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Poland vs Netherlands Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-76
26-16 20-20 20-14 19-26
Position#19
Record7-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game73.6
Poland 🏆
vs
Position#50
Record6-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game74.9
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2019
Meetings · Poland v Netherlands
06 Jul 2026
POLA92
NETH84
25 Feb 2019
POLA85
NETH76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Netherlands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#33
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A26/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H28/06
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
103-70
103
70
+33
A01/07
World Cup
Israel
#41
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A07/09
Friendly International
Russia
#20
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A08/09
Friendly International
Italy
#14
L
82-101
82
101
-19
A14/09
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H17/09
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A29/11
World Cup
Italy
#14
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H02/12
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A22/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
18-20
12-24
13-8
17-14
8-22
22-17
14-26
30-23
27-11
23-25
23-11
27-16
19-23
20-19
18-18
22-24
17-20
11-18
18-26
25-25
27-29
13-19
17-28
21-21
10-15
23-22
25-16
27-18
26-19
26-24
26-17
31-18
21-23
21-24
21-13
8-16
24-20
29-23
16-10
158.7Avg total
81.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.473.6153.0+5.764%
Season at home (5)78.870.6149.4+8.280%
Season away (6)79.876.2156.0+3.750%
Last 10 (10)81.077.7158.7+3.360%
Last 5 (5)87.480.0167.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.783.0155.7-10.318%
vs Similar ◀ (3)89.377.3166.7+12.067%
vs Weaker (8)79.669.0148.6+10.688%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Romania
#58
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A26/11
World Cup
Italy
#14
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A23/02
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A26/02
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H28/06
World Cup
Italy
#14
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H01/07
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H14/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
A17/09
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
78-105
78
105
-27
H29/11
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
A02/12
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H22/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
12-18
19-20
22-21
13-26
21-19
14-18
14-17
13-25
21-19
26-15
18-23
22-12
11-12
23-15
21-13
19-15
19-15
20-19
23-17
13-21
21-20
11-13
14-20
16-24
23-15
16-18
20-18
18-27
19-26
24-26
17-26
15-12
14-22
24-22
25-22
20-25
15-20
14-17
20-16
154.9Avg total
75.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.174.9152.9+3.240%
Season at home (8)74.273.9148.1+0.450%
Season away (7)82.476.0158.4+6.429%
Last 10 (10)75.179.8154.9-4.720%
Last 5 (5)77.088.6165.6-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.279.8156.0-3.525%
vs Similar ◀ (3)74.390.0164.3-15.70%
vs Weaker (8)80.466.8147.1+13.662%
This opponent (Poland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
PolandNetherlands
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#33
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A26/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/06
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A01/07
World Cup
Israel
#41
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A07/09
Friendly International
Russia
#20
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/09
Friendly International
Italy
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A14/09
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H17/09
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A29/11
World Cup
Italy
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H02/12
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/02
World Cup
80.8Avg total
41.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)37.537.975.4-0.332%-
Last 30 at home (9)35.435.070.4+0.444%-
Last 30 away (13)39.039.878.8-0.823%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.980.8+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.884.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.942.279.1-5.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.036.379.3+6.767%-
vs Weaker (8)36.432.568.9+3.938%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Romania
#58
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A26/11
World Cup
Italy
#14
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A23/02
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A26/02
