PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Guangdong vs Jilin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 106-94
23-24 31-25 28-21 24-24
Position#8
Record29-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game104.4
Allowed / game97.3
vs
Position#14
Record13-31
FormLLLLL
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game112.2
ChinaCBARound 45· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangdong v Jilin
08 Jan 2027
GUAN v JILI
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
GUAN117
JILI84
28 Jan 2026
GUAN89
JILI81
27 Mar 2025
GUAN106
JILI94
09 Mar 2024
GUAN121
JILI113
27 Dec 2023
GUAN112
JILI102
16 Dec 2022
GUAN117
JILI91
08 Jan 2022
GUAN99
JILI95
08 Jan 2021
GUAN110
JILI111
14 Jan 2020
GUAN123
JILI100
13 Dec 2018
GUAN96
JILI105
09 Feb 2018
GUAN93
JILI67
04 Nov 2016
GUAN99
JILI77
11 Nov 2015
GUAN107
JILI86
19 Dec 2014
GUAN116
JILI93
03 Jan 2014
GUAN92
JILI85
29 Jan 2013
GUAN141
JILI99
29 Jan 2012
GUAN107
JILI94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#16
W
111-82
111
82
+29
117avg 104
H24/01
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
127-83
127
83
+44
126avg 104
H05/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
115-117
115
117
-2
100avg 104
A07/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
106-87
106
87
+19
106avg 104
A10/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
101-73
101
73
+28
103avg 104
H12/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
94-110
94
110
-16
83avg 104
A14/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
118-111
118
111
+7
110avg 104
A16/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
93-96
93
96
-3
86avg 104
H18/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
112-92
112
92
+20
110avg 104
A22/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 104
H24/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
24-21
32-25
26-14
31-20
31-24
30-17
35-22
26-32
32-38
36-23
21-24
29-18
28-18
25-23
24-28
16-25
31-13
34-15
20-20
27-29
16-29
19-21
32-31
27-38
34-22
28-19
29-32
34-21
20-29
15-29
24-17
30-24
26-24
25-26
31-18
32-17
14-24
18-17
20-16
198.6Avg total
106.1Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)104.497.3201.7+7.166%
Season at home (22)105.495.5200.8+9.973%
Season away (22)103.499.1202.5+4.259%
Last 10 (10)106.192.5198.6+13.670%
Last 5 (5)100.296.6196.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)95.099.0194.0-4.033%
vs Similar (13)102.1100.7202.8+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)105.687.4193.1+18.293%
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
94-107
94
107
-13
85avg 90
A25/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
118-102
118
102
+16
110avg 90
H05/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
93-115
93
115
-22
82avg 90
H07/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
99-112
99
112
-13
-59avg 90
A09/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
103-118
103
118
-15
95avg 90
H11/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
127-133
127
133
-6
122avg 90
H14/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
99-136
99
136
-37
88avg 90
A17/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
108-134
108
134
-26
92avg 90
A19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
88-95
88
95
-7
70avg 90
H21/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
90-104
90
104
-14
75avg 90
H24/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-30
31-34
22-19
25-23
38-30
24-33
31-16
26-20
22-33
20-34
25-28
24-28
32-21
20-31
23-32
19-34
27-27
30-29
27-28
45-41
30-39
26-30
26-23
20-44
36-33
21-34
22-25
29-34
27-34
33-33
19-33
25-35
28-21
20-19
15-20
20-26
27-31
23-27
20-20
217.5Avg total
101.9Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)102.5112.2214.6-9.730%
Season at home (23)104.3105.9210.2-1.648%
Season away (21)100.4119.1219.5-18.710%
Last 10 (10)101.9115.6217.5-13.710%
Last 5 (5)102.4120.4222.8-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)97.4116.2213.6-18.814%
vs Similar (8)106.4101.4207.8+5.062%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
GuangdongJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H24/01
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H05/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A07/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A10/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A14/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A16/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H18/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A22/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H24/03
CBA
102.5Avg total
