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Japan vs Australia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 95-95
29-23 20-26 20-23 26-23
Position-
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Japan
vs
Australia 🏆
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2024
Meetings · Japan v Australia
23 Jun 2024
JAPA95
AUST95
01 Jul 2022
JAPA52
AUST98
29 Jun 2018
JAPA79
AUST78
08 Aug 2017
JAPA68
AUST84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H31/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
95-63
95
63
+32
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
70-57
70
57
+13
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
74avg 70
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
66avg 70
H25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
21-22
17-21
33-15
17-19
33-18
23-18
7-16
33-13
23-21
18-7
21-22
21-15
17-19
14-16
18-7
23-17
20-20
18-16
22-24
12-28
13-15
18-23
23-19
23-19
13-27
19-19
19-14
18-19
7-22
18-18
12-15
17-12
18-24
20-8
22-12
19-20
19-18
17-13
21-22
147.4Avg total
76.2Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.271.2147.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)69.673.4143.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.984.6153.4-15.729%
vs Similar (8)77.687.6165.2-10.025%
vs Weaker (15)87.164.5151.5+22.693%
AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Iran
#51
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
83-51
83
51
+32
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
98-53
98
53
+45
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
98-72
98
72
+26
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
109-89
109
89
+20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
86avg 99
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
111avg 99
A25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
25-19
27-5
7-19
24-8
21-13
25-14
33-11
19-15
17-21
28-19
25-14
28-18
25-24
19-25
22-13
16-23
25-17
32-18
30-35
22-19
18-28
22-21
22-17
18-25
23-17
31-20
25-30
21-17
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
150.8Avg total
84.1Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.166.7150.8+17.470%
Last 5 (5)96.077.2173.2+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.783.7177.3+10.0100%
vs Weaker (27)86.163.9150.1+22.289%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +6.7+6.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +6.7+6.7
JapanAustralia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A28/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/02
Asia Cup
76.9Avg total
38.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.978.6-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.538.277.8+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.941.879.6-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.776.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.840.872.6-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.745.077.7-12.314%-
vs Similar (8)32.446.478.8-14.00%-
vs Weaker (15)44.934.179.0+10.967%-
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#73
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H23/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
84.1Avg total
47.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.733.979.6+11.886%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.733.678.3+11.188%-
Last 30 away (12)47.134.281.3+12.883%-
Last 10 (9)47.037.184.1+9.967%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.886.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.735.782.3+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)45.633.779.2+11.985%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀33%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.012.5
44.6%
55.7%25.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.511.5
29.9%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.517.0
79.1%
71.8%17.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.028.0
59.6%
55.7%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
34.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.017.5
72.9%
71.8%17.5
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 23 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Japan
WWLLLWWWWW
Australia
WWWLWLWWWL
+17.4
Net rating
+44.9
102.4
Offensive rating
123.0
85.0
Defensive rating
78.1
44.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
37.9%
Opp. effective FG%
42.0%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
44.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.9%
3-point %
29.2%
72.9%
Assist %
71.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 123.0Defence85.0 · 78.1Shooting44.7% · 54.2%3-point %29.9% · 29.2%Ball care13.2% · 15.6%Off. rebounds24.1% · 44.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Japan   ■ Australia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Japan wins
6
Australia wins
DateGameScore
29/08/23Australia v Japan109-89
21/07/22Australia v Japan99-85
01/07/22Japan v Australia52-98
27/02/22Australia v Japan80-64
29/06/18Japan v Australia79-78
27/11/17Australia v Japan82-58
08/08/17Japan v Australia68-84
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HChina76-73
22/02/24HGuam77-56
06/10/23ASouth Korea55-74
04/10/23ASaudi Arabia74-79
03/10/23HChinese Taipei66-85
30/09/23HSouth Korea83-77
28/09/23AIndonesia70-57
26/09/23HQatar95-63
02/09/23HCape Verde80-71
31/08/23HVenezuela86-77
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
03/09/23HGeorgia100-84
01/09/23ASlovenia80-91
29/08/23HJapan109-89
27/08/23HGermany82-85
25/08/23AFinland98-72
26/02/23HKazakhstan98-53
23/02/23HBahrain83-51
14/11/22AIran0-20

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Australia
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan2920202695
Australia2326232395
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