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Karpos vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-98
24-23 13-26 12-21 12-28
Position#11
Record9-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#1
Record21-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game67.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 23
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A07/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H14/01
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A17/01
BIBL
MZT Skopje
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H20/01
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H25/01
BIBL
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
A29/01
ABA League
Kumanovo
#4
L
101-106
101
106
-5
H01/02
BIBL
FMP Beograd
#9
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
H04/02
ABA League
Tivat
#6
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A08/02
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
L
61-95
61
95
-34
A11/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
14-13
16-26
25-16
15-17
18-18
21-17
22-18
18-20
30-28
26-10
26-25
14-17
17-17
18-12
28-28
16-13
22-25
20-11
21-14
23-24
28-18
23-29
23-21
20-26
13-27
24-24
44-29
26-16
14-16
22-17
13-26
22-23
19-21
18-31
22-23
15-35
18-23
12-17
16-20
167.0Avg total
83.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.479.8155.2-4.441%
Season at home (11)79.974.8154.7+5.173%
Season away (11)70.984.8155.7-13.99%
Last 10 (10)83.283.8167.0-0.660%
Last 5 (5)85.694.4180.0-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.083.4159.4-7.441%
vs Similar (11)79.277.6156.8+1.545%
vs Weaker (2)89.078.5167.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H15/01
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A19/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#5
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A21/01
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A24/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H26/01
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H30/01
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A05/02
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A09/02
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H12/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
21-14
13-14
21-20
16-17
17-17
15-20
23-13
16-15
23-23
19-8
19-22
25-15
25-12
20-22
17-20
20-14
19-19
18-23
15-10
9-23
27-20
21-13
25-15
20-16
16-31
16-14
20-25
17-21
29-25
26-21
9-19
26-33
20-25
18-19
16-25
22-13
18-16
15-17
14-10
150.3Avg total
77.0Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.267.8153.0+17.495%
Season at home (11)86.666.6153.3+20.0100%
Season away (11)83.769.0152.7+14.791%
Last 10 (10)77.073.3150.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)76.880.2157.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.079.7159.7+0.367%
vs Similar (10)75.778.1153.8-2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.968.2153.1+16.894%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
KarposCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A07/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H14/01
ABA League
Tirana
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/01
BIBL
MZT Skopje
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/01
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/01
BIBL
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A29/01
ABA League
Kumanovo
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H01/02
BIBL
FMP Beograd
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
ABA League
Tivat
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A08/02
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A11/02
ABA League
79.7Avg total
37.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.077.7-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.736.674.3+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.743.381.1-5.620%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.879.7-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.885.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.442.479.8-5.029%-
vs Similar (11)36.336.172.4+0.245%-
vs Weaker (2)48.040.588.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H15/01
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A21/01
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A24/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/01
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H30/01
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/02
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A09/02
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H12/02
ABA League
79.3Avg total
41.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.535.878.3+6.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.434.678.0+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)41.836.878.6+4.962%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.379.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.685.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.742.388.0+3.367%-
vs Similar (10)40.337.577.8+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.333.676.9+9.776%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.3
51.7%
51.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.613.2
75.0%
73.3%13.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.4
51.6%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.5
32.5%
34.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.314.9
70.0%
73.3%14.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karpos
LLWLWWWWWL
Crvena zvezda
WLLLWWWWWW
#11
League position
#1
-0.9
Net rating
+5.3
100.4
Offensive rating
103.6
101.3
Defensive rating
98.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
32.5%
58.6%
Assist %
74.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 103.6Defence101.3 · 98.3Shooting51.0% · 50.5%3-point %33.3% · 32.5%Ball care16.5% · 15.1%Off. rebounds20.4% · 24.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Karpos   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karpos wins
1
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
21/11/16Crvena zvezda v Karpos91-70
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/17ABuducnost61-95
08/02/17ATivat81-98
04/02/17HFMP Beograd88-81 OT
01/02/17HKumanovo101-106
29/01/17APetrol Olimpija97-92
25/01/17HFeni Industries79-63
20/01/17HMZT Skopje77-74
17/01/17ATirana100-83
14/01/17HCibona76-70
07/01/17APartizan72-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/17HCibona69-56
09/02/17ACSKA Moscow80-102
05/02/17APartizan81-86
03/02/17HAnadolu Efes72-86
30/01/17HMornar Bar82-71
26/01/17HPanathinaikos72-66
24/01/17ABaskonia87-69
21/01/17AIgokea77-68
19/01/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv71-67
15/01/17HKK Krka Novo mesto79-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL41%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%73%9%
Points / game75.479.970.9
Allowed / game79.874.884.8
Point differential-4.4+5.1-13.9
Avg total155.2154.7155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %95%100%91%
Points / game85.286.683.7
Allowed / game67.866.669.0
Point differential+17.4+20.0+14.7
Avg total153.0153.3152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%91%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2221195%85.267.8+17.4
2 Cedevita2216673%88.980.1+8.8
3 Buducnost2216673%82.175.5+6.6
4 Partizan2216673%79.574.2+5.3
5 Cibona22111150%79.679.6+0.0
6 Igokea22101245%74.978.7-3.8
7 Petrol Olimpija2291341%79.581.9-2.4
8 FMP Beograd2291341%77.079.8-2.8
9 Karpos2291341%75.479.8-4.4
10 Mega Bemax2281436%81.282.7-1.5
11 MZT Skopje2281436%78.282.0-3.7
12 Mornar Bar2271532%77.178.2-1.0
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2271532%71.880.7-8.9
14 Zadar2271532%77.987.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karpos2413121261
Crvena zvezda2326212898
← all games of the day
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