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Jonava vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-98
18-22 25-30 19-24 23-22
Position#8
Record11-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record24-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game79.6
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena (Jonava)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Jonava v Rytas
21 Apr 2027
JON v RYT
upcoming
05 Nov 2026
JON87
RYT91
07 Feb 2026
JON84
RYT101
22 Nov 2025
JON71
RYT105
21 Apr 2025
JON99
RYT104
03 Nov 2024
JON74
RYT94
15 May 2024
JON90
RYT96
28 Apr 2024
JON85
RYT98
18 Nov 2023
JON89
RYT101
23 May 2023
JON67
RYT82
23 Apr 2023
JON81
RYT106
04 Feb 2023
JON62
RYT75
20 Mar 2022
JON67
RYT91
13 Jan 2022
JON79
RYT94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
96-85
96
85
+11
82avg 74
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 74
A03/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
74-92
74
92
-18
67avg 74
H09/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
81-68
81
68
+13
71avg 74
H13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
76avg 74
A24/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 74
H02/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 74
H08/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
79-62
79
62
+17
71avg 74
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
83-116
83
116
-33
69avg 74
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-101
57
101
-44
33avg 74
A21/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
17-19
27-20
27-21
25-28
16-17
20-23
25-21
15-24
24-20
22-17
13-31
21-13
26-18
16-18
18-19
14-15
21-22
20-25
25-28
14-24
31-19
24-22
12-15
20-18
18-15
22-14
18-34
24-23
22-13
17-11
16-15
19-37
22-29
17-33
25-17
15-30
10-21
13-26
19-24
165.9Avg total
79.5Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.185.7166.9-4.638%
Season at home (14)83.482.1165.5+1.450%
Season away (15)79.089.1168.1-10.127%
Last 10 (10)79.586.4165.9-6.940%
Last 5 (5)75.688.0163.6-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.492.0170.4-13.620%
vs Similar (8)80.585.6166.1-5.125%
vs Weaker (2)94.581.0175.5+13.550%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
93-88
93
88
+5
92avg 88
H02/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
94-97
94
97
-3
92avg 88
A10/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
74avg 88
H16/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
99-83
99
83
+16
94avg 88
H24/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
89-77
89
77
+12
87avg 88
A28/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
91avg 88
A30/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
113-100
113
100
+13
107avg 88
H07/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
73avg 88
A14/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 88
H18/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
89-63
89
63
+26
95avg 88
A21/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
18-19
24-18
21-27
26-28
22-23
28-21
18-25
11-18
16-27
30-17
26-22
27-19
23-25
19-25
30-14
17-18
26-22
20-16
26-21
21-19
28-11
24-27
15-22
34-20
35-26
22-33
22-21
22-27
19-22
16-19
21-24
24-18
21-22
18-13
20-21
21-14
31-12
18-20
19-17
174.6Avg total
90.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)93.179.6172.7+13.483%
Season at home (15)94.679.7174.3+14.980%
Season away (14)91.479.6171.0+11.986%
Last 10 (10)90.983.7174.6+7.270%
Last 5 (5)90.281.6171.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)83.389.0172.3-5.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)94.378.3172.7+16.088%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
JonavaRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A03/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A24/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H02/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H08/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-66
41
66
-25
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A21/04
LKL
82.9Avg total
39.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.783.6-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.340.681.9+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)38.746.485.1-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.082.9-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.884.8-6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.043.881.8-5.820%-
vs Similar (8)42.945.588.4-2.638%-
vs Weaker (2)47.535.583.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H02/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A10/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H16/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H24/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A30/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H07/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A14/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H18/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
52-26
52
26
+26
A21/04
LKL
88.6Avg total
47.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.440.386.7+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.240.288.4+8.080%-
Last 30 away (15)44.740.385.0+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.488.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)51.238.289.4+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.745.087.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)47.439.186.5+8.379%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.9
47.3%
55.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.9
35.1%
34.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.315.0
67.3%
73.2%15.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.4
59.1%
55.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.8
38.1%
34.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws25.017.7
70.8%
73.2%17.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLWLWLWLLW
Rytas
WWLWWWWLLW
#8
League position
#2
-9.7
Net rating
+9.4
106.8
Offensive rating
120.5
116.4
Defensive rating
111.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
58.3%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
39.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.40
35.1%
3-point %
38.1%
63.8%
Assist %
67.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 120.5Defence116.4 · 111.1Shooting49.7% · 58.3%3-point %35.1% · 38.1%Ball care15.9% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.0% · 39.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Jonava   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jonava wins
8
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Rytas v Jonava110-88
18/11/23Jonava v Rytas89-101
25/05/23Rytas v Jonava90-85
23/05/23Jonava v Rytas67-82
20/05/23Rytas v Jonava82-74
23/04/23Jonava v Rytas81-106
18/02/23Rytas v Jonava86-92
04/02/23Jonava v Rytas62-75
15/10/22Rytas v Jonava71-78
20/03/22Jonava v Rytas67-91
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas57-101
18/04/24ANevezis83-116
14/04/24AMazeikiai79-62
08/04/24HNeptunas78-81
02/04/24HSiauliai81-80
24/03/24ALietkabelis80-90
13/03/24HBC Wolves81-68
09/03/24HLietkabelis74-92
03/03/24ASiauliai86-89
11/02/24ABC Wolves96-85
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24AMazeikiai89-63
18/04/24HSiauliai83-74
14/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas78-92
07/04/24HLietkabelis113-100
30/03/24ANevezis88-79
28/03/24ALietkabelis89-77
24/03/24HBC Wolves99-83
16/03/24HNeptunas83-84
10/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas94-97
02/03/24HJuventus93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game81.183.479.0
Allowed / game85.782.189.1
Point differential-4.6+1.4-10.1
Avg total166.9165.5168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %83%80%86%
Points / game93.194.691.4
Allowed / game79.679.779.6
Point differential+13.4+14.9+11.9
Avg total172.7174.3171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%67%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2724389%87.973.3+14.6
2 Rytas2924583%93.179.6+13.4
3 BC Wolves2921872%87.478.9+8.5
4 Juventus28171161%88.781.5+7.1
5 Lietkabelis28151354%84.183.8+0.4
6 Neptunas30161453%85.085.6-0.6
7 Mazeikiai29131645%78.482.8-4.4
8 Jonava29111838%81.185.7-4.6
9 Nevezis2992031%84.091.3-7.3
10 Siauliai3082227%81.587.4-5.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2962321%83.093.2-10.3
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1825192385
Rytas2230242298
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