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Nara vs Iwate Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 64-78
12-22 20-15 15-16 17-25
Position#11
Record17-27
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game77.6
Nara
Japan
vs
Iwate 🏆
Japan
Position#13
Record13-31
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game74.7
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Iwate
03 Mar 2024
NARA64
IWAT78
02 Mar 2024
NARA91
IWAT75
09 Nov 2014
NARA70
IWAT85
08 Nov 2014
NARA63
IWAT89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iwate winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
70avg 66
H31/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 66
A03/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 66
A04/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
66-72
66
72
-6
56avg 66
A09/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
54avg 66
A10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
94-97
94
97
-3
89avg 66
H17/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-75
95
75
+20
102avg 66
H18/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 66
A23/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
70-71 OT
70
71
-1
no box
A24/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
91-75
91
75
+16
90avg 66
H02/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
19-22
18-24
18-19
20-14
18-26
15-25
26-26
22-17
15-21
23-15
18-27
12-13
21-15
19-29
14-15
20-16
7-29
19-18
17-13
26-30
25-19
21-24
22-24
28-20
15-25
27-18
25-12
17-11
26-14
14-10
11-21
12-17
16-12
19-21
15-12
29-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
155.4Avg total
77.8Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)74.177.6151.7-3.539%
Season at home (21)76.180.0156.1-3.948%
Season away (23)72.275.4147.6-3.230%
Last 10 (10)77.877.6155.4+0.230%
Last 5 (5)83.674.8158.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.976.6149.5-3.736%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.975.8150.6-0.950%
vs Weaker (3)90.383.0173.3+7.367%
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
78-62
78
62
+16
74avg 59
H31/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
54avg 59
A03/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
69-67
69
67
+2
58avg 59
A04/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 59
H10/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
77-58
77
58
+19
73avg 59
H11/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A16/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
60-65
60
65
-5
46avg 59
A17/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
71avg 59
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 59
A24/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-91
75
91
-16
69avg 59
A02/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
22-17
17-16
20-15
21-18
12-28
16-24
19-19
18-15
22-20
18-19
11-13
12-28
28-13
20-12
18-27
16-12
20-18
26-16
15-12
14-21
22-19
18-15
21-20
14-19
21-13
14-25
11-8
18-14
22-19
24-22
19-17
18-10
11-28
20-21
20-12
15-29
22-19
17-22
21-21
147.6Avg total
74.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)70.674.7145.3-4.130%
Season at home (20)69.872.5142.3-2.730%
Season away (24)71.276.6147.8-5.429%
Last 10 (10)74.273.4147.6+0.850%
Last 5 (5)74.475.6150.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.672.5139.2-5.927%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.974.5148.4-0.533%
vs Weaker (4)71.069.2140.2+1.850%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
NaraIwate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A09/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H18/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A23/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A24/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H02/03
B2.League
76.2Avg total
38.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.775.2-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.539.177.6-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)35.138.473.4-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.676.2+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.079.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.737.472.1-2.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.138.774.8-2.638%-
vs Weaker (3)46.043.389.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H31/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A03/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H11/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A16/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A02/03
B2.League
74.1Avg total
36.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.475.3-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.836.573.3+0.342%-
Last 30 away (18)36.939.776.7-2.839%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.474.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.273.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.638.773.4-4.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.338.376.6-0.147%-
vs Weaker (4)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.1
52.0%
52.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.7
35.3%
33.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.813.3
74.7%
71.0%13.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.7
48.9%
52.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.4
30.3%
33.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.110.7
62.6%
71.0%10.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
WLWWLLLLLL
Iwate
LLWLWWLWLW
#11
League position
#13
+0.4
Net rating
-3.6
107.5
Offensive rating
101.3
107.0
Defensive rating
104.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
47.4%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.3%
3-point %
30.3%
64.2%
Assist %
60.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 101.3Defence107.0 · 104.9Shooting52.3% · 47.4%3-point %35.3% · 30.3%Ball care17.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds28.4% · 31.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Nara   ■ Iwate
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nara wins
2
Iwate wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Nara v Iwate91-75
26/11/23Iwate v Nara71-77
25/11/23Iwate v Nara69-80
09/11/14Nara v Iwate70-85
08/11/14Nara v Iwate63-89
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HIwate91-75
24/02/24AKobe70-71 OT
23/02/24AKobe68-56
18/02/24HNiigata95-75
17/02/24HNiigata94-97
10/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings63-76
09/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings66-72
04/02/24AYamagata Wyverns78-80
03/02/24AYamagata Wyverns79-91
31/01/24HFukuoka74-83
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ANara75-91
24/02/24AFukuoka69-71
23/02/24AFukuoka83-72
17/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings60-65
16/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings85-79 OT
11/02/24HFukushima77-58
10/02/24HFukushima78-80
04/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas69-67
03/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas68-89
31/01/24HYamagata Wyverns78-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW39%
HomeLLLWW48%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442123
Win %39%48%30%
Points / game74.176.172.2
Allowed / game77.680.075.4
Point differential-3.5-3.9-3.2
Avg total151.7156.1147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)60% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %7%5%9%
Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeLLWLW30%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442024
Win %30%30%29%
Points / game70.669.871.2
Allowed / game74.772.576.6
Point differential-4.1-2.6-5.4
Avg total145.3142.3147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)20% (5)25% (8)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4441393%91.275.8+15.5
2 Shiga44321273%88.380.9+7.4
3 Fukuoka44301468%77.974.2+3.6
4 Kumamoto44291566%85.683.2+2.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas44261859%83.874.4+9.3
6 Aomori44242055%85.586.8-1.4
7 Yamagata Wyverns44202445%81.586.4-4.8
8 Kobe44192543%78.778.1+0.6
9 Shizuoka44192543%80.882.0-1.2
10 Fukushima44182641%81.384.7-3.4
11 Nara44172739%74.177.6-3.5
12 Ehime Orange Vikings44143032%78.385.1-6.9
13 Iwate44133130%70.674.7-4.1
14 Niigata4463814%72.786.3-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1220151764
Iwate2215162578
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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