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Israel vs Slovenia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 96-106
22-26 21-30 22-23 31-27
Position#12
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game89.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Spodek
Other2025
Meetings · Israel v Slovenia
04 Sep 2025
ISRA96
SLOV106
24 Feb 2025
ISRA84
SLOV74
11 Nov 2022
ISRA62
SLOV75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Israel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovenia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIsrael
Date
Competition
Portugal
#14
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 83
A23/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
88-75
88
75
+13
82avg 83
H25/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
90avg 83
H21/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 83
H24/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
83-71
83
71
+12
78avg 83
H28/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
64-66
64
66
-2
60avg 83
A30/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 83
H31/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
92-89
92
89
+3
89avg 83
A02/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-17
18-17
16-17
20-8
17-32
16-25
26-23
16-19
20-18
29-18
21-18
11-16
18-24
27-17
32-18
18-18
29-14
18-21
19-25
11-15
25-16
25-28
23-15
23-19
13-13
24-20
23-19
14-19
12-18
25-11
13-18
17-22
19-14
19-20
27-13
23-15
28-21
20-18
21-35
156.7Avg total
81.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.273.8154.0+6.575%
Season at home (2)82.570.0152.5+12.5100%
Season away (2)78.077.5155.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)81.475.3156.7+6.180%
Last 5 (5)81.073.8154.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.979.6155.4-3.714%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.678.7157.2-0.150%
vs Weaker (11)82.576.1158.6+6.582%
This opponent (Slovenia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovenia
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#36
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
74-82
74
82
-8
68avg 78
A22/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 78
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
84-71
84
71
+13
84avg 78
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
69avg 78
A24/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 78
H28/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 78
A30/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 78
H31/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
87-79
87
79
+8
75avg 78
A02/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-18
25-13
23-20
8-20
32-17
25-16
23-26
10-22
14-27
24-15
26-18
24-17
20-32
22-19
17-14
24-22
21-14
21-19
18-16
15-11
16-25
28-25
15-23
25-29
21-18
23-33
26-25
30-28
24-19
16-21
25-35
16-10
27-21
21-17
22-21
21-20
15-15
24-11
27-33
168.0Avg total
85.3Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.889.0179.8+1.850%
Season at home (2)90.587.0177.5+3.550%
Season away (2)91.091.0182.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)85.382.7168.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)87.488.0175.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.192.6175.7-9.429%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.382.3168.5+4.067%
vs Weaker (8)88.078.2166.2+9.875%
This opponent (Israel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
IsraelSlovenia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A25/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H25/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A30/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H31/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A02/09
EuroBasket
72.9Avg total
37.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.576.0-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.137.475.5+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)37.139.476.5-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.772.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.471.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.741.677.3-5.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.536.974.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker (11)38.838.277.0+0.655%-
This opponent (Slovenia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#36
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H25/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A22/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H28/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A30/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H31/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/09
EuroBasket
80.9Avg total
40.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.283.9+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.843.288.0+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.939.480.4+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.780.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.281.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.142.185.3+1.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.642.284.8+0.467%-
vs Weaker (8)42.638.581.1+4.175%-
This opponent (Israel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.0
54.6%
52.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.0
34.5%
33.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.216.4
73.9%
73.1%16.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sloveniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀28%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.1
51.1%
52.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.7
32.9%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws30.023.4
78.0%
73.1%23.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Israel
WWLWWWWWLW
Slovenia
WWLLLWWLWW
#12
League position
#8
+8.2
Net rating
+3.9
108.6
Offensive rating
110.3
100.4
Defensive rating
106.4
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.49
34.5%
3-point %
32.9%
65.7%
Assist %
76.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 110.3Defence100.4 · 106.4Shooting53.5% · 50.2%3-point %34.5% · 32.9%Ball care18.2% · 19.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 33.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.49Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Israel   ■ Slovenia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Israel wins
2
Slovenia wins
DateGameScore
24/02/25Israel v Slovenia84-74
25/02/24Slovenia v Israel88-79
27/02/23Slovenia v Israel79-87
11/11/22Israel v Slovenia62-75
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/25ABelgium92-89
31/08/25HFrance82-69
30/08/25APoland64-66
28/08/25HIceland83-71
24/02/25HSlovenia84-74
21/02/25HPortugal84-78
25/11/24HUkraine88-75
23/11/24AUkraine86-73
25/02/24ASlovenia79-88
22/02/24APortugal72-70
Slovenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/25AIceland87-79
31/08/25HBelgium86-69
30/08/25AFrance95-103
28/08/25HPoland95-105
24/02/25AIsrael74-84
21/02/25AUkraine84-71
25/11/24HPortugal83-82
22/11/24APortugal74-82
25/02/24HIsrael88-79
22/02/24HUkraine87-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Israel
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game80.282.578.0
Allowed / game73.870.077.5
Point differential+6.5+12.5+0.5
Avg total154.0152.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Slovenia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game90.890.591.0
Allowed / game89.087.091.0
Point differential+1.8+3.5+0.0
Avg total179.8177.5182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany550100%105.873.0+32.8
2 Turkey550100%91.871.8+20.0
3 France54180%92.278.2+14.0
4 Serbia54180%86.873.6+13.2
5 Lithuania54180%86.278.6+7.6
6 Greece43175%85.567.0+18.5
7 Italy43175%76.869.8+7.0
8 Israel43175%80.273.8+6.5
9 Poland43175%82.879.2+3.5
10 Latvia53260%82.476.8+5.6
11 Finland53260%85.281.2+4.0
12 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%80.280.2+0.0
13 Spain42250%77.866.0+11.8
14 Slovenia42250%90.889.0+1.8
15 Georgia52340%73.477.2-3.8
16 Portugal52340%63.073.6-10.6
17 Belgium41325%73.283.5-10.2
18 Sweden51420%80.683.6-3.0
19 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
20 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
21 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus4040%60.292.8-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Israel2221223196
Slovenia26302327106
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