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Kansas State vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 98-77
44-36 54-41
Position#292
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game78.5
Kansas State 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#257
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kansas State v Mississippi St.
20 Nov 2025
KANS98
MISS77
14 Dec 2019
KANS61
MISS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#200
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H08/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A12/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
93-64
93
64
+29
H05/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H09/11
NCAA
California
#79
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H14/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
42-39
33-22
32-34
22-25
32-24
26-34
31-39
38-31
33-35
24-41
32-29
33-34
60-30
46-30
52-41
55-34
44-62
39-34
45-49
146.1Avg total
75.3Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.578.5172.0+15.0100%
Season at home (4)93.578.5172.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.370.8146.1+4.570%
Last 5 (5)86.076.8162.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.476.4146.8-5.936%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.866.9137.8+3.962%
vs Weaker (3)90.369.7160.0+20.767%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
L
73-111
73
111
-38
A26/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H01/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A08/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H12/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A13/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H21/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H11/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-53
46-58
35-37
46-32
32-37
39-34
44-45
48-48
44-24
47-38
34-39
39-46
32-37
40-38
38-37
48-25
53-35
43-45
40-35
35-33
161.3Avg total
82.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.770.0155.7+15.7100%
Season at home (3)85.770.0155.7+15.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.179.2161.3+2.950%
Last 5 (5)80.474.0154.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.483.6155.0-12.122%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.274.1155.4+7.164%
vs Weaker (7)83.765.7149.4+18.0100%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +3.4+3.4
Kansas StateMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#200
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H08/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H11/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A12/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H05/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H09/11
NCAA
California
#79
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H14/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
35.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.666.9+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.831.469.2+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)29.634.263.8-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)35.032.667.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.674.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.135.468.6-2.357%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.229.562.7+3.654%-
vs Weaker (3)44.033.077.0+11.067%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A26/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H11/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/11
NCAA
75.8Avg total
37.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.272.4+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.335.074.3+4.356%-
Last 30 away (12)34.135.469.5-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.975.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.676.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.239.872.0-7.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.733.772.4+5.064%-
vs Weaker (7)40.632.172.7+8.471%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kansas State wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
14/12/19Kansas State v Mississippi St.61-67
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HTulsa84-83
14/11/25HCalifornia99-96
09/11/25HBellarmine98-71
05/11/25HNC Greensboro93-64
12/03/25ABaylor56-70
11/03/25HArizona State71-66
08/03/25HIowa State57-73
06/03/25ACincinnati54-49
02/03/25HColorado65-56
27/02/25AUCF Knights76-80
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HSE Louisiana75-68
11/11/25HIowa State96-80
06/11/25HNorth Alabama86-62
21/03/25HBaylor72-75
13/03/25AMissouri73-85
12/03/25HLSU91-62
08/03/25AArkansas92-93
05/03/25HTexas82-87 OT
01/03/25HLSU81-69
26/02/25AAlabama73-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.593.5-
Allowed / game78.578.5-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.785.7-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+15.7+15.7-
Avg total155.7155.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston550100%76.453.4+23.0
2 Oklahoma State550100%92.873.0+19.8
3 West Virginia550100%72.854.8+18.0
4 Cincinnati440100%78.561.0+17.5
5 Arizona550100%82.067.0+15.0
6 Kansas State440100%93.578.5+15.0
7 Baylor330100%89.377.0+12.3
8 Colorado440100%94.282.2+12.0
9 UCF Knights65183%87.077.8+9.2
10 Utah Utes65183%86.380.2+6.2
11 Texas Tech54180%87.472.8+14.6
12 Iowa State43175%91.566.2+25.2
13 Brigham Young43175%84.568.2+16.2
14 Arizona State43175%75.567.2+8.2
15 TCU53260%80.063.6+16.4
16 Kansas53260%77.463.8+13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia550100%99.462.6+36.8
2 Vanderbilt550100%103.073.0+30.0
3 LSU440100%98.570.0+28.5
4 Tennessee550100%90.061.8+28.2
5 Missouri660100%93.270.0+23.2
6 South Carolina440100%85.567.5+18.0
7 Ole Miss550100%82.265.0+17.2
8 Mississippi St.330100%85.770.0+15.7
9 Auburn54180%93.469.6+23.8
10 Texas54180%84.062.6+21.4
11 Arkansas54180%86.272.0+14.2
12 Florida43175%87.875.2+12.5
13 Alabama43175%91.082.8+8.2
14 Kentucky53260%87.468.4+19.0
15 Oklahoma53260%91.878.8+13.0
16 Texas A&M53260%85.078.4+6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kansas State445498
Mississippi St.364177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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