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H28/06
World Cup
Italy
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H01/07
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H14/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/09
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H29/11
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A02/12
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H22/02
World Cup
72.9Avg total
34.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)36.337.974.1-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.239.576.8-2.238%-
Last 30 away (7)35.136.071.1-0.929%-
Last 10 (10)34.038.972.9-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.842.477.2-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.539.876.2-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.342.776.0-9.30%-
vs Weaker (8)37.235.172.4+2.150%-
This opponent (Poland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poland wins
0
Netherlands wins
DateGameScore
29/11/18Netherlands v Poland78-105
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/19ACroatia77-69
02/12/18HItaly94-78
29/11/18ANetherlands105-78
17/09/18HCroatia79-74
14/09/18AItaly82-101
08/09/18ARussia68-88
07/09/18AIsrael84-76
01/07/18AKosovo103-70
28/06/18HLithuania61-79
26/02/18AHungary57-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/19HLithuania69-78
02/12/18AHungary86-91 OT
29/11/18HPoland78-105
17/09/18ALithuania93-95 OT
14/09/18HHungary59-74
01/07/18HItaly81-66
28/06/18HRomania77-52
26/02/18ACroatia78-82
23/02/18AItaly62-80
26/11/17ARomania68-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
World Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game79.478.879.8
Allowed / game73.670.676.2
Point differential+5.7+8.2+3.7
Avg total153.0149.4156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Netherlands
World Cup 2019
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game78.174.282.4
Allowed / game74.973.976.0
Point differential+3.2+0.4+6.4
Avg total152.9148.1158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %13%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lithuania1211192%83.266.8+16.4
2 Greece1211192%81.073.3+7.7
3 Australia1210283%87.960.6+27.3
4 Canada1210283%92.969.4+23.5
5 Nigeria1210283%89.467.1+22.3
6 Tunisia1210283%77.855.8+22.0
7 New Zealand1210283%90.871.8+19.1
8 France1210283%78.164.8+13.2
9 South Korea1210283%88.577.2+11.2
10 Senegal1210283%74.165.1+9.0
11 Spain1210283%77.270.7+6.6
12 Argentina108280%87.470.7+16.7
13 Puerto Rico97278%83.278.9+4.3
14 Germany129375%84.872.2+12.5
15 Angola129375%69.162.3+6.8
16 Venezuela129375%73.869.8+4.0
17 Brazil118373%77.065.8+11.2
18 Japan128467%82.370.3+12.0
19 Russia128467%80.571.1+9.4
20 Italy128467%78.369.7+8.7
21 Iran128467%74.267.6+6.6
22 Turkey128467%72.867.1+5.8
23 Czech Republic128467%74.274.1+0.1
24 Uruguay96367%70.772.4-1.8
25 Dominican Republic117464%83.377.3+6.0
26 Poland117464%79.473.6+5.7
27 China127558%83.769.5+14.2
28 Serbia127558%82.872.9+9.8
29 Ivory Coast127558%67.260.0+7.2
30 Jordan127558%86.479.2+7.2
31 Cameroon127558%72.766.2+6.5
32 Philippines127558%80.877.9+2.9
33 Latvia127558%78.676.2+2.4
34 Montenegro127558%76.575.1+1.4
35 Egypt127558%66.866.6+0.2
36 Lebanon126650%78.871.5+7.2
37 Hungary126650%69.770.8-1.1
38 Finland126650%76.177.2-1.2
39 Bulgaria168850%76.177.8-1.8
40 Armenia63350%78.380.3-2.0
41 Central African Republic126650%68.070.3-2.3
42 Panama94544%72.873.7-0.9
43 Estonia167944%70.076.0-6.0
44 Ukraine125742%75.774.3+1.3
45 Sweden125742%72.875.6-2.8
46 Georgia125742%77.280.7-3.4
47 Israel125742%77.181.2-4.1
48 Netherlands156940%78.174.9+3.2
49 Bosnia & Herzegovina1871139%76.379.0-2.7
50 D.R. Congo62433%67.867.7+0.2
51 Mexico93633%73.875.7-1.9
52 Croatia124833%71.574.2-2.8
53 Morocco124833%61.665.8-4.2
54 Mozambique62433%58.062.8-4.8
55 Iraq62433%68.773.7-5.0
56 Iceland62433%77.282.7-5.5
57 Kazakhstan124833%69.080.2-11.2
58 Romania62433%61.377.8-16.5
59 Austria103730%72.078.2-6.2
60 North Macedonia41325%74.075.0-1.0
61 Slovenia123925%75.882.3-6.6
62 Portugal41325%72.582.2-9.8
63 Mali123925%64.075.8-11.8
64 United States Virgin Islands123925%72.184.7-12.6
65 Chad123925%60.174.8-14.8
66 Rwanda123925%67.283.1-15.8
67 Belarus102820%73.983.0-9.1
68 Kosovo102820%65.586.3-20.8
69 Great Britain61517%73.376.2-2.8
70 Belgium61517%65.373.8-8.5
71 Slovakia61517%72.381.3-9.0
72 Uganda61517%77.790.0-12.3
73 Chile1221017%61.474.8-13.3
74 Colombia61517%65.580.2-14.7
75 Bahamas61517%73.593.5-20.0
76 Chinese Taipei61517%71.092.0-21.0
77 Qatar1221017%61.085.6-24.6
78 Syria1221017%66.190.7-24.6
79 Cuba4040%67.581.5-14.0
80 Paraguay6060%58.576.7-18.2
81 India6060%68.894.7-25.8
82 Guinea6060%56.089.3-33.3
83 Albania4040%57.094.5-37.5
84 Hong Kong6060%67.3110.2-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland2620201985
Netherlands1620142676
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