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Ionikos vs Larisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-76
20-28 18-21 20-14 25-13
Position#8
Record6-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.6
Ionikos 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#11
Record5-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game80.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 18
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Ionikos v Larisa
22 Jan 2022
ION84
LAR89
22 Sep 2021
ION74
LAR66
21 Mar 2021
ION83
LAR76
26 Oct 2019
ION68
LAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ionikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Larisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IonikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H19/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A27/12
Basket League
Aris
#9
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H03/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A09/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A23/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A30/01
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
100-85
100
85
+15
H06/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A28/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H07/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A13/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
21-21
25-22
22-17
26-24
26-20
13-22
19-20
18-14
16-20
19-17
15-13
19-19
21-27
20-23
14-25
18-14
19-19
19-20
18-28
18-24
27-28
14-19
11-15
28-19
23-25
17-21
32-20
23-18
18-16
15-21
22-20
24-30
25-26
15-15
24-18
21-20
18-21
25-27
10-30
163.1Avg total
79.6Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.281.6158.9-4.435%
Season at home (8)75.679.0154.6-3.438%
Season away (9)78.784.0162.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)79.683.5163.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)82.086.6168.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.988.6164.5-12.718%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.780.5157.2-3.745%
vs Weaker (1)108.074.0182.0+34.0100%
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H27/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A02/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H11/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H24/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H30/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A06/02
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
H28/02
Basket League
Aris
#9
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A06/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H14/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
18-11
13-14
26-13
16-19
23-10
15-30
15-14
19-22
16-22
19-18
31-19
17-9
11-25
14-14
16-18
25-23
24-33
17-18
23-24
21-20
30-23
13-17
12-15
3-19
14-19
28-20
18-23
26-14
17-24
14-18
21-22
22-22
7-18
8-16
15-14
20-15
22-18
20-21
20-19
151.2Avg total
74.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.680.6155.2-5.929%
Season at home (9)80.280.8161.0-0.644%
Season away (8)68.480.4148.8-12.012%
Last 10 (10)74.676.6151.2-2.040%
Last 5 (5)72.278.0150.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)77.283.5160.7-6.240%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.178.2155.4-1.138%
vs Weaker (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
This opponent (Ionikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
IonikosLarisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IonikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H19/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A27/12
Basket League
Aris
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A09/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A23/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A30/01
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H06/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A28/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H07/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A13/03
Basket League
84.9Avg total
42.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.981.1-4.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.840.677.4-3.847%-
Last 30 away (15)39.745.184.9-5.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.284.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.490.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.544.281.7-6.635%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.141.580.6-2.545%-
vs Weaker (1)42.041.083.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H27/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H06/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H11/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H24/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H30/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
17-38
17
38
-21
A06/02
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/02
Basket League
Aris
#9
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A06/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/03
Basket League
76.4Avg total
37.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.080.4-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.684.2+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)35.341.376.7-6.027%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.676.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.474.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.542.280.7-3.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.238.879.0+1.562%-
vs Weaker (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Ionikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ionikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ionikos: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.2
51.5%
51.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.9
35.6%
35.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
74.2%13.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.813.7
49.3%
51.8%27.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.9
40.2%
35.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.5
76.3%
74.2%13.5
They take 54.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ionikos
LLWWLLLWLW
Larisa
WLLLWLLWLW
#8
League position
#11
-6.1
Net rating
-1.9
106.9
Offensive rating
105.2
113.0
Defensive rating
107.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.7%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
23.8%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.6%
3-point %
40.2%
58.7%
Assist %
55.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 105.2Defence113.0 · 107.0Shooting52.2% · 54.7%3-point %35.6% · 40.2%Ball care19.0% · 23.8%Off. rebounds28.9% · 30.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ionikos   ■ Larisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ionikos wins
1
Larisa wins
DateGameScore
12/12/20Larisa v Ionikos76-97
01/02/20Larisa v Ionikos82-72
26/10/19Ionikos v Larisa68-64
Ionikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21APanathinaikos74-98
07/03/21HLavrio88-89
28/02/21AIraklis78-75
06/02/21HHarilaos Trikoupis100-85
30/01/21APeristeri70-86
23/01/21AAEK Athens74-81
09/01/21AKolossos Rhodes74-94
03/01/21HAris68-64
27/12/20APAOK84-86
19/12/20HPromitheas86-77
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21HKolossos Rhodes82-73
06/03/21AAris52-70
28/02/21HPAOK88-91 OT
06/02/21APromitheas63-81
30/01/21HAEK Athens76-75
24/01/21HPanathinaikos89-98
11/01/21HLavrio58-66
06/01/21HPromitheas85-81
02/01/21AIraklis69-73
27/12/20HHarilaos Trikoupis84-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ionikos
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL35%
HomeLWWWL38%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game77.275.678.7
Allowed / game81.679.084.0
Point differential-4.4-3.4-5.3
Avg total158.9154.6162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Larisa
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLLWLW44%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%44%12%
Points / game74.680.268.4
Allowed / game80.680.880.4
Point differential-5.9-0.6-12.0
Avg total155.2161.0148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos1513287%87.172.2+14.9
2 AEK Athens1814478%82.673.4+9.1
3 Lavrio1814478%81.076.2+4.8
4 Promitheas149564%80.376.6+3.6
5 Peristeri179853%72.575.4-2.8
6 PAOK189950%78.780.4-1.7
7 Iraklis1871139%72.977.4-4.5
8 Kolossos Rhodes1761135%77.676.9+0.8
9 Aris1761135%74.977.3-2.4
10 Ionikos1761135%77.281.6-4.4
11 Larisa1751229%74.680.6-5.9
12 Harilaos Trikoupis1841422%72.881.8-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ionikos2018202583
Larisa2821141376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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