.5+3.967%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
50%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.1
52.2%
53.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.7
32.0%
33.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.414.0
68.6%
70.8%14.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
50%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.5
55.7%
53.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
33.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.015.3
66.5%
70.8%15.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Inowroclaw
LWWLLWWWLL
Starogard Gdanski
WLLWLLWLLW
#7
League position
#14
+2.8
Net rating
-2.4
91.3
Offensive rating
94.3
88.5
Defensive rating
96.7
50.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.0%
3-point %
35.7%
61.2%
Assist %
70.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 94.3Defence88.5 · 96.7Shooting50.4% · 54.8%3-point %32.0% · 35.7%Ball care15.0% · 17.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Inowroclaw   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Inowroclaw wins
2
Starogard Gdanski wins
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26APolonia Warszawa87-90
26/09/26HR. Rzeszow75-62
18/09/26AWKK Wroclaw80-66
15/04/26ASpojnia Stargard67-81
08/04/26AWKK Wroclaw68-79
28/03/26APelplin79-70
25/03/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg95-71
22/03/26HPolonia Warszawa79-67
13/03/26ALeszno66-72
07/03/26HLancut87-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg102-89
30/09/26HLKS Lodz83-101
26/09/26ALancut76-90
23/05/26ASpojnia Stargard79-78
16/05/26HSpojnia Stargard94-102
10/05/26HBydgoszcz70-72
09/05/26HBydgoszcz103-82
03/05/26ABydgoszcz62-68
02/05/26ABydgoszcz78-101
26/04/26ALancut91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game80.775.083.5
Allowed / game72.762.078.0
Point differential+8.0+13.0+5.5
Avg total153.3137.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game87.092.576.0
Allowed / game93.395.090.0
Point differential-6.3-2.5-14.0
Avg total180.3187.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LKS Lodz330100%91.369.0+22.3
2 Leszno440100%92.073.5+18.5
3 Spojnia Stargard440100%93.883.2+10.5
4 Polonia Warszawa43175%90.594.2-3.8
5 Poznan32167%99.090.7+8.3
6 Inowroclaw32167%80.772.7+8.0
7 Lancut42250%86.281.8+4.5
8 WKK Wroclaw42250%81.077.5+3.5
9 Pelplin42250%84.286.0-1.8
10 Bytom42250%83.285.8-2.5
11 Starogard Gdanski31233%87.093.3-6.3
12 Kotwica Kolobrzeg41325%91.094.5-3.5
13 Krosno41325%90.094.5-4.5
14 GKS Tychy41325%73.582.8-9.2
15 Poli. Opolska4040%79.896.8-17.0
16 R. Rzeszow4040%70.289.2-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Inowroclaw2224201985
Starogard Gdanski2718112480
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