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Inowroclaw vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-68
24-22 13-19 18-5 29-22
Position#9
Record16-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.9
Inowroclaw 🏆
Poland
vs
Starogard Gdanski
Poland
Position#10
Record12-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game80.8
Poland1 LigaRound 28· Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowroc
Other2024-25
Meetings · Inowroclaw v Starogard Gdanski
11 Oct 2026
INOW85
STAR80
22 Feb 2026
INOW79
STAR70
01 Mar 2025
INOW84
STAR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Inowroclaw winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
Poznan
#12
L
63-80
63
80
-17
53avg 74
A04/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
65-82
65
82
-17
52avg 74
H11/01
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
74-78
74
78
-4
60avg 74
A15/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 74
H18/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
81-79
81
79
+2
75avg 74
A24/01
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
77-80
77
80
-3
67avg 74
H01/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
64-82
64
82
-18
52avg 74
A05/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
71avg 74
A09/02
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
93-85
93
85
+8
91avg 74
H15/02
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
67-58
67
58
+9
57avg 74
A26/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
13-13
16-24
18-21
19-15
12-25
13-18
21-24
26-14
18-18
19-26
11-20
22-18
26-18
21-21
20-17
23-27
21-19
18-21
19-12
18-31
21-24
25-5
13-20
28-26
9-19
14-21
13-16
29-32
13-21
16-10
20-14
31-25
21-20
24-19
17-21
21-10
18-17
14-17
14-14
152.6Avg total
75.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.280.9161.1-0.759%
Season at home (13)85.879.3165.1+6.585%
Season away (14)75.082.4157.4-7.436%
Last 10 (10)75.177.5152.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)75.876.4152.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.983.4163.3-3.657%
vs Similar ◀ (21)79.480.1159.5-0.852%
vs Weaker (2)89.587.5177.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
57avg 80
A04/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 80
H11/01
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
74-58
74
58
+16
64avg 80
A15/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 80
H22/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A25/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
70avg 80
H01/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 80
A05/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
81-62
81
62
+19
76avg 80
H08/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 80
A16/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
116-86
116
86
+30
116avg 80
H26/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
31-18
15-21
13-18
20-19
19-18
19-17
14-25
27-19
14-13
13-12
20-14
16-21
18-18
19-13
17-21
18-16
19-18
24-21
24-18
26-28
17-27
16-26
25-17
8-22
14-25
25-12
21-18
26-10
14-21
18-11
23-20
27-23
13-16
21-26
28-31
28-28
31-21
37-12
20-25
158.9Avg total
81.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.780.8163.5+2.044%
Season at home (15)84.980.3165.2+4.553%
Season away (12)80.181.3161.4-1.233%
Last 10 (10)81.077.9158.9+3.140%
Last 5 (5)87.683.8171.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.487.0163.4-10.60%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.480.2162.7+2.250%
vs Weaker (7)92.086.3178.3+5.757%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
InowroclawStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#12
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H11/01
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A15/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H18/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A24/01
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H01/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A09/02
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H15/02
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A26/02
1 Liga
81.9Avg total
40.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.083.2-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.741.385.0+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.042.681.6-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.481.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.086.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.744.687.3-1.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.140.580.7-0.448%-
vs Weaker (2)47.048.095.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A04/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/01
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A25/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H01/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A05/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H08/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H26/02
1 Liga
79.9Avg total
39.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.682.5-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.041.484.4+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)38.341.880.2-3.554%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.179.9-0.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.285.0-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.883.0-4.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.940.580.4-0.656%-
vs Weaker (7)44.942.787.6+2.171%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.2
52.1%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.3
27.8%
32.5%18.9
🏀 Free throws24.714.8
59.9%
70.2%14.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.9
53.9%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.5
30.9%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.614.9
69.0%
70.2%14.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Inowroclaw
WWWLLWWLLL
Starogard Gdanski
WLWLLWLWLL
#9
League position
#10
-3.8
Net rating
+4.3
99.6
Offensive rating
110.0
103.3
Defensive rating
105.7
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.0%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.8%
3-point %
30.9%
53.2%
Assist %
61.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 110.0Defence103.3 · 105.7Shooting48.2% · 51.0%3-point %27.8% · 30.9%Ball care17.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds28.9% · 33.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Inowroclaw   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Inowroclaw wins
1
Starogard Gdanski wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Starogard Gdanski v Inowroclaw90-75
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25ASlask Wroclaw II67-58
15/02/25HMKKS Koszalin93-85
09/02/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg78-77
05/02/25ALancut64-82
01/02/25HHydroTruck Radom77-80
24/01/25AWKK Wroclaw81-79
18/01/25HPoli. Opolska89-74
15/01/25APelplin74-78
11/01/25HLKS Lodz65-82
04/01/25APoznan63-80
Starogard Gdanskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HHydroTruck Radom116-86
16/02/25AWKK Wroclaw89-96
08/02/25HPoli. Opolska81-62
05/02/25APelplin68-77
01/02/25HLKS Lodz84-98
25/01/25APoznan85-73
22/01/25HKrosno70-73
15/01/25ATrefl Sopot II74-58
11/01/25HPolonia Warszawa72-79
04/01/25AGKS Tychy71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWLWLW85%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%85%36%
Points / game80.285.875.0
Allowed / game80.979.382.4
Point differential-0.7+6.5-7.4
Avg total161.1165.1157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeLLLWW53%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %44%53%33%
Points / game82.784.980.1
Allowed / game80.880.381.3
Point differential+2.0+4.5-1.2
Avg total163.5165.2161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno2721678%85.779.1+6.5
2 Bydgoszcz2719870%83.977.8+6.1
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg27161159%81.776.6+5.0
4 WKK Wroclaw27161159%82.980.5+2.4
5 Inowroclaw27161159%80.280.9-0.7
6 Pelplin27151256%82.883.2-0.4
7 Poznan27141352%84.381.4+3.0
8 GKS Tychy27141352%81.679.3+2.2
9 Lancut27141352%84.282.9+1.3
10 LKS Lodz27141352%85.784.7+1.1
11 Starogard Gdanski27121544%82.780.8+2.0
12 Polonia Warszawa27121544%82.282.1+0.1
13 MKKS Koszalin27121544%80.784.6-3.8
14 Slask Wroclaw II27111641%76.980.8-3.9
15 R. Rzeszow27111641%79.185.9-6.7
16 Poli. Opolska27101737%80.183.5-3.4
17 Trefl Sopot II2781930%83.888.1-4.3
18 HydroTruck Radom2781930%76.082.6-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Inowroclaw2413182984
Starogard Gdanski221952268
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