Jelgava vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 70-93

12-27 19-15 21-30 18-21

Position#9

Record8-18

FormLLLLW

Points / game70.7

Allowed / game79.0

Jelgava

BK Liepaja 🏆

Position#4

Record18-8

FormLWWWL

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game73.8

LBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Jelgava v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jelgava winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

71-81

-10

H09/01

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

68-50

+18

A12/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

58-64

-6

H20/01

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

73-79

-6

A24/01

LBL

VEF Riga

58-100

100

-42

H27/01

LBL

Jurmala

64-97

-33

A30/01

LBL

Barons Kvartals

79-84

-5

H03/02

LBL

Ventspils

61-85

-24

H06/02

LBL

Valga

69-71

-2

H20/02

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

98-97 OT

H02/03

LBL

15-20

23-22

15-19

18-20

24-21

10-9

14-9

20-11

13-21

11-8

13-15

21-20

15-20

22-19

20-18

16-22

18-24

18-26

13-21

9-29

10-21

23-29

12-23

19-24

17-20

22-20

22-18

18-26

16-19

12-22

17-24

16-20

24-24

13-15

16-14

16-18

25-20

14-22

29-20

16-22

150.7Avg total

69.9Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	70.7	79.0	149.7	-8.4	31%
Season at home (14)	73.3	79.2	152.5	-5.9	36%
Season away (12)	67.6	78.8	146.4	-11.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	69.9	80.8	150.7	-10.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	86.8	161.0	-12.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	69.8	82.3	152.1	-12.4	21%
vs Similar (7)	77.6	75.7	153.3	+1.9	43%
vs Weaker (4)	72.8	68.0	140.8	+4.8	50%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

78-87

-9

H27/01

LBL

Jekabpils

82-90

-8

H31/01

LBL

VEF Riga

108-102 OT

108

102

H03/02

LBL

Barons Kvartals

94-87

H06/02

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

74-50

+24

A10/02

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

71-82

-11

A17/02

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

99-81

+18

H20/02

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

93-87

H23/02

Baltic League

Jurmala

83-64

+19

A27/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

66-93

-27

A01/03

Baltic League

21-18

28-24

13-25

16-20

16-24

25-21

19-26

22-19

31-28

14-18

20-21

19-17

24-26

27-19

29-12

14-30

16-17

28-13

17-12

13-8

12-13

14-23

17-23

28-23

27-16

26-28

26-24

20-13

25-21

17-19

21-24

30-23

14-16

23-17

26-10

20-21

18-24

14-25

16-25

18-19

167.1Avg total

84.8Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	82.7	73.8	156.5	+8.8	69%
Season at home (14)	87.5	76.1	163.6	+11.4	86%
Season away (12)	77.0	71.2	148.2	+5.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	82.3	167.1	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	81.4	163.8	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.0	92.2	170.2	-14.2	17%
vs Similar (11)	79.0	75.2	154.2	+3.8	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	83.2	72.5	155.8	+10.7	77%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JelgavaBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.1	38.8	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.2	20.7	38.9	-2.6	32%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.1	19.7	41.9	+2.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.7	40.3	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	16.9	35.7	+2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.6	17.6	36.3	+1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.6	16.2	37.8	+5.4	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	18.0	34.5	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	17.5	34.1	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.2	36.0	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.6	38.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.2	19.1	35.3	-2.9	37%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	11.8	30.0	+6.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.7	21.8	35.5	-8.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.7	20.7	41.5	+0.0	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	69%	-

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

38-42

-4

H09/01

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

34-30

A12/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

24-29

-5

H20/01

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

37-39

-2

A24/01

LBL

VEF Riga

36-50

-14

H27/01

LBL

Jurmala

33-50

-17

A30/01

LBL

Barons Kvartals

39-40

-1

H03/02

LBL

Ventspils

28-41

-13

H06/02

LBL

Valga

37-39

-2

H20/02

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

39-42

-3

H02/03

LBL

74.7Avg total

34.5Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	38.0	73.5	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.8	38.5	74.3	-2.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.3	37.6	72.9	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	40.2	74.7	-5.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	42.4	77.6	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	34.3	39.8	74.2	-5.5	32%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.6	38.3	76.9	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.0	28.8	64.8	+7.2	50%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

