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Iwate vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 95-93
23-22 25-23 22-23 25-25
Position#13
Record14-31
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game74.5
Iwate 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#8
Record25-20
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game86.7
JapanB2.League· Morioka Takaya Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Iwate v Aomori
21 Apr 2024
IWAT83
AOMO76
20 Apr 2024
IWAT87
AOMO86
10 Mar 2024
IWAT80
AOMO84
09 Mar 2024
IWAT95
AOMO93
10 May 2015
IWAT111
AOMO57
09 May 2015
IWAT97
AOMO87
29 Mar 2015
IWAT77
AOMO71
28 Mar 2015
IWAT80
AOMO69
23 Feb 2014
IWAT70
AOMO67
22 Feb 2014
IWAT66
AOMO53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iwate winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
54avg 59
A03/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
69-67
69
67
+2
58avg 59
A04/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 59
H10/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
77-58
77
58
+19
73avg 59
H11/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A16/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
60-65
60
65
-5
46avg 59
A17/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
71avg 59
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 59
A24/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-91
75
91
-16
69avg 59
A02/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
78-64
78
64
+14
78avg 59
A03/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
12-28
16-24
19-19
18-15
22-20
18-19
11-13
12-28
28-13
20-12
18-27
16-12
20-18
26-16
15-12
14-21
22-19
18-15
21-20
14-19
21-13
14-25
11-8
18-14
22-19
24-22
19-17
18-10
11-28
20-21
20-12
15-29
22-19
17-22
21-21
22-12
15-20
16-15
25-17
147.8Avg total
74.2Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)70.874.5145.2-3.731%
Season at home (20)69.872.5142.3-2.730%
Season away (25)71.576.1147.6-4.632%
Last 10 (10)74.273.6147.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)73.072.6145.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.672.5139.2-5.927%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.373.7147.9+0.640%
vs Weaker (4)71.069.2140.2+1.850%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
58avg 74
H03/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
74-84 OT
74
84
-10
no box
H04/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 74
A10/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 74
A11/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
96avg 74
H17/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-102
78
102
-24
64avg 74
H18/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
85-68
85
68
+17
88avg 74
A26/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
93-84
93
84
+9
87avg 74
A27/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
91avg 74
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
76avg 74
H03/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
23-18
21-19
19-24
17-12
19-24
16-16
15-15
16-22
19-21
24-18
25-13
22-16
28-15
16-31
20-19
28-29
27-25
19-27
22-24
23-18
19-24
22-34
14-26
27-21
21-12
17-20
20-15
18-22
32-23
20-22
23-17
26-18
24-23
19-22
23-21
11-23
25-19
21-15
28-25
170.5Avg total
85.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)85.586.7172.2-1.356%
Season at home (24)82.687.2169.8-4.650%
Season away (21)88.886.2175.0+2.662%
Last 10 (10)85.385.2170.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)86.684.0170.6+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.099.0181.0-17.020%
vs Similar ◀ (19)86.586.5173.0-0.153%
vs Weaker (6)87.280.3167.5+6.883%
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
IwateAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A03/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H11/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A16/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A02/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A03/03
B2.League
73.8Avg total
36.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.174.6-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.836.573.3+0.342%-
Last 30 away (18)36.339.275.5-2.839%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.573.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.672.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.638.773.4-4.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.537.775.2-0.147%-
vs Weaker (4)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H03/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H04/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A11/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H17/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H18/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A26/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H03/03
B2.League
85.4Avg total
44.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.785.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.544.887.3-2.338%-
Last 30 away (14)42.940.283.1+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.285.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.685.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.449.091.4-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.741.483.1+0.447%-
vs Weaker (6)45.841.587.3+4.383%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.6
50.0%
52.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.6
31.3%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.411.1
63.8%
71.0%11.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.725.3
57.9%
52.4%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.9
34.2%
33.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
71.0%13.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iwate
WLLWLWWLWL
Aomori
WWWWLLWWLL
#13
League position
#8
+0.6
Net rating
+2.2
103.5
Offensive rating
113.6
102.9
Defensive rating
111.4
48.6%
Effective FG%
55.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.3%
3-point %
34.2%
62.6%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 113.6Defence102.9 · 111.4Shooting48.6% · 55.6%3-point %31.3% · 34.2%Ball care15.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds31.3% · 27.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Iwate   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Iwate wins
2
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Aomori v Iwate77-68
07/10/23Aomori v Iwate84-79 OT
10/05/15Iwate v Aomori111-57
09/05/15Iwate v Aomori97-87 OT
29/03/15Iwate v Aomori77-71
28/03/15Iwate v Aomori80-69
01/03/15Aomori v Iwate77-79 OT
28/02/15Aomori v Iwate54-87
23/02/14Iwate v Aomori70-67
22/02/14Iwate v Aomori66-53
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ANara78-64
02/03/24ANara75-91
24/02/24AFukuoka69-71
23/02/24AFukuoka83-72
17/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings60-65
16/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings85-79 OT
11/02/24HFukushima77-58
10/02/24HFukushima78-80
04/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas69-67
03/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas68-89
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HFukushima85-82
02/03/24HFukushima92-84
27/02/24ANiigata93-84
26/02/24ANiigata85-68
18/02/24HAltiri Chiba78-102
17/02/24HAltiri Chiba96-105
11/02/24AKobe86-81
10/02/24AKobe84-74
04/02/24HFukuoka74-84 OT
03/02/24HFukuoka80-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW31%
HomeLLWLW30%
AwayLWLLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452025
Win %31%30%32%
Points / game70.869.871.5
Allowed / game74.572.576.1
Point differential-3.7-2.6-4.6
Avg total145.2142.3147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%15%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)20% (5)25% (8)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %56%50%62%
Points / game85.582.688.8
Allowed / game86.787.286.2
Point differential-1.3-4.6+2.6
Avg total172.2169.8175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%8%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)83% (6)58% (12)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4542393%91.576.2+15.3
2 Shiga45331273%88.180.8+7.4
3 Fukuoka45311469%78.074.2+3.7
4 Kumamoto45301567%85.683.2+2.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas45261958%83.474.4+9.0
6 Aomori45252056%85.586.7-1.3
7 Yamagata Wyverns45212447%81.486.0-4.6
8 Kobe45192642%78.678.2+0.4
9 Shizuoka45192642%80.982.1-1.2
10 Fukushima45182740%81.384.7-3.4
11 Nara45172838%73.877.6-3.8
12 Ehime Orange Vikings46153133%78.585.0-6.6
13 Iwate45143131%70.874.5-3.7
14 Niigata4664013%73.586.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iwate2325222595
Aomori2223232593
← all games of the day
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