PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Iowa State vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-55
33-25 41-30
Position#50
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#149
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Iowa State v Baylor
07 Feb 2026
IOWA72
BAYL69
04 Jan 2025
IOWA74
BAYL55
15 Mar 2024
IOWA76
BAYL62
31 Dec 2022
IOWA77
BAYL62
01 Jan 2022
IOWA72
BAYL77
02 Jan 2021
IOWA65
BAYL76
29 Jan 2020
IOWA53
BAYL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#332
W
87-52
87
52
+35
H19/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
89-84
89
84
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
99-71
99
71
+28
H27/11
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H05/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H08/12
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A13/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
83-51
83
51
+32
H15/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
99-72
99
72
+27
H22/12
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-29
38-23
49-33
32-50
37-41
52-43
45-34
54-37
46-37
35-33
46-24
54-34
37-44
52-36
41-23
42-28
50-34
49-38
37-31
42-38
157.7Avg total
88.7Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.765.8153.5+21.892%
Season at home (8)89.259.2148.5+30.0100%
Season away (4)84.579.0163.5+5.575%
Last 10 (10)88.769.0157.7+19.790%
Last 5 (5)90.066.0156.0+24.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)70.466.4136.8+4.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)78.363.0141.3+15.392%
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
104-67
104
67
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
104-41
104
41
+63
H18/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
99-98 OT
99
98
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A23/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A04/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H10/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H11/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
107-53
107
53
+54
H28/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
54-37
50-30
56-13
48-28
30-44
47-33
20-47
42-30
50-23
41-37
37-36
35-40
46-22
42-35
39-33
55-36
51-28
56-25
37-17
44-39
155.6Avg total
90.2Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.468.5154.9+17.975%
Season at home (8)92.658.8151.4+33.9100%
Season away (4)74.088.0162.0-14.025%
Last 10 (10)90.265.4155.6+24.880%
Last 5 (5)88.462.2150.6+26.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.083.7155.7-11.733%
vs Similar (17)77.271.2148.5+6.059%
vs Weaker (7)95.061.1156.1+33.9100%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +10.7+10.71st half: +12.0+12.02nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: +12.7+12.7
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +10.7+10.71st half: +12.0+12.02nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: +12.7+12.7
Iowa StateBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#332
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A27/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H05/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H08/12
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A13/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H15/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H22/12
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A31/12
NCAA
76.7Avg total
43.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.929.265.1+6.773%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.228.165.3+9.184%-
Last 30 away (11)33.731.164.8+2.655%-
Last 10 (10)43.733.076.7+10.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.231.273.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.031.662.6-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)36.928.765.6+8.280%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
56-13
56
13
+43
H18/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A22/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A23/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H10/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H28/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H31/12
NCAA
72.0Avg total
42.0Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.870.8+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.830.571.3+10.378%-
Last 30 away (12)31.338.770.0-7.325%-
Last 10 (10)42.030.072.0+12.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.027.269.2+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.740.769.3-12.017%-
vs Similar (17)35.733.869.5+1.959%-
vs Weaker (7)47.327.975.1+19.486%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Iowa State wins
6
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Iowa State v Baylor76-62
04/02/24Baylor v Iowa State70-68
09/03/23Baylor v Iowa State72-78
04/03/23Baylor v Iowa State58-73
31/12/22Iowa State v Baylor77-62
05/03/22Baylor v Iowa State75-68
01/01/22Iowa State v Baylor72-77
24/02/21Baylor v Iowa State77-72
02/01/21Iowa State v Baylor65-76
30/01/20Iowa State v Baylor53-67
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24AColorado79-69
22/12/24HMorgan State99-72
15/12/24HNebraska O.83-51
13/12/24AIowa89-80
08/12/24HJackson State100-58
05/12/24HMarquette81-70
27/11/24HColorado99-71
27/11/24ADayton89-84
26/11/24AAuburn81-83
19/11/24HIU Indy87-52
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24HUtah Utes81-56
28/12/24HArlington Baptist Patriots107-53
11/12/24HNorfolk State94-69
10/12/24HAbilene Christian88-57
04/12/24AUconn72-76
27/11/24HNew Orleans91-60
23/11/24ATennessee62-77
22/11/24ASt. John's (N.Y.)99-98 OT
18/11/24HTarleton104-41
13/11/24HSam Houston St.104-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %92%100%75%
Points / game87.789.284.5
Allowed / game65.859.279.0
Point differential+21.8+30.0+5.5
Avg total153.5148.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %75%100%25%
Points / game86.492.674.0
Allowed / game68.558.888.0
Point differential+17.9+33.9-14.0
Avg total154.9151.4162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%88%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State1211192%87.765.8+21.8
2 West Virginia1311285%75.662.5+13.1
3 Brigham Young1210283%84.864.0+20.8
4 Cincinnati1210283%78.459.5+18.9
5 UCF Knights1210283%81.374.8+6.6
6 Houston129375%76.554.6+21.9
7 Texas Tech129375%86.065.2+20.8
8 Baylor129375%86.468.5+17.9
9 Kansas129375%77.765.7+12.0
10 Colorado129375%76.169.2+6.8
11 Arizona State129375%76.771.8+4.9
12 Utah Utes128467%84.268.0+16.2
13 Oklahoma State138562%74.273.1+1.2
14 Arizona127558%85.968.8+17.2
15 TCU127558%73.266.0+7.2
16 Kansas State127558%77.470.7+6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State334174
Baylor253055
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.