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Neptunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-78
24-14 21-17 18-19 12-28
Position#5
Record10-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game80.8
Neptunas
Lithuania
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record10-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game81.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
70-85
70
85
-15
60avg 78
H19/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
70avg 78
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
56avg 78
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
H03/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 78
A07/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
78avg 78
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-83
73
83
-10
70avg 78
H05/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
76avg 78
A14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 78
A21/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
19-18
13-23
18-21
7-21
24-22
20-25
24-19
13-21
17-18
15-20
19-17
16-25
21-16
13-18
10-18
26-18
20-18
20-25
22-21
23-15
22-12
8-20
20-16
15-19
28-17
16-11
18-28
16-26
21-17
16-21
20-19
20-28
25-18
10-11
24-25
21-22
24-23
22-17
20-22
154.0Avg total
74.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.180.8157.9-3.743%
Season at home (11)75.884.0159.8-8.227%
Season away (12)78.377.8156.2+0.558%
Last 10 (10)74.679.4154.0-4.840%
Last 5 (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.387.5157.8-17.20%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.279.4157.5-1.245%
vs Weaker (13)84.877.4162.2+7.477%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 69
H13/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
59-68
59
68
-9
no box
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
W
87-75
87
75
+12
72avg 69
A24/01
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
100-95
100
95
+5
99avg 69
A05/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
81-73
81
73
+8
67avg 69
A17/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
71-103
71
103
-32
no box
A03/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
62-79
62
79
-17
45avg 69
H06/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
60avg 69
A13/03
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
57avg 69
H20/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
24-15
11-31
25-28
22-20
10-25
28-17
15-24
7-18
19-15
18-12
15-23
21-7
22-24
25-20
19-24
21-21
17-24
27-19
35-31
18-18
23-18
23-19
17-18
11-29
20-20
24-27
16-27
26-17
16-20
12-26
8-16
23-28
20-24
19-19
8-22
18-18
23-23
16-20
10-30
160.8Avg total
75.1Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.681.5158.0-4.943%
Season at home (11)75.278.1153.3-2.945%
Season away (12)77.884.6162.4-6.842%
Last 10 (10)75.185.7160.8-10.630%
Last 5 (5)70.287.8158.0-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.386.0157.3-14.79%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.077.8153.8-1.853%
vs Weaker (4)90.579.0169.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -7.5-7.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -7.5-7.5
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A07/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/03
LKL
79.5Avg total
39.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.279.8+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.578.0+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)41.640.081.6+1.647%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.779.5+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.482.4+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.843.580.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.240.580.6-0.336%-
vs Weaker (13)42.636.278.8+6.469%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H13/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A24/01
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A05/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A17/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A03/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H06/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A13/03
LKL
Rytas
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/03
LKL
78.4Avg total
38.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.477.7-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.336.877.1+3.550%-
Last 30 away (16)36.541.878.2-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.478.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.082.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.641.577.2-5.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.038.577.5+0.540%-
vs Weaker (4)42.837.079.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.8
59.8%
53.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.6
31.7%
33.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.412.5
67.9%
73.1%12.5
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.5
52.1%
53.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.2
30.8%
33.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.4
75.0%
73.1%14.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLWWWLLLL
Jonava
LLLLWWWLLL
#5
League position
#4
-7.3
Net rating
-12.4
104.3
Offensive rating
101.7
111.6
Defensive rating
114.2
55.2%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
24.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.7%
3-point %
30.8%
63.1%
Assist %
62.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 101.7Defence111.6 · 114.2Shooting55.2% · 49.6%3-point %31.7% · 30.8%Ball care24.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds34.6% · 25.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
1
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
24/01/22Neptunas v Jonava75-87
16/12/21Jonava v Neptunas64-89
21/10/21Jonava v Neptunas86-92
29/09/21Neptunas v Jonava89-74
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/22ASiauliai87-84
14/03/22AJuventus79-82
05/03/22HLietkabelis73-83
15/02/22ASiauliai77-75
07/02/22APrienai73-63
03/02/22HPrienai88-82
30/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas60-77
27/01/22AJuventus64-76
24/01/22HJonava75-87
19/01/22HAlytaus Dzukija70-85
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22HRytas67-91
13/03/22AZalgiris Kaunas70-93
06/03/22HSiauliai62-79
03/03/22ALietkabelis71-103
17/02/22AAlytaus Dzukija81-73
05/02/22ANevezis100-95
24/01/22ANeptunas87-75
18/01/22AZalgiris Kaunas59-68
16/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas75-86
13/01/22HRytas79-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW43%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%27%58%
Points / game77.175.878.3
Allowed / game80.884.077.8
Point differential-3.7-8.2+0.5
Avg total157.9159.8156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeLWLLL45%
AwayWWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%45%42%
Points / game76.675.277.8
Allowed / game81.578.184.6
Point differential-4.9-2.9-6.8
Avg total158.0153.3162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2322196%87.774.1+13.6
2 Rytas2320387%90.274.6+15.7
3 Lietkabelis2419579%84.374.0+10.2
4 Siauliai22121055%81.881.1+0.7
5 Juventus22111150%84.483.4+1.0
6 Neptunas23101343%77.180.8-3.7
7 Jonava23101343%76.681.5-4.9
8 Alytaus Dzukija2291341%75.980.3-4.4
9 Nevezis2251723%79.087.9-8.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2241818%78.487.1-8.7
11 Prienai2432112%75.587.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2421181275
Jonava1417192878
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