49-42

H27/01

LBL

Jekabpils

41-45

-4

H31/01

LBL

VEF Riga

45-46

-1

H03/02

LBL

Barons Kvartals

51-45

H06/02

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

44-30

+14

A10/02

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

26-36

-10

A17/02

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

53-44

H20/02

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

42-40

H23/02

Baltic League

Jurmala

37-33

A27/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

32-49

-17

A01/03

Baltic League

83.0Avg total

42.0Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.1	75.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	39.7	81.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	34.6	70.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	40.4	78.4	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.7	43.3	77.0	-9.7	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.4	38.4	77.7	+1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.6	33.2	73.8	+7.4	77%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	18.8	35.8	-1.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.3	18.9	36.2	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	16.9	35.9	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.3	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	21.9	40.2	-3.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	21.3	39.2	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.2	38.1	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.3	23.5	41.7	-5.2	16%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.4	16.7	33.1	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	18.7	36.1	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.8	19.3	36.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	39.9	75.6	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.5	39.8	76.3	-3.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	40.1	75.0	-5.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	39.3	73.3	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	41.8	78.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	35.5	42.4	77.9	-6.9	21%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.4	33.6	69.0	+1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.8	39.2	76.0	-2.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.1	77.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	39.5	81.7	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	36.8	74.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	39.5	79.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	41.0	85.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.8	40.5	76.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.6	36.8	76.5	+2.8	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.6	38.2	79.8	+3.5	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Jelgava wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/15	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	73-72
17/10/15	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	58-84
31/03/15	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	82-81
14/03/15	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	72-83
12/11/14	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	69-64
15/10/14	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	90-86 OT
08/03/14	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	110-71
12/01/14	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	105-96
07/12/13	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	79-81
13/11/13	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	94-61

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/16	H	BK Ogre	98-97 OT
20/02/16	H	Valga	69-71
06/02/16	H	Ventspils	61-85
03/02/16	H	Barons Kvartals	79-84
30/01/16	A	Jurmala	64-97
27/01/16	H	VEF Riga	58-100
24/01/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	73-79
20/01/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	58-64
12/01/16	A	BK Ogre	68-50
09/01/16	H	Jurmala	71-81

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/03/16	A	Tartu Ulikool	66-93
27/02/16	A	Jurmala	83-64
23/02/16	H	Rakvere Tarvas	93-87
20/02/16	H	BK Ogre	99-81
17/02/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	71-82
10/02/16	A	Rakvere Tarvas	74-50
06/02/16	H	Barons Kvartals	94-87
03/02/16	H	VEF Riga	108-102 OT
31/01/16	H	Jekabpils	82-90
27/01/16	H	Jurmala	78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jelgava

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	31%
Home	LLLLW	36%
Away	LLWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	31%	36%	25%
Points / game	70.7	73.3	67.6
Allowed / game	79.0	79.2	78.8
Point differential	-8.4	-5.9	-11.2
Avg total	149.7	152.5	146.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	21%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	25% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	69%
Home	LLWWW	86%
Away	LLWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	69%	86%	50%
Points / game	82.7	87.5	77.0
Allowed / game	73.8	76.1	71.2
Point differential	+8.8	+11.4	+5.8
Avg total	156.5	163.6	148.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	43%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	24	20	4	83%	87.9	66.2	+21.7
2	VEF Riga	14	11	3	79%	88.8	72.6	+16.2
3	Valmiera/ORDO	26	20	6	77%	82.8	73.4	+9.3
4	BK Liepaja	26	18	8	69%	82.7	73.8	+8.8
5	Jekabpils	23	13	10	57%	78.0	78.2	-0.3
6	Jurmala	27	14	13	52%	79.7	77.5	+2.2
7	Valga	16	8	8	50%	78.0	86.2	-8.2
8	Barons Kvartals	24	8	16	33%	79.6	84.6	-5.0
9	Jelgava	26	8	18	31%	70.7	79.0	-8.4
10	Latvijas Universitate	25	4	21	16%	71.2	85.8	-14.6
11	BK Ogre	25	4	21	16%	73.3	90.9	-17.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Jelgava	12	19	21	18	70
BK Liepaja	27	15	30	21	93

← all games of the day

Jelgava vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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