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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 78-81
20-18 18-15 22-14 18-34
Position#8
Record10-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#6
Record13-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game84.6
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena (Jonava)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
88-110
88
110
-22
70avg 75
A27/01
LKL
Legia
#6
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 75
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
87-96
87
96
-9
80avg 75
H03/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
79-119
79
119
-40
69avg 75
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
96-85
96
85
+11
82avg 75
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 75
A03/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
74-92
74
92
-18
67avg 75
H09/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
81-68
81
68
+13
71avg 75
H13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
76avg 75
A24/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 75
H02/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
17-26
23-31
24-26
25-18
18-29
14-31
20-23
22-30
27-28
20-21
18-17
18-31
23-25
17-37
21-26
25-25
17-19
27-20
27-21
25-28
16-17
20-23
25-21
15-24
24-20
22-17
13-31
21-13
26-18
16-18
18-19
14-15
21-22
20-25
25-28
14-24
31-19
24-22
12-15
175.9Avg total
82.9Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.285.0167.3-2.840%
Season at home (13)83.882.2166.0+1.754%
Season away (12)80.588.2168.7-7.725%
Last 10 (10)82.993.0175.9-10.130%
Last 5 (5)80.483.8164.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)79.789.9169.6-10.224%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.786.7170.3-3.033%
vs Weaker (3)89.782.7172.3+7.033%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
100-81
100
81
+19
111avg 82
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
69avg 82
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
55avg 82
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
72avg 82
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 82
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 82
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
72avg 82
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 82
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 82
H01/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
30-12
29-22
24-19
17-18
21-17
14-29
24-15
17-30
17-23
21-22
18-17
22-26
17-18
21-21
26-21
13-24
22-24
20-27
20-20
23-21
26-18
15-25
14-12
19-17
23-22
24-22
19-15
18-11
27-16
17-30
22-26
22-16
29-21
18-30
27-16
21-21
15-20
32-22
23-26
170.0Avg total
85.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.484.6169.0-0.252%
Season at home (12)84.883.3168.2+1.558%
Season away (13)84.185.8169.8-1.746%
Last 10 (10)85.085.0170.0+0.060%
Last 5 (5)86.881.4168.2+5.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.387.6165.9-9.233%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.882.0160.8-3.260%
vs Weaker (16)90.782.2172.9+8.575%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A27/01
LKL
Legia
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H03/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A03/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A24/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H02/04
LKL
88.1Avg total
42.3Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.083.5-2.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.741.182.9+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)39.244.984.1-5.77%-
Last 10 (10)42.345.888.1-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.081.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.742.781.4-4.024%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.746.089.7-2.317%-
vs Weaker (3)46.339.085.3+7.367%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/04
LKL
81.9Avg total
41.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.083.8+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.643.485.0-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)43.938.682.5+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.381.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.681.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.442.382.8-1.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.839.482.2+3.460%-
vs Weaker (16)44.140.884.8+3.356%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.3
54.6%
55.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.2
37.1%
34.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.614.9
69.0%
73.2%14.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.8
57.7%
55.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
34.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.914.8
74.4%
73.2%14.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLWLLWLLLL
Neptunas
WWWWWLLLLW
#8
League position
#6
-13.4
Net rating
-1.5
111.3
Offensive rating
111.8
124.8
Defensive rating
113.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.3%
63.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.1%
3-point %
30.7%
62.5%
Assist %
71.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 111.8Defence124.8 · 113.3Shooting55.1% · 53.3%3-point %37.1% · 30.7%Ball care16.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Jonava wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Neptunas v Jonava69-64
29/10/23Jonava v Neptunas88-77
26/03/23Neptunas v Jonava76-70
01/02/23Jonava v Neptunas83-66
21/01/23Jonava v Neptunas76-75
04/01/23Neptunas v Jonava80-85
31/10/22Neptunas v Jonava77-93
26/03/22Neptunas v Jonava75-78
24/01/22Neptunas v Jonava75-87
16/12/21Jonava v Neptunas64-89
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/24HSiauliai81-80
24/03/24ALietkabelis80-90
13/03/24HBC Wolves81-68
09/03/24HLietkabelis74-92
03/03/24ASiauliai86-89
11/02/24ABC Wolves96-85
07/02/24ABahcesehir Kol.79-119
03/02/24HMazeikiai87-96
31/01/24HLegia77-101
27/01/24ARytas88-110
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/24HMazeikiai91-89
25/03/24AJuventus96-83
16/03/24ARytas84-83
11/03/24HSiauliai85-76
04/03/24ALietkabelis78-76
12/02/24HZalgiris Kaunas75-95
04/02/24ANevezis92-96 OT
27/01/24ABC Wolves73-92
21/01/24ALietkabelis76-79
14/01/24HGargzdai100-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLLLWW54%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%54%25%
Points / game82.283.880.5
Allowed / game85.082.288.2
Point differential-2.8+1.7-7.7
Avg total167.3166.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeLWLWW58%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%58%46%
Points / game84.484.884.1
Allowed / game84.683.385.8
Point differential-0.2+1.5-1.7
Avg total169.0168.2169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2422292%86.172.0+14.1
2 Rytas2622485%94.280.0+14.2
3 BC Wolves2618869%85.779.4+6.3
4 Juventus25141156%88.381.2+7.1
5 Lietkabelis25141156%84.184.1+0.0
6 Neptunas25131252%84.484.6-0.2
7 Mazeikiai26131350%79.781.9-2.3
8 Jonava25101540%82.285.0-2.8
9 Siauliai2671927%81.587.2-5.7
10 Nevezis2671927%82.492.0-9.6
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2552020%83.793.5-9.8
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2018221878
Neptunas1815143481
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