Jelgava vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 72-83

16-21 18-16 19-20 19-26

Position#8

Record11-14

FormWLWWL

Points / game71.4

Allowed / game71.3

Jelgava

BK Liepaja 🏆

Position#3

Record18-6

FormLWLLL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game70.0

LBL

Other2014-15

Meetings · Jelgava v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jelgava winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Saldus

71-60

+11

A28/12

LBL

Ventspils

57-78

-21

A09/01

LBL

Barons Kvartals

65-78

-13

H18/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

87-62

+25

A25/01

LBL

Jurmala

74-79

-5

A28/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

66-63

H04/02

LBL

Saldus

50-64

-14

H11/02

LBL

Jurmala

82-60

+22

H19/02

LBL

Saldus

77-55

+22

A04/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

71-87

-16

H11/03

LBL

20-17

12-5

19-24

20-14

12-28

16-21

15-5

14-24

21-9

15-23

12-22

17-24

23-13

19-16

26-18

19-15

21-16

10-22

14-19

29-22

14-17

13-16

18-16

21-14

19-15

15-21

7-11

9-17

19-14

21-14

15-12

27-20

17-14

15-15

28-10

17-16

15-26

17-21

19-21

20-19

138.6Avg total

70.0Scored

68.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	71.4	71.3	142.8	+0.1	44%
Season at home (14)	68.1	70.6	138.6	-2.5	43%
Season away (11)	75.7	72.3	148.0	+3.5	45%
Last 10 (10)	70.0	68.6	138.6	+1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	65.8	135.0	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	69.2	83.2	152.5	-14.0	25%
vs Similar (11)	73.0	74.6	147.6	-1.6	27%
vs Weaker (11)	73.8	66.5	140.4	+7.3	73%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

87-95

-8

H28/01

LBL

Jurmala

70-65

H01/02

LBL

Jekabpils

67-62

A04/02

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

67-58

A08/02

LBL

Jekabpils

105-83

105

+22

H11/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

73-78

-5

A14/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

87-75

+12

H18/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

#10

49-59

-10

A26/02

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

#10

71-71 OT

H03/03

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

70-83

-13

A08/03

LBL

21-25

20-17

21-25

25-28

17-18

18-15

15-16

20-16

17-17

16-13

16-26

18-6

15-21

23-11

17-13

12-13

33-21

24-23

25-20

23-19

20-27

18-18

21-16

14-17

14-20

29-13

17-17

27-25

11-15

9-13

16-17

13-14

13-13

21-15

22-14

14-18

17-17

17-24

18-16

18-26

147.5Avg total

74.6Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	78.8	70.0	148.7	+8.8	75%
Season at home (12)	82.8	72.7	155.4	+10.1	83%
Season away (12)	74.8	67.2	142.0	+7.5	67%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	72.9	147.5	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	73.2	143.2	-3.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	81.0	76.0	157.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar (7)	76.1	76.1	152.3	+0.0	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	79.4	70.7	150.1	+8.7	73%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JelgavaBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.1	18.5	34.6	-2.4	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	16.9	35.0	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.2	34.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.1	20.9	37.0	-4.8	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (11)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.5	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	17.8	39.7	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	18.9	35.9	-2.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.4	33.4	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	18.0	35.2	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.2	18.1	35.2	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.3	17.8	35.2	-0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	17.4	32.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.4	33.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.4	21.5	37.9	-5.1	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.1	15.0	33.1	+3.1	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	17.2	38.7	+4.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	16.2	35.7	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	16.6	35.4	+2.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.5	55%	-

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Saldus

32-22

+10

A28/12

LBL

Ventspils

28-49

-21

A09/01

LBL

Barons Kvartals

36-32

H18/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

42-29

+13

A25/01

LBL

Jurmala

31-38

-7

A28/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

27-33

-6

H04/02

LBL

Saldus

34-36

-2

H11/02

LBL

Jurmala

40-28

+12

H19/02

LBL

Saldus

32-29

A04/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

32-47

-15

H11/03

LBL

67.7Avg total

33.4Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.2	36.9	71.2	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	33.3	36.6	69.9	-3.3	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.5	37.4	72.8	-1.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	34.3	67.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	34.6	67.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	32.5	42.4	74.9	-9.9	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	34.5	37.3	71.7	-2.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	35.3	32.6	67.9	+2.6	55%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

