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Jonava vs Rytas Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 21 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game85.4
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jonava v Rytas
21 Apr 2027
JON v RYT
upcoming
05 Nov 2026
JON87
RYT91
07 Feb 2026
JON84
RYT101
22 Nov 2025
JON71
RYT105
21 Apr 2025
JON99
RYT104
03 Nov 2024
JON74
RYT94
15 May 2024
JON90
RYT96
28 Apr 2024
JON85
RYT98
18 Nov 2023
JON89
RYT101
23 May 2023
JON67
RYT82
23 Apr 2023
JON81
RYT106
04 Feb 2023
JON62
RYT75
20 Mar 2022
JON67
RYT91
13 Jan 2022
JON79
RYT94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
81avg 75
A19/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
81avg 75
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
61avg 75
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#8
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 75
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
71-65
71
65
+6
65avg 75
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
79avg 75
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
53avg 75
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 75
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#7
W
94-82
94
82
+12
94avg 75
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H05/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
20-25
11-26
32-14
18-19
19-18
21-18
27-10
14-22
23-14
21-22
13-19
16-20
17-28
17-22
13-9
20-13
13-15
14-15
24-22
24-29
21-19
21-17
17-19
15-24
11-17
14-24
23-21
20-18
17-20
24-12
19-17
16-27
29-15
24-25
25-15
22-27
22-22
22-12
21-30
157.8Avg total
78.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.580.9160.4-1.438%
Season at home (5)82.480.2162.6+2.240%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)78.779.1157.8-0.440%
Last 5 (5)81.482.0163.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)83.390.0173.2-6.729%
vs Similar (6)81.081.2162.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (3)85.075.7160.7+9.367%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
98avg 89
H03/10
LKL
Sabah Baku
#36
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 89
H06/10
Champions League
Neptunas
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 89
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#30
L
65-93
65
93
-28
57avg 89
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
97avg 89
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 89
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
94-76
94
76
+18
94avg 89
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#15
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 89
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A05/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
23-20
32-27
22-27
16-20
23-18
22-19
21-16
18-22
22-18
27-21
19-16
17-21
13-14
15-31
20-27
21-27
27-15
28-24
19-22
21-24
12-17
24-16
22-14
30-25
21-17
20-10
23-24
25-22
21-7
26-28
25-24
21-25
28-17
20-28
20-24
27-22
22-22
12-22
30-21
172.5Avg total
88.0Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.985.4176.3+5.471%
Season at home (3)92.392.0184.3+0.333%
Season away (4)89.880.5170.2+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)88.084.5172.5+3.570%
Last 5 (5)90.081.8171.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.488.2168.6-7.820%
vs Similar (3)92.382.0174.3+10.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.984.8176.7+7.173%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
JonavaRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H05/11
LKL
78.3Avg total
37.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.444.284.6-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.143.484.6-2.344%-
Last 30 away (14)39.645.084.6-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.878.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.683.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.545.586.0-5.033%-
vs Similar (6)41.742.384.0-0.767%-
vs Weaker (3)37.338.776.0-1.30%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/10
LKL
Sabah Baku
#36
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
Champions League
Neptunas
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#30
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A05/11
LKL
83.7Avg total
43.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.242.186.3+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.139.784.8+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)43.244.687.8-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.483.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.685.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.041.280.2-2.240%-
vs Similar (3)37.040.377.3-3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.342.688.9+3.764%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.2
56.8%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.1
30.2%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
70.8%14.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.6
58.7%
55.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
35.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws27.618.8
68.1%
70.8%18.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LWWLLWLLWL
Rytas
WLWWWWLWWL
#6
League position
#2
+6.4
Net rating
+2.5
91.3
Offensive rating
99.7
84.9
Defensive rating
97.2
51.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.44
30.2%
3-point %
33.9%
62.6%
Assist %
61.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 99.7Defence84.9 · 97.2Shooting51.7% · 55.3%3-point %30.2% · 33.9%Ball care17.0% · 15.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Jonava   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jonava wins
10
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
05/11/26Jonava v Rytas87-91
22/04/26Rytas v Jonava98-81
07/02/26Jonava v Rytas84-101
22/11/25Jonava v Rytas71-105
09/11/25Rytas v Jonava104-72
29/04/25Rytas v Jonava112-82
21/04/25Jonava v Rytas99-104
25/01/25Rytas v Jonava84-80
03/11/24Jonava v Rytas74-94
15/05/24Jonava v Rytas90-96
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HRytas87-91
31/10/26HJuventus94-82
28/10/26ACIU80-67
25/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-86
17/10/26HNeptunas83-84
10/10/26ALietkabelis71-65
03/10/26HSiauliai63-79
27/09/26HTindastoll71-77
22/09/26HNevezis85-65
19/09/26ATaurage90-95 OT
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AJonava91-87
02/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas89-94
28/10/26HTrabzonspor97-81
25/10/26AJuventus94-76
21/10/26ATaurage79-71
17/10/26ASiauliai95-88
13/10/26ANanterre65-93
10/10/26HNeptunas86-77
06/10/26HSabah Baku82-73
03/10/26HGargzdai102-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game79.582.474.7
Allowed / game80.980.282.0
Point differential-1.4+2.2-7.3
Avg total160.4162.6156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Rytas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%33%100%
Points / game90.992.389.8
Allowed / game85.492.080.5
Point differential+5.4+0.3+9.2
Avg total176.3184.3170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas880100%93.175.0+18.1
2 Rytas75271%90.985.4+5.4
3 Gargzdai85362%88.888.2+0.5
4 Neptunas84450%85.685.2+0.4
5 Lietkabelis84450%78.981.1-2.2
6 Jonava83538%79.580.9-1.4
7 Juventus83538%85.287.2-2.0
8 Siauliai83538%83.287.2-4.0
9 Taurage83538%81.487.8-6.4
10 Nevezis71614%73.682.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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