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Larisa vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-98
25-23 24-33 17-18 23-24
Position#11
Record3-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game68.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 12
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Larisa v Panathinaikos
05 Jun 2022
LAR74
PAO62
31 May 2022
LAR84
PAO77
06 Feb 2022
LAR86
PAO90
24 Jan 2021
LAR89
PAO98
03 Nov 2019
LAR68
PAO110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A31/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A05/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A09/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
76-97
76
97
-21
H12/12
Basket League
Aris
#9
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H16/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A19/12
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H27/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A02/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H11/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
20-19
21-18
12-24
15-27
25-18
11-21
13-24
20-26
26-23
18-27
29-15
22-24
19-31
17-20
18-22
21-23
26-19
21-24
16-22
23-19
17-19
18-21
20-23
27-20
18-11
13-14
26-13
16-19
23-10
15-30
15-14
19-22
16-22
19-18
31-19
17-9
11-25
14-14
16-18
157.2Avg total
75.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.580.2154.6-5.727%
Season at home (5)77.478.0155.4-0.640%
Season away (6)72.082.0154.0-10.017%
Last 10 (10)75.981.3157.2-5.430%
Last 5 (5)74.872.0146.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.684.6159.2-10.035%
vs Similar (8)78.678.0156.6+0.638%
vs Weaker (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#10
W
106-74
106
74
+32
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
74-100
74
100
-26
A15/01
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A17/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#18
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H21/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
18-20
22-18
29-30
31-22
21-27
31-15
23-10
15-22
22-26
9-9
25-17
19-9
23-22
17-33
23-28
16-26
19-21
19-29
23-13
24-18
19-19
24-25
13-13
25-21
20-21
25-18
18-11
12-31
22-17
21-26
19-26
23-20
24-16
25-25
21-14
23-20
23-13
24-18
24-27
166.3Avg total
84.6Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.468.6153.0+15.890%
Season at home (6)86.266.7152.8+19.5100%
Season away (4)81.871.5153.2+10.275%
Last 10 (10)84.681.7166.3+2.950%
Last 5 (5)85.879.8165.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.988.1170.0-6.222%
vs Similar (9)77.980.8158.7-2.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.770.0154.7+14.792%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
LarisaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A31/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A09/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H12/12
Basket League
Aris
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H16/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/12
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H27/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H06/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H11/01
Basket League
80.8Avg total
39.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.179.6-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.740.681.4+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.541.578.0-5.031%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.280.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.272.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.842.979.7-6.120%-
vs Similar (8)40.637.678.2+3.075%-
vs Weaker (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A22/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A17/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#18
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H21/01
Euroleague
82.3Avg total
41.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.176.9+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.137.177.2+3.071%-
Last 30 away (13)37.239.476.5-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.282.3-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.282.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.241.278.4-4.022%-
vs Similar (9)35.641.376.9-5.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.533.375.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.713.9
43.8%
51.8%27.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.8
40.0%
35.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.813.3
74.7%
74.2%13.3
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.3
54.8%
51.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.6
37.4%
35.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.816.4
78.8%
74.2%16.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
LWLWLLLWLL
Panathinaikos
WWLWWLLLWL
#11
League position
#1
-7.9
Net rating
+4.0
102.0
Offensive rating
116.8
109.9
Defensive rating
112.8
51.3%
Effective FG%
55.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
24.1%
Turnover %
20.9%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
41.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
40.0%
3-point %
37.4%
53.8%
Assist %
65.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 116.8Defence109.9 · 112.8Shooting51.3% · 55.3%3-point %40.0% · 37.4%Ball care24.1% · 20.9%Off. rebounds34.5% · 41.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Larisa   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Larisa wins
3
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
25/10/20Panathinaikos v Larisa69-60
29/02/20Panathinaikos v Larisa121-78
03/11/19Larisa v Panathinaikos68-110
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/21HLavrio58-66
06/01/21HPromitheas85-81
02/01/21AIraklis69-73
27/12/20HHarilaos Trikoupis84-58
19/12/20APeristeri78-82
16/12/20HAris84-88
12/12/20HIonikos76-97
09/12/20APAOK93-91
05/12/20AKolossos Rhodes64-90
31/10/20AAEK Athens68-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/21HKhimki M.94-78
17/01/21AAris93-75
15/01/21AFenerbahce74-100
13/01/21HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
10/01/21HAEK Athens80-75
07/01/21HZenit Petersburg77-89
03/01/21ALavrio82-92
30/12/20ACrvena zvezda71-74
27/12/20HIraklis106-74
22/12/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL27%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game74.577.472.0
Allowed / game80.278.082.0
Point differential-5.7-0.6-10.0
Avg total154.6155.4154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %90%100%75%
Points / game84.486.281.8
Allowed / game68.666.771.5
Point differential+15.8+19.5+10.2
Avg total153.0152.8153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos109190%84.468.6+15.8
2 AEK Athens129375%79.972.8+7.2
3 Lavrio128467%78.474.5+3.9
4 Promitheas117464%80.577.4+3.1
5 Peristeri127558%73.174.2-1.1
6 PAOK126650%79.280.3-1.2
7 Kolossos Rhodes125742%77.274.9+2.3
8 Iraklis125742%70.675.7-5.1
9 Aris124833%74.778.6-3.9
10 Ionikos124833%75.279.6-4.3
11 Larisa113827%74.580.2-5.7
12 Harilaos Trikoupis123925%70.579.1-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa2524172389
Panathinaikos2333182498
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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