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Shizuoka vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 86-78
13-19 18-19 25-16 30-24
Position#6
Record29-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#8
Record23-28
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game79.5
JapanB2.League· Numazu City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shizuoka v Kumamoto
26 Mar 2025
SHIZ86
KUMA78
27 Oct 2024
SHIZ82
KUMA75
26 Oct 2024
SHIZ89
KUMA75
04 Feb 2024
SHIZ83
KUMA100
03 Feb 2024
SHIZ80
KUMA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shizuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
L
57-69
57
69
-12
51avg 74
H22/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 74
H23/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 74
A01/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
88avg 74
A02/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
58-85
58
85
-27
40avg 74
A07/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
50avg 74
A08/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
69avg 74
H14/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
95avg 74
H15/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
83avg 74
A22/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 74
A23/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
15-20
19-11
9-18
31-19
18-21
24-20
21-25
21-26
16-23
28-16
20-11
22-22
24-14
21-28
14-14
9-29
14-20
21-20
14-16
17-26
12-25
20-13
11-20
21-21
20-25
14-22
21-15
24-28
21-21
31-23
17-19
22-15
21-19
18-19
15-23
25-17
16-24
21-26
15-21
159.6Avg total
76.8Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)77.876.2154.0+1.657%
Season at home (23)79.980.7160.6-0.948%
Season away (28)76.172.5148.6+3.664%
Last 10 (10)76.882.8159.6-6.040%
Last 5 (5)78.687.0165.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.788.5161.2-15.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.975.1153.0+2.964%
vs Weaker (10)85.472.1157.5+13.390%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#13
L
63-67
63
67
-4
51avg 73
H22/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
91avg 73
H23/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
97avg 73
A01/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
89-59
89
59
+30
90avg 73
A02/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
84avg 73
A10/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 73
A11/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
61-72
61
72
-11
54avg 73
H15/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 73
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
105-50
105
50
+55
113avg 73
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
88-70
88
70
+18
78avg 73
H23/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
22-11
8-19
16-17
23-12
32-11
22-18
15-19
20-20
22-15
21-19
21-30
16-17
25-13
27-16
21-13
25-28
28-22
13-15
21-16
15-12
12-28
15-19
24-20
16-17
12-19
16-20
17-16
26-20
16-28
15-11
29-21
32-13
30-10
23-11
20-16
23-11
26-16
25-19
14-24
154.9Avg total
83.6Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)78.379.5157.8-1.345%
Season at home (26)77.777.2154.8+0.546%
Season away (25)78.982.0160.8-3.144%
Last 10 (10)83.671.3154.9+12.370%
Last 5 (5)81.270.2151.4+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.176.8149.9-3.750%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.476.9157.3+3.657%
vs Weaker (13)87.070.9157.9+16.185%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
ShizuokaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H22/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A01/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A07/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A08/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H14/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/03
B2.League
81.8Avg total
38.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.378.7+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.639.580.2+1.154%-
Last 30 away (17)40.237.477.6+2.865%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.581.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.284.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.845.081.8-8.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.036.876.8+3.271%-
vs Weaker (10)43.136.579.6+6.670%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H22/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H23/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A01/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A02/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A10/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A11/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H15/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H23/03
B2.League
78.1Avg total
43.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.179.7+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.436.678.0+4.747%-
Last 30 away (13)42.040.082.0+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.834.378.1+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.876.4+6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.939.977.8-2.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.642.183.7-0.643%-
vs Weaker (13)44.534.579.1+10.077%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.820.7
48.4%
51.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.4
31.4%
32.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.112.6
69.6%
70.7%12.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.921.8
50.8%
51.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.3
34.4%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.114.3
71.1%
70.7%14.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shizuoka
LLWLLLWWWL
Kumamoto
WWWLLWWWWL
#6
League position
#8
-7.8
Net rating
+17.0
101.9
Offensive rating
111.1
109.7
Defensive rating
94.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
38.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.4%
3-point %
34.4%
74.7%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 111.1Defence109.7 · 94.1Shooting47.9% · 51.1%3-point %31.4% · 34.4%Ball care18.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds33.0% · 38.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Shizuoka   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shizuoka wins
6
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
29/01/25Kumamoto v Shizuoka76-63
26/11/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka74-71
25/11/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka51-60
27/10/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto82-75
26/10/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto89-75
03/03/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka86-85
02/03/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka108-101 OT
04/02/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto83-100
03/02/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto80-72
03/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka81-78
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AToyama77-88
22/03/25AToyama87-89 OT
15/03/25HNara93-91
14/03/25HNara76-83
08/03/25AFukuoka60-84
07/03/25AFukuoka58-85
02/03/25AKagoshima Rebnise81-78
01/03/25AKagoshima Rebnise85-76
23/02/25HShinshu94-85
22/02/25HShinshu57-69
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings88-70
22/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings105-50
16/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise86-80
15/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise61-72
11/03/25AShinshu66-79
10/03/25AShinshu87-81
02/03/25AAomori89-59
01/03/25AAomori99-95 OT
23/02/25HFukushima92-60
22/02/25HFukushima63-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL57%
HomeWLWLW48%
AwayWLLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512328
Win %57%48%64%
Points / game77.879.976.1
Allowed / game76.280.772.5
Point differential+1.6-0.9+3.6
Avg total154.0160.6148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%22%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW45%
HomeWLWWW46%
AwayWWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %45%46%44%
Points / game78.377.778.9
Allowed / game79.577.282.0
Point differential-1.3+0.5-3.1
Avg total157.8154.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%23%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)56% (9)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5148394%91.574.1+17.4
2 Fukuoka51351669%82.674.4+8.2
3 Toyama51341767%88.080.6+7.4
4 Shinshu51321963%84.778.0+6.6
5 Kagoshima Rebnise51321963%82.377.9+4.4
6 Shizuoka51292257%77.876.2+1.6
7 Fukui51282355%82.380.1+2.2
8 Kumamoto51232845%78.379.5-1.3
9 Nara51222943%77.379.8-2.5
10 Kobe51203139%79.383.0-3.7
11 Yamagata Wyverns51193237%78.482.1-3.7
12 Aomori51183335%77.986.3-8.4
13 Fukushima51123924%72.982.7-9.8
14 Ehime Orange Vikings5154610%72.490.7-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shizuoka1318253086
Kumamoto1919162478
← all games of the day
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