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Iwate vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 80-84 (OT)
26-12 17-22 8-19 22-20 7-11
Position#13
Record15-31
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Aomori 🏆
Japan
Position#8
Record25-21
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game86.9
JapanB2.League· Morioka Takaya Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Iwate v Aomori
21 Apr 2024
IWAT83
AOMO76
20 Apr 2024
IWAT87
AOMO86
10 Mar 2024
IWAT80
AOMO84
09 Mar 2024
IWAT95
AOMO93
10 May 2015
IWAT111
AOMO57
09 May 2015
IWAT97
AOMO87
29 Mar 2015
IWAT77
AOMO71
28 Mar 2015
IWAT80
AOMO69
23 Feb 2014
IWAT70
AOMO67
22 Feb 2014
IWAT66
AOMO53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iwate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
69-67
69
67
+2
58avg 60
A04/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 60
H10/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
77-58
77
58
+19
73avg 60
H11/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A16/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
60-65
60
65
-5
46avg 60
A17/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
71avg 60
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 60
A24/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-91
75
91
-16
69avg 60
A02/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
78-64
78
64
+14
78avg 60
A03/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-93
95
93
+2
78avg 60
H09/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
22-20
18-19
11-13
12-28
28-13
20-12
18-27
16-12
20-18
26-16
15-12
14-21
22-19
18-15
21-20
14-19
21-13
14-25
11-8
18-14
22-19
24-22
19-17
18-10
11-28
20-21
20-12
15-29
22-19
17-22
21-21
22-12
15-20
16-15
25-17
23-22
25-23
22-23
25-25
150.9Avg total
76.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)71.374.9146.2-3.633%
Season at home (21)71.073.5144.5-2.433%
Season away (25)71.576.1147.6-4.632%
Last 10 (10)76.974.0150.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)80.078.2158.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.672.5139.2-5.927%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.074.5150.5+1.547%
vs Weaker (4)71.069.2140.2+1.850%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
74-84 OT
74
84
-10
no box
H04/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 74
A10/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 74
A11/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
96avg 74
H17/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-102
78
102
-24
64avg 74
H18/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
85-68
85
68
+17
88avg 74
A26/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
93-84
93
84
+9
87avg 74
A27/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
91avg 74
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
76avg 74
H03/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
93-95
93
95
-2
95avg 74
A09/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
19-24
16-16
15-15
16-22
19-21
24-18
25-13
22-16
28-15
16-31
20-19
28-29
27-25
19-27
22-24
23-18
19-24
22-34
14-26
27-21
21-12
17-20
20-15
18-22
32-23
20-22
23-17
26-18
24-23
19-22
23-21
11-23
25-19
21-15
28-25
22-23
23-25
23-22
25-25
172.5Avg total
86.6Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)85.686.9172.5-1.354%
Season at home (24)82.687.2169.8-4.650%
Season away (22)89.086.6175.5+2.459%
Last 10 (10)86.685.9172.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)89.682.6172.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.099.0181.0-17.020%
vs Similar ◀ (19)86.186.8172.9-0.747%
vs Weaker (6)87.280.3167.5+6.883%
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
IwateAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H11/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A16/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A02/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A03/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H09/03
B2.League
75.2Avg total
37.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.275.1-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.836.774.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)36.339.275.5-2.839%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.475.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.638.773.4-4.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.337.876.1+0.553%-
vs Weaker (4)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H04/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A11/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H17/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H18/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A26/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H03/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A09/03
B2.League
86.2Avg total
44.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.785.1-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.544.887.3-2.338%-
Last 30 away (14)42.440.282.6+2.257%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.586.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.887.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.449.091.4-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.441.482.8+0.142%-
vs Weaker (6)45.841.587.3+4.383%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.2
48.5%
52.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.1
32.6%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.1
66.9%
71.0%12.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.524.3
57.2%
52.4%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.1
35.7%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.5
73.8%
71.0%13.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iwate
WWLLWLWWLW
Aomori
LWWWWLLWWL
#13
League position
#8
-1.1
Net rating
+1.2
105.0
Offensive rating
112.4
106.1
Defensive rating
111.2
48.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.6%
3-point %
35.7%
59.7%
Assist %
67.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 112.4Defence106.1 · 111.2Shooting48.7% · 55.9%3-point %32.6% · 35.7%Ball care16.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.7% · 28.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Iwate   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Iwate wins
2
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Iwate v Aomori95-93
08/10/23Aomori v Iwate77-68
07/10/23Aomori v Iwate84-79 OT
10/05/15Iwate v Aomori111-57
09/05/15Iwate v Aomori97-87 OT
29/03/15Iwate v Aomori77-71
28/03/15Iwate v Aomori80-69
01/03/15Aomori v Iwate77-79 OT
28/02/15Aomori v Iwate54-87
23/02/14Iwate v Aomori70-67
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HAomori95-93
03/03/24ANara78-64
02/03/24ANara75-91
24/02/24AFukuoka69-71
23/02/24AFukuoka83-72
17/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings60-65
16/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings85-79 OT
11/02/24HFukushima77-58
10/02/24HFukushima78-80
04/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas69-67
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AIwate93-95
03/03/24HFukushima85-82
02/03/24HFukushima92-84
27/02/24ANiigata93-84
26/02/24ANiigata85-68
18/02/24HAltiri Chiba78-102
17/02/24HAltiri Chiba96-105
11/02/24AKobe86-81
10/02/24AKobe84-74
04/02/24HFukuoka74-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW33%
HomeLWLWW33%
AwayLWLLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462125
Win %33%33%32%
Points / game71.371.071.5
Allowed / game74.973.576.1
Point differential-3.6-2.4-4.6
Avg total146.2144.5147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)33% (6)25% (8)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL54%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWWWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %54%50%59%
Points / game85.682.689.0
Allowed / game86.987.286.6
Point differential-1.3-4.6+2.4
Avg total172.5169.8175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won63% (19)83% (6)54% (13)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4643393%91.576.3+15.2
2 Shiga45331273%88.180.8+7.4
3 Fukuoka45311469%78.074.2+3.7
4 Kumamoto46311567%85.483.0+2.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas46262057%83.374.7+8.7
6 Aomori46252154%85.686.9-1.3
7 Yamagata Wyverns46212546%81.385.8-4.5
8 Kobe46192741%78.778.5+0.2
9 Shizuoka46192741%80.781.8-1.2
10 Fukushima46192741%81.484.6-3.2
11 Nara46182839%73.877.4-3.7
12 Ehime Orange Vikings47163134%78.985.0-6.1
13 Iwate46153133%71.374.9-3.6
14 Niigata4764113%73.687.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Iwate2617822780
Aomori122219201184
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