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Jilin vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 98-119
28-30 25-32 25-35 20-22
Position#15
Record7-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#6
Record13-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game90.2
ChinaCBA· Changchun Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jilin v Guangdong
12 Jan 2027
JILI v GUAN
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
JILI98
GUAN119
28 Dec 2024
JILI65
GUAN106
23 Jan 2024
JILI111
GUAN116
27 Oct 2023
JILI104
GUAN105
28 Dec 2022
JILI102
GUAN108
30 Dec 2021
JILI99
GUAN116
19 Jan 2021
JILI106
GUAN111
10 Nov 2019
JILI120
GUAN115
03 Mar 2019
JILI111
GUAN132
19 Dec 2017
JILI86
GUAN102
28 Dec 2016
JILI113
GUAN119
13 Jan 2016
JILI114
GUAN118
05 Nov 2014
JILI111
GUAN135
17 Nov 2013
JILI88
GUAN99
21 Dec 2012
JILI103
GUAN113
11 Dec 2011
JILI95
GUAN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#14
L
84-95
84
95
-11
78avg 77
A30/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
82-104
82
104
-22
72avg 77
A02/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
72-86
72
86
-14
64avg 77
A04/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
83-72
83
72
+11
78avg 77
H06/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 77
H08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 77
H11/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
85-108
85
108
-23
74avg 77
A13/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 77
A15/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
103-79
103
79
+24
108avg 77
A17/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 77
H19/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
22-22
21-14
24-33
19-30
23-20
20-35
20-19
17-30
20-14
22-20
13-22
22-13
23-23
20-22
18-14
16-16
17-27
24-18
20-13
23-32
17-24
7-15
27-11
15-31
28-27
14-24
28-26
18-20
12-26
25-18
12-16
25-24
27-22
29-16
22-17
16-15
21-15
12-28
19-19
165.2Avg total
79.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.585.5167.1-4.041%
Season at home (8)81.677.6159.2+4.075%
Season away (9)81.492.6174.0-11.111%
Last 10 (10)79.585.7165.2-6.230%
Last 5 (5)79.485.2164.6-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)89.399.7189.0-10.421%
vs Similar (5)95.296.8192.0-1.660%
vs Weaker (1)103.079.0182.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#18
W
98-74
98
74
+24
97avg 94
A30/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
74-105
74
105
-31
63avg 94
A01/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
84avg 94
A03/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
no box
H05/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
W
110-105
110
105
+5
113avg 94
H07/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
108-78
108
78
+30
107avg 94
A11/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 94
A13/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
58avg 94
H15/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
98-99
98
99
-1
91avg 94
H17/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
104-76
104
76
+28
96avg 94
A19/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
27-12
23-23
15-18
14-28
17-29
28-26
15-22
23-21
23-25
25-23
22-20
27-19
16-19
21-20
14-20
16-24
33-26
39-34
22-21
31-18
33-21
22-16
22-23
21-17
17-12
28-23
21-19
11-29
23-31
19-29
20-24
22-27
34-28
24-25
18-19
31-22
21-17
20-18
32-19
183.0Avg total
93.2Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)94.690.2184.8+4.476%
Season at home (8)94.496.1190.5-1.862%
Season away (9)94.885.0179.8+9.889%
Last 10 (10)93.289.8183.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)94.087.4181.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.799.0182.7-15.333%
vs Similar (15)98.999.9198.9-1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)100.688.5189.1+12.183%
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
JilinGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A30/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A02/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A04/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H11/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A13/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A15/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A17/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H19/01
CBA
85.5Avg total
39.8Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.152.099.1-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.551.198.6-3.533%-
Last 30 away (15)46.752.999.6-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.785.5-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.287.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)45.852.798.5-6.921%-
vs Similar (5)52.649.8102.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker (1)52.046.098.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#18
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A30/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A01/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A03/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H05/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H07/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
64-39
64
39
+25
A11/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A13/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H15/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H17/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/01
CBA
91.9Avg total
47.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.548.6101.1+3.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.948.6101.6+4.386%-
Last 30 away (16)52.148.6100.7+3.669%-
Last 10 (10)47.344.691.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.844.493.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.053.094.0-12.033%-
vs Similar (15)53.551.2104.7+2.373%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)54.244.298.4+9.992%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.5
53.9%
54.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.4
29.2%
35.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.416.3
79.9%
73.6%16.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.123.5
55.8%
54.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.2
31.9%
35.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.319.0
81.5%
73.6%19.0
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jilin
LWLLLWWLLL
Guangdong
WLLWWWLWLW
#15
League position
#6
-7.4
Net rating
+3.5
95.0
Offensive rating
98.8
102.4
Defensive rating
95.3
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.2%
3-point %
31.9%
58.8%
Assist %
62.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 98.8Defence102.4 · 95.3Shooting49.9% · 52.6%3-point %29.2% · 31.9%Ball care13.1% · 13.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Jilin   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jilin wins
10
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
27/03/25Guangdong v Jilin106-94
28/12/24Jilin v Guangdong65-106
09/03/24Guangdong v Jilin121-113
23/01/24Jilin v Guangdong111-116
27/12/23Guangdong v Jilin112-102
27/10/23Jilin v Guangdong104-105
28/12/22Jilin v Guangdong102-108
16/12/22Guangdong v Jilin117-91
08/01/22Guangdong v Jilin99-95
30/12/21Jilin v Guangdong99-116
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26HShandong68-77
17/01/26ASichuan103-79
15/01/26AQingdao67-80
13/01/26AShandong85-108
11/01/26HQingdao74-82
08/01/26HFujian77-74
06/01/26HJiangsu Dragons83-72
04/01/26ALiaoning72-86
02/01/26ANanjing Tongxi82-104
30/12/25AFujian84-95
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26ASichuan104-76
17/01/26HBeijing Royal Fighters98-99
15/01/26HShanghai73-113
13/01/26ANanjing Tongxi87-71
11/01/26ALiaoning108-78
07/01/26HShenzhen110-105
05/01/26HZhejiang Chouzhou87-88 OT
03/01/26ABeijing Royal Fighters93-89
01/01/26ABeijing74-105
30/12/25ATianjin98-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jilin
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%75%11%
Points / game81.581.681.4
Allowed / game85.577.692.6
Point differential-4.0+4.0-11.1
Avg total167.1159.2174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayLWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%62%89%
Points / game94.694.494.8
Allowed / game90.296.185.0
Point differential+4.4-1.8+9.8
Avg total184.8190.5179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%0%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha1715288%90.777.8+12.9
2 Shanghai1714382%93.579.2+14.3
3 Guangdong1713476%94.690.2+4.4
4 Qingdao1712571%86.680.9+5.8
5 Shandong1611569%95.188.2+6.9
6 Beijing1711665%91.582.6+8.9
7 Shanxi Zhongyu1710759%90.187.1+2.9
8 Shenzhen1710759%92.994.6-1.7
9 Zhejiang Chouzhou179853%88.683.8+4.8
10 Guangzhou168850%86.287.6-1.3
11 Ningbo Rockets178947%89.588.1+1.4
12 Liaoning178947%81.984.2-2.3
13 Jilin1771041%81.585.5-4.0
14 Beijing Royal Fighters1771041%88.194.5-6.4
15 Xinjiang1761135%85.887.5-1.6
16 Tianjin1761135%92.694.8-2.1
17 Fujian1761135%90.493.1-2.8
18 Nanjing Tongxi1751229%87.491.9-4.5
19 Jiangsu Dragons1731418%80.191.5-11.4
20 Sichuan170170%72.996.6-23.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jilin2825252098
Guangdong30323522119
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