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Iran vs Syria Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Jun 2026
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 72-68
21-12 17-19 12-25 22-12
Position#28
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game70.7
Iran 🏆
vs
Position#76
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Nouhad Nawfal Sports Complex
Other2027
Meetings · Iran v Syria
29 Jun 2026
IRAN72
SYRI68
13 Jul 2022
IRAN80
SYRI67
27 Feb 2022
IRAN80
SYRI68
20 Feb 2020
IRAN94
SYRI48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iran winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Syria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIran
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#21
W
88-45
88
45
+43
no box
A24/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
77-52
77
52
+25
76avg 64
A06/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
78-70
78
70
+8
64avg 64
H08/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
82-43
82
43
+39
78avg 64
A10/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
66avg 64
H13/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
48-92
48
92
-44
26avg 64
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 64
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
94-68
94
68
+26
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
60-73
60
73
-13
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
24-7
18-9
21-16
23-10
18-10
11-21
25-11
16-13
18-21
24-24
20-12
13-11
12-12
32-11
25-9
11-24
15-18
26-22
26-11
20-27
9-24
8-29
11-12
28-20
19-13
19-21
13-19
24-19
25-8
27-19
18-22
21-25
21-13
19-12
25-21
14-17
11-12
18-17
17-27
143.2Avg total
77.0Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.070.7150.7+9.367%
Season at home (2)77.070.5147.5+6.550%
Season away (1)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.066.2143.2+10.880%
Last 5 (5)73.475.4148.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)59.677.0136.6-17.49%
vs Similar (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.160.7141.8+20.489%
This opponent (Syria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSyria
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#25
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
A22/11
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A25/11
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
86-61
86
61
+25
no box
H21/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
68-99
68
99
-31
60avg 51
A06/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 51
H08/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
43-82
43
82
-39
30avg 51
H10/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#26
L
59-74
59
74
-15
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
48-100
48
100
-52
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
12-22
23-19
20-9
16-33
18-14
14-18
16-24
21-15
27-15
17-12
21-19
24-15
22-25
21-20
22-27
13-18
28-14
10-28
17-39
21-27
19-16
19-21
14-18
11-13
12-12
11-32
9-25
12-22
21-21
14-15
12-16
6-22
15-27
13-21
14-30
17-18
18-15
21-19
22-18
149.9Avg total
67.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)61.781.3143.0-19.733%
Season at home (1)48.0100.0148.0-52.00%
Season away (2)68.572.0140.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)67.982.0149.9-14.130%
Last 5 (5)60.281.6141.8-21.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)65.883.8149.6-18.025%
vs Similar (8)74.476.9151.2-2.538%
vs Weaker (2)73.570.0143.5+3.550%
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -5.8-5.8
IranSyria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#21
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A24/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A06/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A10/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H13/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H27/02
World Cup
68.4Avg total
36.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.836.473.1+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.837.974.6-1.138%-
Last 30 away (12)36.834.371.1+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)36.731.768.4+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.243.976.1-11.710%-
vs Similar (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.832.170.9+6.771%-
This opponent (Syria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#25
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A22/11
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A25/11
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H21/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H24/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A06/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H08/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H10/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#26
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
21-49
21
49
-28
H30/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A27/02
World Cup
73.9Avg total
34.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.138.772.8-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.540.774.3-7.220%-
Last 30 away (15)34.736.771.3-2.053%-
Last 10 (10)34.939.073.9-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)30.438.669.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.140.273.4-7.125%-
vs Similar (8)36.837.274.0-0.562%-
vs Weaker (2)33.029.062.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.2
52.1%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.4
36.1%
-31.2
🏀 Free throws17.911.8
65.9%
-11.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Syriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Syria: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.3
48.1%
-38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.27.0
34.6%
-21.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.8
66.7%
-11.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 29 Jun 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iran
LWWWLWWWWW
Syria
WLLLLLWWLL
#28
League position
#76
+22.6
Net rating
-11.7
108.2
Offensive rating
95.2
85.5
Defensive rating
106.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
49.4%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.1%
3-point %
34.6%
64.7%
Assist %
60.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Iran   ■ Syria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Iran wins
1
Syria wins
DateGameScore
10/08/25Syria v Iran43-82
13/07/22Iran v Syria80-67
04/07/22Syria v Iran56-91
27/02/22Iran v Syria80-68
30/11/20Syria v Iran77-70
20/02/20Iran v Syria94-48
25/08/18Syria v Iran55-68
11/08/17Syria v Iran63-87
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HJordan60-73
30/11/25AIraq86-71
27/11/25HIraq94-68
17/08/25HNew Zealand79-73
16/08/25AAustralia48-92
13/08/25HChinese Taipei78-75
10/08/25ASyria82-43
08/08/25HJapan78-70
06/08/25AGuam77-52
24/02/25AKazakhstan88-45
Syrialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AIraq78-70
30/11/25HJordan48-100
27/11/25AJordan59-74
10/08/25HIran43-82
08/08/25HGuam73-82
06/08/25AJapan68-99
24/02/25HBahrain89-87
21/02/25HUnited Arab Emirates86-61
25/11/24ALebanon64-89
22/11/24ABahrain71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iran
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.077.086.0
Allowed / game70.770.571.0
Point differential+9.3+6.5+15.0
Avg total150.7147.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Syria
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game61.748.068.5
Allowed / game81.3100.072.0
Point differential-19.7-52.0-3.5
Avg total143.0148.0140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
4 Uruguay440100%81.562.0+19.5
5 Spain440100%82.063.8+18.2
6 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
7 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
8 Turkey440100%88.573.8+14.8
9 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
10 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
11 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
12 Mali330100%83.376.3+7.0
13 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
14 Argentina43175%82.563.2+19.2
15 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
16 Greece43175%77.866.0+11.8
17 Italy43175%83.873.5+10.2
18 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
19 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
20 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
21 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
24 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
25 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
26 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
27 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
28 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
29 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
30 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
31 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
32 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
33 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
34 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
35 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
36 Ukraine85362%78.175.1+3.0
37 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
38 Romania127558%78.278.4-0.2
39 Switzerland148657%73.269.5+3.7
40 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
41 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
42 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.571.8+7.8
43 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
44 Portugal42250%86.580.2+6.2
45 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
46 Lithuania42250%88.584.5+4.0
47 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
48 Georgia42250%79.578.2+1.2
49 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
50 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
51 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
52 Serbia42250%82.083.5-1.5
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
55 Iceland42250%83.287.5-4.2
56 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
57 Montenegro42250%68.575.5-7.0
58 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
59 Egypt31233%80.073.7+6.3
60 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
61 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
62 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
63 D.R. Congo31233%67.383.3-16.0
64 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
65 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
66 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
67 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
68 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
69 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
70 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
71 Denmark82625%72.682.5-9.9
72 Great Britain41325%77.587.5-10.0
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
75 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
76 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
77 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
78 Panama41325%75.289.8-14.5
79 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
80 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
84 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
85 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Madagascar3030%73.095.0-22.0
88 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
89 Cuba4040%65.089.2-24.2
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iran2117122272
Syria1219251268
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