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Nara vs Iwate Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 91-75
29-15 19-22 22-17 21-21
Position#11
Record16-27
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game77.7
Nara 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#13
Record13-30
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game74.3
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Iwate
03 Mar 2024
NARA64
IWAT78
02 Mar 2024
NARA91
IWAT75
09 Nov 2014
NARA70
IWAT85
08 Nov 2014
NARA63
IWAT89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iwate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 66
H28/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
70avg 66
H31/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 66
A03/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 66
A04/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
66-72
66
72
-6
56avg 66
A09/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
54avg 66
A10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
94-97
94
97
-3
89avg 66
H17/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-75
95
75
+20
102avg 66
H18/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 66
A23/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
70-71 OT
70
71
-1
no box
A24/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-17
27-15
9-23
19-18
19-22
18-24
18-19
20-14
18-26
15-25
26-26
22-17
15-21
23-15
18-27
12-13
21-15
19-29
14-15
20-16
7-29
19-18
17-13
26-30
25-19
21-24
22-24
28-20
15-25
27-18
25-12
17-11
26-14
14-10
11-21
12-17
16-12
19-21
15-12
154.2Avg total
76.3Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)73.777.7151.3-4.037%
Season at home (20)75.480.2155.7-4.845%
Season away (23)72.275.4147.6-3.230%
Last 10 (10)76.377.9154.2-1.620%
Last 5 (5)78.075.0153.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.976.6149.5-3.736%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.875.8149.6-2.047%
vs Weaker (4)86.877.8164.5+9.075%
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 59
A28/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
78-62
78
62
+16
74avg 59
H31/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
54avg 59
A03/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
69-67
69
67
+2
58avg 59
A04/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 59
H10/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
77-58
77
58
+19
73avg 59
H11/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A16/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
60-65
60
65
-5
46avg 59
A17/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
71avg 59
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 59
A24/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
25-19
18-24
16-22
19-14
22-17
17-16
20-15
21-18
12-28
16-24
19-19
18-15
22-20
18-19
11-13
12-28
28-13
20-12
18-27
16-12
20-18
26-16
15-12
14-21
22-19
18-15
21-20
14-19
21-13
14-25
11-8
18-14
22-19
24-22
19-17
18-10
11-28
20-21
20-12
146.5Avg total
73.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)70.574.3144.8-3.930%
Season at home (20)69.872.5142.3-2.730%
Season away (23)71.076.0147.0-4.930%
Last 10 (10)73.772.8146.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)74.869.0143.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.672.5139.2-5.927%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.774.1148.7+0.640%
vs Weaker (4)71.069.2140.2+1.850%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
NaraIwate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H28/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A09/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A10/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H18/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A23/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A24/02
B2.League
75.7Avg total
37.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.374.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.839.277.0-1.542%-
Last 30 away (18)35.437.673.1-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.975.7-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.677.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.737.472.1-2.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.338.874.1-3.533%-
vs Weaker (4)45.038.883.8+6.275%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H31/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A03/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H11/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A16/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/02
B2.League
73.1Avg total
36.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.138.475.5-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.836.573.3+0.342%-
Last 30 away (18)37.339.676.9-2.339%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.573.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.669.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.638.773.4-4.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.738.276.9+0.547%-
vs Weaker (4)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.7
51.3%
52.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.5
32.8%
33.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws16.312.3
75.5%
71.0%12.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.4
48.6%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.1
28.6%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.110.9
63.7%
71.0%10.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LWWLLLLLLL
Iwate
LWLWWLWLWL
#11
League position
#13
-3.1
Net rating
+0.0
104.5
Offensive rating
99.6
107.6
Defensive rating
99.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
46.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
28.6%
62.4%
Assist %
59.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 99.6Defence107.6 · 99.6Shooting50.6% · 46.1%3-point %32.8% · 28.6%Ball care18.0% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Nara   ■ Iwate
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nara wins
2
Iwate wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Iwate v Nara71-77
25/11/23Iwate v Nara69-80
09/11/14Nara v Iwate70-85
08/11/14Nara v Iwate63-89
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AKobe70-71 OT
23/02/24AKobe68-56
18/02/24HNiigata95-75
17/02/24HNiigata94-97
10/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings63-76
09/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings66-72
04/02/24AYamagata Wyverns78-80
03/02/24AYamagata Wyverns79-91
31/01/24HFukuoka74-83
28/01/24HAltiri Chiba76-78
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AFukuoka69-71
23/02/24AFukuoka83-72
17/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings60-65
16/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings85-79 OT
11/02/24HFukushima77-58
10/02/24HFukushima78-80
04/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas69-67
03/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas68-89
31/01/24HYamagata Wyverns78-62
28/01/24AKobe70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL37%
HomeLLLLW45%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %37%45%30%
Points / game73.775.472.2
Allowed / game77.780.275.4
Point differential-4.0-4.8-3.2
Avg total151.3155.7147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)60% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %7%5%9%
Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL30%
HomeLLWLW30%
AwayWWLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %30%30%30%
Points / game70.569.871.0
Allowed / game74.372.576.0
Point differential-3.9-2.6-4.9
Avg total144.8142.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)20% (5)25% (8)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4340393%90.975.8+15.2
2 Shiga44321273%88.380.9+7.4
3 Fukuoka44301468%77.974.2+3.6
4 Kumamoto44291566%85.683.2+2.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas44261859%83.874.4+9.3
6 Aomori44242055%85.586.8-1.4
7 Yamagata Wyverns44202445%81.586.4-4.8
8 Kobe44192543%78.778.1+0.6
9 Shizuoka44192543%80.882.0-1.2
10 Fukushima44182641%81.384.7-3.4
11 Nara43162737%73.777.7-4.0
12 Ehime Orange Vikings44143032%78.385.1-6.9
13 Iwate43133030%70.574.3-3.9
14 Niigata4363714%72.785.9-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2919222191
Iwate1522172175
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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