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Larisa vs Lavrio Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 58-66
17-9 11-25 14-14 16-18
Position#11
Record3-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Lavrio 🏆
Greece
Position#2
Record6-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game74.9
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Larisa v Lavrio
17 Oct 2021
LAR66
LAV75
11 Jan 2021
LAR58
LAV66
15 Apr 2020
LAR v LAV
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lavrio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
60-69
60
69
-9
44avg 68
A25/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
49avg 68
A31/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
64-90
64
90
-26
53avg 68
A05/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
93-91
93
91
+2
93avg 68
A09/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
76-97
76
97
-21
63avg 68
H12/12
Basket League
Aris
#9
L
84-88
84
88
-4
83avg 68
H16/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
A19/12
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
84-58
84
58
+26
82avg 68
H27/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
L
69-73
69
73
-4
64avg 68
A02/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 68
H06/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
19-18
14-20
16-18
15-26
20-19
21-18
12-24
15-27
25-18
11-21
13-24
20-26
26-23
18-27
29-15
22-24
19-31
17-20
18-22
21-23
26-19
21-24
16-22
23-19
17-19
18-21
20-23
27-20
18-11
13-14
26-13
16-19
23-10
15-30
15-14
19-22
16-22
19-18
31-19
157.7Avg total
76.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.181.6157.7-5.530%
Season at home (4)82.281.0163.2+1.250%
Season away (6)72.082.0154.0-10.017%
Last 10 (10)76.181.6157.7-5.530%
Last 5 (5)80.076.4156.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.585.6161.1-10.137%
vs Similar (9)80.178.0158.1+2.144%
vs Weaker (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
104-71
104
71
+33
no box
H07/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
62-77
62
77
-15
44avg 68
A14/11
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
65-83
65
83
-18
53avg 68
A18/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H22/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
78-70
78
70
+8
66avg 68
A05/12
Basket League
Aris
#9
W
92-71
92
71
+21
95avg 68
H09/12
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
H12/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
77-60
77
60
+17
no box
A19/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
78-70
78
70
+8
71avg 68
H27/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
92-82
92
82
+10
80avg 68
H03/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
25-25
21-12
26-15
22-20
17-18
15-21
8-18
24-18
16-23
13-18
12-24
22-27
21-24
15-12
23-28
24-15
15-15
21-21
18-19
22-18
31-14
15-19
24-20
20-22
27-16
15-12
25-20
21-14
23-20
16-11
17-15
20-13
18-22
20-19
20-16
9-19
22-23
33-17
28-23
156.1Avg total
81.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.174.9154.0+4.267%
Season at home (5)86.076.8162.8+9.280%
Season away (4)70.572.5143.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)81.674.5156.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)85.270.6155.8+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.586.2157.8-14.825%
vs Similar (16)77.676.4154.0+1.169%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.372.3158.7+14.083%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
LarisaLavrio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A25/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A31/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A09/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H12/12
Basket League
Aris
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H16/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/12
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H27/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H06/01
Basket League
80.7Avg total
39.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.580.5-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.941.483.3+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)36.541.578.0-5.031%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.980.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.878.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.343.480.6-6.121%-
vs Similar (9)41.038.479.4+2.667%-
vs Weaker (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H07/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A14/11
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A18/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H22/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A05/12
Basket League
Aris
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H09/12
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A19/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H27/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H03/01
Basket League
81.6Avg total
43.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.478.9+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.639.882.3+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)36.138.975.1-2.843%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.581.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.278.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.244.877.0-12.512%-
vs Similar (16)40.536.777.2+3.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.839.386.2+7.567%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.314.0
44.7%
51.8%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.111.0
40.6%
35.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.814.2
75.7%
74.2%14.2
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.2
49.5%
51.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.7
40.1%
35.6%29.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.2
68.8%
74.2%13.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
WLWLLLWLLL
Lavrio
WWWWWWLLLW
#11
League position
#2
-7.8
Net rating
+5.4
103.4
Offensive rating
107.0
111.2
Defensive rating
101.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
23.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.6%
3-point %
40.1%
53.3%
Assist %
56.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 107.0Defence111.2 · 101.6Shooting52.2% · 53.7%3-point %40.6% · 40.1%Ball care23.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds33.4% · 26.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Larisa   ■ Lavrio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Larisa wins
0
Lavrio wins
DateGameScore
28/12/19Lavrio v Larisa78-98
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/21HPromitheas85-81
02/01/21AIraklis69-73
27/12/20HHarilaos Trikoupis84-58
19/12/20APeristeri78-82
16/12/20HAris84-88
12/12/20HIonikos76-97
09/12/20APAOK93-91
05/12/20AKolossos Rhodes64-90
31/10/20AAEK Athens68-87
25/10/20APanathinaikos60-69
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/21HPanathinaikos92-82
27/12/20HAEK Athens78-70
19/12/20AIraklis77-60
12/12/20HHarilaos Trikoupis87-70
09/12/20HAris92-71
05/12/20APeristeri78-70
22/11/20HIonikos81-91
18/11/20APAOK65-83
14/11/20AKolossos Rhodes62-77
07/03/20HPanionios104-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game76.182.272.0
Allowed / game81.681.082.0
Point differential-5.5+1.2-10.0
Avg total157.7163.2154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lavrio
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game79.186.070.5
Allowed / game74.976.872.5
Point differential+4.2+9.2-2.0
Avg total154.0162.8143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos98189%83.467.9+15.6
2 AEK Athens108280%80.371.7+8.6
3 Lavrio96367%79.174.9+4.2
4 Peristeri117464%73.873.6+0.2
5 Promitheas85362%80.176.6+3.5
6 PAOK115645%79.281.1-1.9
7 Iraklis115645%70.575.4-4.9
8 Kolossos Rhodes114736%77.075.8+1.2
9 Ionikos114736%75.479.5-4.1
10 Larisa103730%76.181.6-5.5
11 Aris103730%74.480.2-5.8
12 Harilaos Trikoupis113827%72.579.3-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa1711141658
Lavrio925141866
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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