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Iowa vs Ohio State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#151
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game64.7
vs
Position#224
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Iowa v Ohio State
02 Jan 2027
IOWA v OHIO
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
IOWA74
OHIO57
14 Mar 2024
IOWA78
OHIO90
02 Feb 2024
IOWA79
OHIO77
09 Mar 2023
IOWA69
OHIO73
16 Feb 2023
IOWA92
OHIO75
04 Feb 2021
IOWA85
OHIO89
20 Feb 2020
IOWA85
OHIO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
75-84 OT
75
84
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H11/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A20/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A22/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A26/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A28/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H04/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
91-47
91
47
+44
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-30
44-40
25-26
50-38
30-34
39-38
32-25
35-36
33-31
40-41
43-46
34-25
32-28
27-43
38-29
38-25
41-20
50-27
40-41
39-38
143.9Avg total
75.0Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.064.7149.7+20.367%
Season at home (3)85.064.7149.7+20.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.068.9143.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)78.267.2145.4+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.272.2139.5-5.025%
vs Similar (12)71.270.8142.0+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.162.8141.9+16.479%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
94-62
94
62
+32
A05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A13/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H19/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#51
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A03/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H09/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
46-43
45-21
49-41
50-33
41-45
34-30
38-39
35-39
32-32
24-39
40-27
37-34
46-60
38-33
51-32
45-27
39-47
40-42
28-42
153.1Avg total
79.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.079.2160.2+1.850%
Season at home (2)86.569.5156.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)75.589.0164.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)79.473.7153.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)77.676.6154.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.579.9151.4-8.412%
vs Similar (13)75.574.8150.2+0.746%
vs Weaker (9)84.669.0153.6+15.6100%
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +0.2+0.2
IowaOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A20/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A22/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A28/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H04/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H11/11
NCAA
65.0Avg total
34.0Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.030.465.5+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.827.863.5+8.062%-
Last 30 away (14)34.233.567.7+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.065.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.832.871.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.831.060.8-1.250%-
vs Similar (12)34.932.066.9+2.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)36.628.965.6+7.764%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H19/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#51
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
38.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.571.1+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.234.471.6+2.756%-
Last 30 away (12)35.834.570.3+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.971.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.071.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.638.674.2-3.025%-
vs Similar (13)35.234.269.4+1.154%-
vs Weaker (9)39.631.270.8+8.378%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Iowa wins
5
Ohio State wins
DateGameScore
12/03/26Ohio State v Iowa72-69
26/02/26Iowa v Ohio State74-57
12/03/25Ohio State v Iowa70-77
28/01/25Ohio State v Iowa82-65
14/03/24Iowa v Ohio State78-90
03/02/24Iowa v Ohio State79-77
09/03/23Iowa v Ohio State69-73
17/02/23Iowa v Ohio State92-75
21/01/23Ohio State v Iowa93-77
19/02/22Ohio State v Iowa62-75
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HVirginia Tech88-93 OT
07/11/26HEastern Illinois91-47
04/11/26HLipscomb76-54
28/03/26AIllinois59-71
26/03/26ANebraska77-71
22/03/26AFlorida73-72
20/03/26AClemson67-61
12/03/26AOhio State69-72
11/03/26HMaryland75-64
08/03/26ANebraska75-84 OT
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUconn68-84
09/11/26HMarshall84-74
06/11/26HYoungstown State89-65
03/11/26ABrigham Young83-94
19/03/26HTCU64-66
13/03/26AMichigan67-71
12/03/26HIowa72-69
07/03/26HIndiana91-78
05/03/26APenn State94-62
01/03/26HPurdue82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game64.764.7-
Point differential+20.3+20.3-
Avg total149.7149.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%33%-
Ohio State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.086.575.5
Allowed / game79.269.589.0
Point differential+1.8+17.0-13.5
Avg total160.2156.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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