41-42

-1

H28/01

LBL

Jurmala

35-33

H01/02

LBL

Jekabpils

33-30

A04/02

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

38-32

A08/02

LBL

Jekabpils

57-44

+13

H11/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

38-45

-7

A14/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

43-33

+10

H18/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

#10

20-28

-8

A26/02

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

#10

34-28

H03/03

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

34-41

-7

A08/03

LBL

72.9Avg total

37.3Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	35.8	75.2	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	35.0	78.4	+8.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	36.6	72.3	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	35.6	72.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	35.0	68.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.1	34.9	73.0	+3.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	39.9	36.0	75.9	+3.9	73%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	15.8	33.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	14.0	31.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.1	27%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	17.5	37.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.9	38.6	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	22.1	41.6	-2.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.7	17.1	36.8	+2.6	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.9	19.2	36.1	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.3	82%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.1	16.9	35.0	+1.2	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	20.0	48.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.1	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	36.5	74.2	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.5	36.2	71.8	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	36.9	77.5	+3.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	34.3	70.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	31.2	67.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.4	39.0	74.4	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.5	37.4	75.9	+1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (11)	38.5	33.9	72.5	+4.6	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	36.0	75.3	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	36.7	77.5	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	35.3	73.4	+2.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	36.2	73.4	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	36.0	72.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	37.0	83.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.9	39.7	77.6	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	39.5	34.7	74.2	+4.8	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Jelgava wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
12/11/14	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	69-64
15/10/14	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	90-86 OT
08/03/14	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	110-71
12/01/14	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	105-96
07/12/13	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	79-81
13/11/13	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	94-61
20/03/13	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	94-112
27/02/13	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	70-84
29/11/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	85-94
07/11/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	78-81

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/15	H	Valmiera/ORDO	71-87
04/03/15	A	Saldus	77-55
19/02/15	H	Jurmala	82-60
11/02/15	H	Saldus	50-64
04/02/15	H	Latvijas Universitate	66-63
28/01/15	A	Jurmala	74-79
25/01/15	A	Latvijas Universitate	87-62
18/01/15	H	Barons Kvartals	65-78
09/01/15	A	Ventspils	57-78
28/12/14	A	Saldus	71-60

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/15	A	Barons Kvartals	70-83
03/03/15	H	Tartu Ulikool	71-71 OT
26/02/15	A	Tartu Ulikool	49-59
18/02/15	H	Valmiera/ORDO	87-75
14/02/15	A	Jekabpils	73-78
11/02/15	H	Jekabpils	105-83
08/02/15	A	Latvijas Universitate	67-58
04/02/15	A	Jekabpils	67-62
01/02/15	H	Jurmala	70-65
28/01/15	H	VEF Riga	87-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jelgava

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	44%
Home	LWLWL	43%
Away	WLWLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	14	11
Win %	44%	43%	45%
Points / game	71.4	68.1	75.7
Allowed / game	71.3	70.6	72.3
Point differential	+0.1	-2.5	+3.5
Avg total	142.8	138.6	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	21%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	75% (4)	20% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	75%
Home	WWLWW	83%
Away	WWWLL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	75%	83%	67%
Points / game	78.8	82.8	74.8
Allowed / game	70.0	72.7	67.2
Point differential	+8.8	+10.1	+7.5
Avg total	148.7	155.4	142.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	100% (2)	50% (6)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	14	12	2	86%	81.9	66.4	+15.6
2	VEF Riga	9	7	2	78%	83.6	72.2	+11.3
3	BK Liepaja	24	18	6	75%	78.8	70.0	+8.8
4	Jurmala	26	16	10	62%	71.2	68.6	+2.6
5	Jekabpils	26	15	11	58%	74.3	72.7	+1.6
6	Barons Kvartals	25	14	11	56%	72.7	75.4	-2.7
7	Jelgava	25	11	14	44%	71.4	71.3	+0.1
8	Valmiera/ORDO	26	10	16	38%	74.5	75.0	-0.5
9	Latvijas Universitate	25	6	19	24%	64.3	74.8	-10.6
10	Saldus	26	4	22	15%	67.0	78.5	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Jelgava	16	18	19	19	72
BK Liepaja	21	16	20	26	83

← all games of the day

Jelgava vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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