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Guangzhou vs Jiangsu Dragons Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 90-96 (OT)
14-24 32-20 17-24 21-16 6-12
Position#16
Record6-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game107.6
vs
Position#20
Record3-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game104.2
ChinaCBARound 26· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Jiangsu Dragons
01 Jan 2027
GUAN v JIAN
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
GUAN80
JIAN67
03 Jan 2025
GUAN90
JIAN96
19 Mar 2024
GUAN101
JIAN79
11 Nov 2023
GUAN104
JIAN77
18 Dec 2022
GUAN95
JIAN67
25 Oct 2022
GUAN100
JIAN101
02 Jan 2022
GUAN90
JIAN84
10 Jan 2021
GUAN90
JIAN89
22 Oct 2020
GUAN92
JIAN73
16 Jul 2020
GUAN107
JIAN100
09 Jan 2019
GUAN103
JIAN110
12 Nov 2017
GUAN113
JIAN115
14 Dec 2016
GUAN99
JIAN102
08 Jan 2016
GUAN109
JIAN116
23 Dec 2014
GUAN135
JIAN120
18 Dec 2013
GUAN94
JIAN105
16 Jan 2013
GUAN118
JIAN110
08 Feb 2012
GUAN110
JIAN108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jiangsu Dragons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
94avg 93
H11/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
103-113
103
113
-10
89avg 93
H14/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
106-113 OT
106
113
-7
84avg 93
H16/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
79-102
79
102
-23
65avg 93
H19/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
109-112
109
112
-3
95avg 93
A21/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
103-120
103
120
-17
96avg 93
A23/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
97-98
97
98
-1
87avg 93
H26/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
98-99
98
99
-1
93avg 93
A28/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 93
A30/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
75-114
75
114
-39
63avg 93
A01/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
20-20
24-26
31-20
26-31
29-33
19-20
29-29
30-23
18-24
16-22
27-22
21-24
17-33
24-24
17-21
21-38
26-30
27-29
35-15
16-28
35-32
20-36
32-24
20-25
25-22
27-24
25-27
21-28
24-19
24-26
29-26
16-26
20-24
20-19
29-23
26-25
14-34
26-25
9-30
201.3Avg total
96.1Scored
105.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)98.9107.6206.5-8.824%
Season at home (12)101.3110.3211.7-9.025%
Season away (13)96.6105.2201.8-8.523%
Last 10 (10)96.1105.2201.3-9.110%
Last 5 (5)91.6104.6196.2-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)93.0108.7201.7-15.75%
vs Similar ◀ (10)101.196.2197.3+4.960%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDragons
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#19
W
125-115
125
115
+10
120avg 80
H11/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
98-117
98
117
-19
86avg 80
H14/12
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
86-103
86
103
-17
68avg 80
H16/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
89-112
89
112
-23
72avg 80
A18/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
70-93
70
93
-23
58avg 80
A20/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
98-99
98
99
-1
94avg 80
A23/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
93-101
93
101
-8
86avg 80
H25/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
113-92
113
92
+21
108avg 80
H27/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
94-112
94
112
-18
82avg 80
H29/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
L
96-103
96
103
-7
68avg 80
A31/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-29
37-33
29-32
22-21
28-28
32-32
21-30
17-27
22-34
27-27
16-19
21-23
26-32
11-33
25-26
27-21
20-25
20-31
15-17
15-20
31-26
35-28
20-22
12-23
26-25
32-27
20-23
15-26
26-26
29-19
29-23
29-24
16-25
34-24
23-34
21-29
36-29
21-25
17-23
22-26
200.9Avg total
96.2Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)94.3104.2198.5-9.912%
Season at home (11)96.9102.0198.9-5.118%
Season away (14)92.3105.9198.2-13.67%
Last 10 (10)96.2104.7200.9-8.520%
Last 5 (5)98.8101.4200.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)91.0106.2197.2-15.26%
vs Similar ◀ (10)96.7100.5197.2-3.820%
vs Weaker (3)90.784.3175.0+6.367%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
GuangzhouJiangsu Dragons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H11/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H14/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H16/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H19/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A21/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A23/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A28/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A30/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A01/01
