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Kumamoto vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 112-57
22-7 31-15 30-21 29-14
Position#8
Record23-30
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.4
Kumamoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Nara
Japan
Position#9
Record24-29
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game79.3
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kumamoto v Nara
30 Mar 2025
KUMA112
NARA57
29 Mar 2025
KUMA64
NARA67
03 Nov 2024
KUMA71
NARA85
02 Nov 2024
KUMA86
NARA94
07 Jan 2024
KUMA74
NARA59
06 Jan 2024
KUMA87
NARA66
25 Oct 2023
KUMA64
NARA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
97avg 72
A01/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
89-59
89
59
+30
90avg 72
A02/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
84avg 72
A10/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 72
A11/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
61-72
61
72
-11
54avg 72
H15/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 72
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
105-50
105
50
+55
113avg 72
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
88-70
88
70
+18
78avg 72
H23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 72
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
51avg 72
H29/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
22-15
21-19
21-30
16-17
25-13
27-16
21-13
25-28
28-22
13-15
21-16
15-12
12-28
15-19
24-20
16-17
12-19
16-20
17-16
26-20
16-28
15-11
29-21
32-13
30-10
23-11
20-16
23-11
26-16
25-19
14-24
19-13
19-18
16-25
24-30
19-25
14-13
16-16
15-13
156.2Avg total
82.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)78.079.4157.4-1.443%
Season at home (27)77.176.8154.0+0.344%
Season away (26)78.882.1161.0-3.342%
Last 10 (10)82.373.9156.2+8.460%
Last 5 (5)84.270.6154.8+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.176.8149.9-3.750%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.376.8155.1+1.644%
vs Weaker (11)88.268.9157.1+19.391%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
96-65
96
65
+31
101avg 71
H01/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
86avg 71
H02/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
85-74
85
74
+11
84avg 71
A08/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
79avg 71
A09/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
77avg 71
A14/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
82avg 71
A15/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
72-60
72
60
+12
70avg 71
H22/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
67-81
67
81
-14
62avg 71
H23/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
83-71
83
71
+12
82avg 71
A26/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
67-64
67
64
+3
66avg 71
A29/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
34-12
23-20
23-16
23-19
17-17
23-17
26-17
24-20
26-20
15-16
20-18
20-27
25-17
24-19
17-11
21-21
25-20
22-14
15-21
28-24
21-21
23-31
19-17
19-11
22-15
13-14
18-20
22-30
13-14
21-15
11-22
22-19
25-14
23-21
13-17
25-19
13-14
16-16
13-15
154.7Avg total
81.9Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)77.279.3156.5-2.145%
Season at home (26)74.678.8153.5-4.235%
Season away (27)79.779.7159.4-0.156%
Last 10 (10)81.972.8154.7+9.180%
Last 5 (5)76.073.8149.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.485.9162.3-9.527%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.774.6151.3+2.171%
vs Weaker (8)82.473.8156.1+8.675%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
KumamotoNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A01/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A02/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A10/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A11/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H15/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/03
B2.League
77.3Avg total
41.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.879.4+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.436.577.9+4.944%-
Last 30 away (14)41.739.481.1+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)41.535.877.3+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.833.478.2+11.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.939.977.8-2.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.240.480.7-0.244%-
vs Weaker (11)45.933.879.7+12.182%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H01/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A08/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A09/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A14/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A15/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H22/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H23/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A26/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/03
B2.League
81.2Avg total
44.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.380.4-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.339.076.3-1.738%-
Last 30 away (17)42.241.483.5+0.865%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.181.2+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.278.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.143.182.2-3.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.136.476.6+3.771%-
vs Weaker (8)41.838.680.4+3.175%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.3
48.4%
51.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.2
34.6%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.814.1
67.8%
70.7%14.1
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.2
54.2%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.5
39.8%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.810.8
64.3%
70.7%10.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LLWWWLLWWW
Nara
WWLWLWWWWW
#8
League position
#9
+10.8
Net rating
+11.8
107.2
Offensive rating
109.6
96.4
Defensive rating
97.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
56.6%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
18.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.6%
3-point %
39.8%
65.8%
Assist %
73.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 109.6Defence96.4 · 97.8Shooting49.6% · 56.6%3-point %34.6% · 39.8%Ball care18.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds36.1% · 18.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kumamoto wins
6
Nara wins
DateGameScore
29/03/25Kumamoto v Nara64-67
01/12/24Nara v Kumamoto69-73
30/11/24Nara v Kumamoto88-74
03/11/24Kumamoto v Nara71-85
02/11/24Kumamoto v Nara86-94
17/03/24Nara v Kumamoto84-87
16/03/24Nara v Kumamoto87-77
07/01/24Kumamoto v Nara74-59
06/01/24Kumamoto v Nara87-66
20/12/23Nara v Kumamoto86-78
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HNara64-67
26/03/25AShizuoka78-86
23/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings88-70
22/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings105-50
16/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise86-80
15/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise61-72
11/03/25AShinshu66-79
10/03/25AShinshu87-81
02/03/25AAomori89-59
01/03/25AAomori99-95 OT
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25AKumamoto67-64
26/03/25AEhime Orange Vikings83-71
23/03/25HYamagata Wyverns67-81
22/03/25HYamagata Wyverns72-60
15/03/25AShizuoka91-93
14/03/25AShizuoka83-76
09/03/25AAomori86-74
08/03/25AAomori85-74
02/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings89-70
01/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings96-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeLWWWL44%
AwayWWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %43%44%42%
Points / game78.077.178.8
Allowed / game79.476.882.1
Point differential-1.4+0.3-3.3
Avg total157.4154.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (10)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeWWWWL35%
AwayWWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532627
Win %45%35%56%
Points / game77.274.679.7
Allowed / game79.378.879.7
Point differential-2.1-4.2-0.1
Avg total156.5153.5159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%23%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5350394%91.774.0+17.7
2 Fukuoka54371769%83.074.5+8.5
3 Toyama53351866%87.880.9+6.9
4 Shinshu54342063%84.177.7+6.4
5 Kagoshima Rebnise53332062%82.078.1+3.9
6 Shizuoka53312258%78.076.0+2.0
7 Fukui53282553%81.980.1+1.7
8 Nara53242945%77.279.3-2.1
9 Kumamoto53233043%78.079.4-1.4
10 Kobe53213240%79.383.1-3.8
11 Yamagata Wyverns53203338%78.281.7-3.6
12 Aomori53193436%78.086.1-8.2
13 Fukushima54134124%72.982.1-9.3
14 Ehime Orange Vikings545499%72.190.6-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto22313029112
Nara715211457
← all games of the day
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