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Kagoshima Rebnise vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 93-89 (OT)
21-17 20-19 12-26 19-10 21-17
Position#4
Record33-22
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#8
Record25-30
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game79.0
JapanB2.League· Kagoshima Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kagoshima Rebnise v Kumamoto
06 Apr 2025
KAGO93
KUMA89
05 Apr 2025
KAGO80
KUMA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kagoshima Rebnise winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kagoshima RebniseJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRebnise
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#13
L
64-67
64
67
-3
49avg 74
A08/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
82-73
82
73
+9
72avg 74
A09/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
60avg 74
A15/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
71avg 74
A16/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
95-62
95
62
+33
101avg 74
H22/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
101-72
101
72
+29
102avg 74
H23/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
56avg 74
A26/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 74
A29/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
78-93
78
93
-15
74avg 74
A30/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
64avg 74
H05/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
18-15
18-19
13-19
18-22
19-16
27-22
18-13
17-16
19-12
20-16
16-17
20-26
28-16
11-15
21-29
14-17
23-13
35-19
23-13
28-13
26-22
23-18
24-19
20-21
20-21
13-27
17-28
18-20
18-20
22-16
22-16
15-27
18-23
19-24
26-19
25-15
17-28
17-22
21-20
157.0Avg total
80.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)81.978.5160.4+3.460%
Season at home (27)83.378.7162.0+4.663%
Season away (28)80.678.4158.9+2.257%
Last 10 (10)80.276.8157.0+3.450%
Last 5 (5)81.883.8165.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.290.5161.8-19.20%
vs Similar (10)81.982.9164.8-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.373.1155.4+9.269%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
84avg 73
A10/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 73
A11/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
61-72
61
72
-11
54avg 73
H15/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 73
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
105-50
105
50
+55
113avg 73
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
88-70
88
70
+18
78avg 73
H23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 73
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
51avg 73
H29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
112-57
112
57
+55
118avg 73
H30/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
81avg 73
A05/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
28-22
13-15
21-16
15-12
12-28
15-19
24-20
16-17
12-19
16-20
17-16
26-20
16-28
15-11
29-21
32-13
30-10
23-11
20-16
23-11
26-16
25-19
14-24
19-13
19-18
16-25
24-30
19-25
14-13
16-16
15-13
22-7
31-15
30-21
29-14
15-25
28-17
22-17
20-21
155.4Avg total
83.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)78.779.0157.7-0.345%
Season at home (28)78.476.1154.5+2.346%
Season away (27)79.182.0161.1-3.044%
Last 10 (10)83.272.2155.4+11.060%
Last 5 (5)85.472.0157.4+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.575.7150.2-1.260%
vs Similar (10)81.774.8156.5+6.950%
vs Weaker (10)86.267.6153.8+18.690%
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
Kagoshima RebniseKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kagoshima RebniseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#13
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A08/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A15/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A16/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H22/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H23/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A26/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A30/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/04
B2.League
77.3Avg total
39.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.979.5+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.438.579.9+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.039.279.2+0.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.777.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.540.278.8-1.825%-
vs Similar (10)37.341.378.6-4.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.237.080.2+6.269%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A10/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A11/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H15/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H30/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/04
B2.League
78.5Avg total
42.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.278.8+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.135.277.4+6.950%-
Last 30 away (14)41.139.480.4+1.764%-
Last 10 (10)42.835.778.5+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.232.075.2+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.139.978.0-1.840%-
vs Similar (10)41.538.680.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (10)45.333.078.3+12.380%-
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kagoshima Rebnisetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kagoshima Rebnise: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.3
49.6%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.815.6
71.6%
70.7%15.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.2
47.4%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.5
37.7%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
70.7%13.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kagoshima Rebnise
LLWLWWLWWL
Kumamoto
WWLLWWWLLW
#4
League position
#8
+3.5
Net rating
+15.1
105.2
Offensive rating
110.7
101.7
Defensive rating
95.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.4%
3-point %
37.7%
65.8%
Assist %
67.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 110.7Defence101.7 · 95.7Shooting48.0% · 50.8%3-point %30.4% · 37.7%Ball care14.2% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.4% · 37.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Kagoshima Rebnise   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kagoshima Rebnise wins
3
Kumamoto wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HKumamoto80-85
30/03/25AFukui78-93
29/03/25AFukui80-72
26/03/25AAltiri Chiba70-97
23/03/25HAomori101-72
22/03/25HAomori95-62
16/03/25AKumamoto80-86
15/03/25AKumamoto72-61
09/03/25AFukushima82-73
08/03/25AFukushima64-67
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AKagoshima Rebnise85-80
30/03/25HNara112-57
29/03/25HNara64-67
26/03/25AShizuoka78-86
23/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings88-70
22/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings105-50
16/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise86-80
15/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise61-72
11/03/25AShinshu66-79
10/03/25AShinshu87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kagoshima Rebnise
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeLLWWL63%
AwayWLLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %60%63%57%
Points / game81.983.380.6
Allowed / game78.578.778.4
Point differential+3.4+4.6+2.2
Avg total160.4162.0158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeWWWLW46%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %45%46%44%
Points / game78.778.479.1
Allowed / game79.076.182.0
Point differential-0.3+2.3-3.0
Avg total157.7154.5161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)50% (10)80% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5552395%91.974.6+17.2
2 Fukuoka55381769%83.174.4+8.7
3 Shinshu55352064%84.077.5+6.5
4 Toyama55352064%87.581.2+6.3
5 Kagoshima Rebnise55332260%81.978.5+3.4
6 Shizuoka55322358%78.275.9+2.3
7 Fukui55302555%82.079.9+2.1
8 Kumamoto55253045%78.779.0-0.3
9 Nara55243144%76.780.1-3.3
10 Kobe55233242%79.883.1-3.4
11 Yamagata Wyverns55203536%78.281.9-3.7
12 Aomori55203536%78.185.8-7.8
13 Fukushima55134224%72.882.0-9.2
14 Ehime Orange Vikings555509%71.990.6-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Kagoshima Rebnise212012192193
Kumamoto171926101789
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