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Crvena zvezda vs Karpos Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-70
16-18 22-20 24-16 29-16
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#11
Record1-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game81.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karpos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H23/10
ABA League
Barcelona
#11
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H26/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A28/10
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#8
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A31/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H04/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H07/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#15
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A10/11
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A13/11
ABA League
Bamberg
#13
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A15/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H17/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
19-17
7-20
21-17
9-16
31-15
20-17
16-17
14-23
11-23
16-15
18-9
10-17
21-15
22-11
18-16
15-22
13-15
20-22
15-11
20-23
28-16
22-14
13-19
17-17
15-10
11-14
19-24
23-18
30-15
20-19
18-18
11-14
27-15
20-32
21-17
14-19
23-13
17-14
29-24
142.0Avg total
73.5Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.266.4150.7+17.8100%
Season at home (5)85.269.4154.6+15.8100%
Season away (4)83.062.8145.8+20.2100%
Last 10 (10)73.568.5142.0+5.070%
Last 5 (5)79.671.0150.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)69.471.2140.6-1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)81.866.3148.1+15.492%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H10/10
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
60-94
60
94
-34
H12/10
BIBL
Cibona
#7
L
79-102
79
102
-23
A15/10
ABA League
Trepca
#9
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A18/10
BIBL
MZT Skopje
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A23/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
H31/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A07/11
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H09/11
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H12/11
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A16/11
BIBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
21-20
20-20
16-22
16-18
14-32
15-26
15-18
19-30
22-27
16-25
22-20
25-20
15-16
24-22
16-24
25-8
6-16
11-24
29-26
13-19
17-19
20-17
23-18
16-18
15-18
15-17
16-14
33-19
15-14
12-26
18-15
18-25
25-8
21-23
13-15
15-17
24-23
21-25
10-20
155.7Avg total
73.7Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.381.4153.8-9.111%
Season at home (4)79.081.5160.5-2.525%
Season away (5)67.081.4148.4-14.40%
Last 10 (10)73.782.0155.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)74.076.8150.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.386.5156.8-16.217%
vs Similar (8)73.176.8149.9-3.612%
vs Weaker (16)85.375.5160.8+9.862%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
Crvena zvezdaKarpos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
ABA League
Barcelona
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A28/10
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#8
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A31/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H04/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H07/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#15
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A10/11
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A13/11
ABA League
Bamberg
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A15/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H17/11
Euroleague
70.7Avg total
37.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.074.6+6.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.231.272.4+10.087%-
Last 30 away (15)40.036.776.7+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)37.233.570.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.073.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.034.669.6+0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.733.875.6+7.980%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H10/10
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H12/10
BIBL
Cibona
#7
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A15/10
ABA League
Trepca
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A18/10
BIBL
MZT Skopje
#13
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A23/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H31/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/11
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/11
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/11
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A16/11
BIBL
76.3Avg total
37.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.077.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.977.8+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.177.7-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.976.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.074.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.744.081.7-6.317%-
vs Similar (8)33.239.072.2-5.825%-
vs Weaker (16)41.937.179.1+4.869%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.3
46.3%
51.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.3
35.1%
34.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
73.3%14.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.0
47.6%
51.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.5
29.3%
34.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.5
78.2%
73.3%17.5
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWLWLWLWW
Karpos
LWWLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#11
+7.7
Net rating
-13.3
100.6
Offensive rating
95.5
92.9
Defensive rating
108.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
46.0%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
18.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.1%
3-point %
29.3%
66.4%
Assist %
68.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 95.5Defence92.9 · 108.8Shooting48.5% · 46.0%3-point %35.1% · 29.3%Ball care16.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds24.2% · 18.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Karpos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crvena zvezda wins
0
Karpos wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/16HOlimpia Milano83-70
15/11/16ABamberg79-78
13/11/16ACibona91-70
10/11/16AUnics Kazan62-65
07/11/16HPartizan83-72
04/11/16HBaskonia63-70
31/10/16AMornar Bar71-59
28/10/16APanathinaikos59-70
26/10/16HBarcelona76-65
23/10/16HIgokea68-66
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/16AFeni Industries70-85
12/11/16HBuducnost77-71
09/11/16HTirana78-74
07/11/16AFMP Beograd62-67
31/10/16HPetrol Olimpija83-87 OT
23/10/16AMZT Skopje71-74
18/10/16ATrepca80-82
15/10/16ACibona79-102
12/10/16HSutjeska60-94
10/10/16HPartizan77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.285.283.0
Allowed / game66.469.462.8
Point differential+17.8+15.8+20.2
Avg total150.7154.6145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%80%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW11%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game72.379.067.0
Allowed / game81.481.581.4
Point differential-9.1-2.5-14.4
Avg total153.8160.5148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda990100%84.266.4+17.8
2 Buducnost109190%85.375.3+10.0
3 Cedevita107370%88.376.5+11.8
4 Partizan107370%76.973.1+3.8
5 Cibona106460%83.982.7+1.2
6 KK Krka Novo mesto95456%76.480.3-3.9
7 Igokea105550%76.876.5+0.3
8 Mega Bemax104640%83.785.8-2.1
9 Zadar104640%79.790.5-10.8
10 Petrol Olimpija93633%82.383.9-1.6
11 FMP Beograd103730%73.077.8-4.8
12 MZT Skopje103730%76.184.5-8.4
13 Mornar Bar102820%77.481.3-3.9
14 Karpos91811%72.381.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda1622242991
Karpos1820161670
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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