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Ipswich Force vs Southern District Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 110-118
27-28 35-34 24-20 24-36
Position#7
Record7-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#1
Record6-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game95.9
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Ipswich Force v Southern District
19 Jul 2025
IPSW110
SOUT118
04 Jun 2022
IPSW116
SOUT87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ipswich Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern District winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ipswich ForceAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H24/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A30/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
116-127 OT
116
127
-11
A31/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A07/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
A27/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A28/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
130-125 OT
130
125
+5
A05/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
110-96
110
96
+14
H13/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
29-30
23-19
21-19
28-26
24-25
6-22
24-7
17-22
32-16
16-26
18-33
28-25
24-21
25-32
27-26
14-22
29-20
25-33
28-16
26-25
20-19
22-27
19-19
28-26
25-17
18-21
27-22
22-37
16-23
30-14
19-29
34-28
23-37
29-32
29-18
30-16
28-24
27-29
25-27
196.3Avg total
98.2Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)95.596.0191.5-0.558%
Season at home (5)89.685.0174.6+4.680%
Season away (7)99.7103.9203.6-4.143%
Last 10 (10)98.298.1196.3+0.160%
Last 5 (5)102.4100.0202.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)90.897.6188.4-6.838%
vs Similar ◀ (14)93.195.9188.9-2.836%
vs Weaker (3)93.786.3180.0+7.3100%
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern DistrictAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H10/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H17/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
107-114
107
114
-7
A31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
96-117
96
117
-21
H07/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A13/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
104-90
104
90
+14
A14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H21/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H28/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
105-97
105
97
+8
H04/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A12/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
25-19
19-26
26-23
15-30
24-17
21-17
23-15
32-32
24-21
30-34
21-27
30-35
22-29
20-26
24-27
26-37
24-23
27-22
18-21
17-25
22-21
36-22
29-22
23-21
18-14
16-23
27-25
18-20
17-23
18-21
19-24
15-30
32-20
27-19
31-28
26-24
22-23
25-17
22-23
187.1Avg total
92.4Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.895.9188.8-3.150%
Season at home (6)87.292.2179.3-5.050%
Season away (6)98.599.7198.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)92.494.7187.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)92.089.0181.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.0106.0195.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)90.588.9179.4+1.553%
vs Weaker (12)94.889.2184.0+5.767%
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
Ipswich ForceSouthern District
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ipswich ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H24/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A30/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A31/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A27/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A28/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A05/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H13/07
NBL1 North
97.4Avg total
49.7Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.048.395.2-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.446.595.9+2.877%-
Last 30 away (17)45.149.694.7-4.535%-
Last 10 (10)49.747.797.4+2.080%-
Last 5 (5)50.450.4100.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)47.549.997.5-2.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.448.094.4-1.664%-
vs Weaker (3)47.342.389.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern DistrictLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H07/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A13/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H21/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H28/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H04/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A12/07
NBL1 North
93.0Avg total
44.5Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.845.391.1+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.542.786.2+0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)47.847.595.3+0.344%-
Last 10 (10)44.548.593.0-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.286.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.752.0101.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.543.186.6+0.553%-
vs Weaker (12)47.746.394.0+1.342%-
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ipswich Force wins
1
Southern District wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/07/25HCairns Marlins110-96
05/07/25ABrisbane Capitals130-125 OT
28/06/25ARockhampton Rockets87-103
27/06/25AMackay Meteors98-86
14/06/25HLogan Thunder87-90
07/06/25ASouth West Metro Pirates96-91
31/05/25ALogan Thunder116-127 OT
30/05/25ANorthside Wizards83-97
24/05/25HTownsville Heat82-80
17/05/25HSouth West Metro Pirates93-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25ANorthside Wizards95-87
04/07/25HGold Coast Rollers105-97
28/06/25HSouth West Metro Pirates72-88
21/06/25HMackay Meteors84-83
14/06/25ACairns Marlins104-90
13/06/25ATownsville Heat95-103
07/06/25HRockhampton Rockets96-117
31/05/25ABrisbane Capitals107-114
17/05/25HNorthside Wizards83-79
10/05/25HBrisbane Capitals83-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ipswich Force
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game95.589.699.7
Allowed / game96.085.0103.9
Point differential-0.5+4.6-4.1
Avg total191.5174.6203.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %17%0%29%
Southern District
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game92.887.298.5
Allowed / game95.992.299.7
Point differential-3.1-5.0-1.2
Avg total188.8179.3198.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals128467%100.492.7+7.8
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix128467%91.787.0+4.7
3 Mackay Meteors138562%97.194.7+2.4
4 Gold Coast Rollers127558%96.993.1+3.8
5 Ipswich Force127558%95.596.0-0.5
6 South West Metro Pirates126650%91.391.2+0.2
7 Southern District126650%92.895.9-3.1
8 Northside Wizards136746%86.786.8-0.2
9 Rockhampton Rockets115645%93.494.4-1.0
10 Logan Thunder135838%95.896.2-0.4
11 Townsville Heat124833%87.488.2-0.8
12 Cairns Marlins123925%86.9100.0-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ipswich Force27352424110
Southern District28342036118
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