CBA
99.8Avg total
45.6Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.252.1101.3-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.252.2102.4-2.036%-
Last 30 away (16)48.252.1100.3-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)45.654.299.8-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.452.696.0-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)49.053.8102.8-4.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)49.548.898.3+0.750%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#19
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H11/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H14/12
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H16/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
37-65
37
65
-28
A18/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A20/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A23/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H25/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H27/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H29/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A31/12
CBA
110.4Avg total
54.6Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.453.5103.9-3.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.249.6101.8+2.577%-
Last 30 away (17)49.156.5105.6-7.524%-
Last 10 (10)54.655.8110.4-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)57.250.8108.0+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)48.754.1102.8-5.441%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)54.354.6108.9-0.360%-
vs Weaker (3)47.046.793.7+0.333%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.424.4
49.4%
52.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.5
31.0%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.018.0
75.0%
76.3%18.0
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.623.6
46.6%
52.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.6
34.7%
35.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws27.019.5
72.2%
76.3%19.5
They take 78.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLLLLLLLLW
Jiangsu Dragons
LLWLLLLLLW
#16
League position
#20
-10.2
Net rating
-8.7
102.8
Offensive rating
103.7
113.0
Defensive rating
112.4
48.3%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.0%
3-point %
34.7%
59.3%
Assist %
61.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 103.7Defence113.0 · 112.4Shooting48.3% · 48.5%3-point %31.0% · 34.7%Ball care20.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds35.2% · 30.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Jiangsu Dragons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangzhou wins
4
Jiangsu Dragons wins
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha75-114
30/12/24ANingbo Rockets85-92
28/12/24ASichuan98-99
26/12/24HLiaoning97-98
23/12/24AZhejiang Chouzhou103-120
21/12/24ANanjing Tongxi109-112
19/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha79-102
16/12/24HShanghai106-113 OT
14/12/24HQingdao103-113
11/12/24HNingbo Rockets106-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24AFujian96-103
29/12/24HBeijing Royal Fighters94-112
27/12/24HFujian113-92
25/12/24HNingbo Rockets93-101
23/12/24ASichuan98-99
20/12/24AJilin70-93
18/12/24ABeijing89-112
16/12/24HGuangdong86-103
14/12/24HNanjing Tongxi98-117
11/12/24HSichuan125-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %24%25%23%
Points / game98.9101.396.6
Allowed / game107.6110.3105.2
Point differential-8.8-9.0-8.5
Avg total206.5211.7201.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLWL18%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %12%18%7%
Points / game94.396.992.3
Allowed / game104.2102.0105.9
Point differential-9.9-5.1-13.6
Avg total198.5198.9198.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2521484%104.492.5+12.0
2 Shanxi Zhongyu2419579%115.1106.8+8.2
3 Xinjiang2418675%111.5102.5+9.0
4 Zhejiang Chouzhou2518772%114.9105.9+9.0
5 Shandong2518772%105.2100.4+4.7
6 Beijing2417771%101.796.0+5.7
7 Liaoning2517868%105.797.6+8.1
8 Qingdao2516964%103.6100.0+3.7
9 Beijing Royal Fighters24141058%105.2100.5+4.6
10 Guangdong25141156%105.099.8+5.1
11 Shanghai22121055%109.5104.8+4.6
12 Nanjing Tongxi25121348%106.5107.7-1.2
13 Jilin25101540%103.4110.0-6.6
14 Ningbo Rockets2581732%102.2112.9-10.6
15 Shenzhen2571828%103.9108.3-4.4
16 Sichuan2571828%100.6109.4-8.8
17 Tianjin2571828%99.7108.7-9.0
18 Guangzhou2561924%98.9107.6-8.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons2532212%94.3104.2-9.9
20 Fujian242228%100.6115.0-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Guangzhou14321721690
Jiangsu Dragons242024161296
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