53.7Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.349.8103.2+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.148.6101.8+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)53.550.9104.4+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)53.748.8102.5+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)52.051.4103.4+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.354.7105.0-4.333%-
vs Similar (13)52.353.2105.5-0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)54.945.7100.6+9.293%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H05/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H07/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A09/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H11/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H14/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A17/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H21/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H24/03
CBA
114.9Avg total
54.1Scored
60.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.158.3111.4-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.656.5112.1-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)50.760.0110.7-9.320%-
Last 10 (10)54.160.8114.9-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)57.467.6125.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)51.260.3111.5-9.118%-
vs Similar (8)58.452.6111.0+5.862%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.526.2
54.0%
52.6%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.812.8
39.0%
35.1%38.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
76.3%14.7
They take 81.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.0
52.4%
52.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.111.5
34.7%
35.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws27.620.4
73.9%
76.3%20.4
They take 77.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WWLWLWWLWW
Jilin
LLLLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#14
+15.3
Net rating
-15.0
115.6
Offensive rating
112.0
100.3
Defensive rating
126.9
55.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.0%
3-point %
34.7%
64.4%
Assist %
63.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 112.0Defence100.3 · 126.9Shooting55.8% · 52.3%3-point %39.0% · 34.7%Ball care16.5% · 14.2%Off. rebounds30.8% · 26.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Guangdong   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Guangdong wins
0
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Jilin v Guangdong65-106
09/03/24Guangdong v Jilin121-113
23/01/24Jilin v Guangdong111-116
27/12/23Guangdong v Jilin112-102
27/10/23Jilin v Guangdong104-105
28/12/22Jilin v Guangdong102-108
16/12/22Guangdong v Jilin117-91
08/01/22Guangdong v Jilin99-95
30/12/21Jilin v Guangdong99-116
19/01/21Jilin v Guangdong106-111
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/25HZhejiang Guangsha84-74
22/03/25ANingbo Rockets112-92
18/03/25HNanjing Tongxi93-96
16/03/25AZhejiang Chouzhou118-111
14/03/25AZhejiang Guangsha94-110
12/03/25HSichuan101-73
10/03/25AXinjiang106-87
07/03/25AShanxi Zhongyu115-117
05/03/25HLiaoning127-83
24/01/25HGuangzhou111-82
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/25HGuangzhou90-104
21/03/25HQingdao88-95
19/03/25ABeijing108-134
17/03/25ALiaoning99-136
14/03/25HShanghai127-133
11/03/25HZhejiang Guangsha103-118
09/03/25ALiaoning99-112
07/03/25HNanjing Tongxi93-115
05/03/25HSichuan118-102
25/01/25AQingdao94-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW66%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %66%73%59%
Points / game104.4105.4103.4
Allowed / game97.395.599.1
Point differential+7.1+9.9+4.2
Avg total201.7200.8202.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%36%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jilin
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeLLLLL48%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %30%48%10%
Points / game102.5104.3100.4
Allowed / game112.2105.9119.1
Point differential-9.7-1.6-18.7
Avg total214.6210.2219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%35%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha4437784%103.893.2+10.6
2 Shanxi Zhongyu44321273%114.5108.7+5.8
3 Shandong45321371%105.198.6+6.5
4 Beijing44311370%103.596.6+6.9
5 Liaoning45311469%106.899.8+7.0
6 Xinjiang44301468%108.9102.1+6.8
7 Qingdao45301567%105.5100.2+5.3
8 Guangdong44291566%104.497.3+7.1
9 Zhejiang Chouzhou44281664%112.1104.8+7.3
10 Shanghai44271761%110.5103.4+7.1
11 Beijing Royal Fighters44261859%106.6102.6+4.0
12 Nanjing Tongxi44222250%106.6107.3-0.7
13 Shenzhen44162836%104.4107.3-3.0
14 Jilin44133130%102.5112.2-9.7
15 Tianjin44123227%102.3110.9-8.5
16 Guangzhou44113325%96.2106.9-10.6
17 Ningbo Rockets44103423%102.9114.0-11.1
18 Fujian4393421%105.0115.4-10.5
19 Sichuan4493520%99.1109.9-10.8
20 Jiangsu Dragons4463814%93.1103.1-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong23312824106
Jilin2425212494
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.