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Crvena zvezda vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-71
9-23 27-20 21-13 25-15
Position#1
Record19-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game67.3
Crvena zvezda 🏆
vs
Mornar Bar
Position#8
Record7-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 20
Domestic2016
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar
28 Sep 2024
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20 Nov 2023
CZV95
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10 Dec 2022
CZV93
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30 Jan 2022
CZV81
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18 Oct 2020
CZV93
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17 Nov 2018
CZV104
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02 Apr 2018
CZV88
MBA69
18 Mar 2018
CZV91
MBA63
01 Oct 2017
CZV88
MBA77
30 Jan 2017
CZV82
MBA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H29/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#12
W
113-65
113
65
+48
H02/01
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
77-61
77
61
+16
A06/01
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#6
W
81-69 OT
81
69
+12
A09/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H12/01
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H15/01
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A19/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#5
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A21/01
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A24/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H26/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
21-20
16-22
14-11
30-11
37-16
29-13
17-25
21-7
26-15
14-17
16-22
20-21
23-11
14-17
10-18
23-23
21-19
17-17
14-14
24-14
21-14
13-14
21-20
16-17
17-17
15-20
23-13
16-15
23-23
19-8
19-22
25-15
25-12
20-22
17-20
20-14
19-19
18-23
15-10
147.7Avg total
81.0Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.467.3153.7+19.1100%
Season at home (9)89.167.3156.4+21.8100%
Season away (10)84.067.3151.3+16.7100%
Last 10 (10)81.066.7147.7+14.3100%
Last 5 (5)77.266.4143.6+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.068.5148.5+11.5100%
vs Similar (11)73.475.9149.3-2.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.067.2151.2+16.894%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#40
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A21/12
Champions League
Cibona
#7
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H27/12
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A30/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H03/01
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H08/01
ABA League
Avellino
#10
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A11/01
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A15/01
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A17/01
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H22/01
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H25/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
10-15
9-16
18-13
24-15
16-14
26-15
26-13
11-24
18-13
16-23
18-15
23-13
21-29
13-24
24-26
22-14
27-18
19-22
25-16
20-13
8-13
17-10
15-17
24-20
20-21
18-26
23-25
24-14
12-26
13-23
25-19
19-14
15-15
21-22
23-20
19-19
21-25
16-16
14-23
148.4Avg total
74.9Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.477.8156.3+0.637%
Season at home (10)79.969.9149.8+10.070%
Season away (9)76.886.7163.4-9.90%
Last 10 (10)74.973.5148.4+1.440%
Last 5 (5)73.476.2149.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.782.6152.3-12.918%
vs Similar (9)80.075.3155.3+4.744%
vs Weaker (4)79.580.5160.0-1.050%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
Crvena zvezdaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#12
W
67-27
67
27
+40
H02/01
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
47-22
47
22
+25
A06/01
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A09/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H12/01
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H15/01
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A21/01
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A24/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/01
Euroleague
77.2Avg total
45.5Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.234.475.6+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.033.977.9+10.185%-
Last 30 away (17)39.134.773.8+4.465%-
Last 10 (10)45.531.777.2+13.890%-
Last 5 (5)41.232.073.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.580.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (11)38.237.475.5+0.855%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.632.475.1+10.282%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#40
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A21/12
Champions League
Cibona
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/12
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A30/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/01
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H08/01
ABA League
Avellino
#10
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A11/01
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A15/01
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/01
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H22/01
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/01
Champions League
72.1Avg total
37.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.477.8-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.639.078.6+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)35.241.977.1-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.172.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.072.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.941.777.6-5.829%-
vs Similar (9)39.237.776.9+1.644%-
vs Weaker (4)39.541.280.8-1.850%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.4
54.6%
51.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.6
37.1%
34.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.111.0
78.0%
73.3%11.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.1
49.9%
51.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.2
38.1%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
73.3%14.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWWWWW
Mornar Bar
LWLLWWLLWL
#1
League position
#8
+18.7
Net rating
+5.3
112.9
Offensive rating
104.2
94.2
Defensive rating
99.0
55.0%
Effective FG%
52.4%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.1%
3-point %
38.1%
67.1%
Assist %
55.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 104.2Defence94.2 · 99.0Shooting55.0% · 52.4%3-point %37.1% · 38.1%Ball care14.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.3% · 27.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Crvena zvezda wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
31/10/16Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda59-71
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/17HPanathinaikos72-66
24/01/17ABaskonia87-69
21/01/17AIgokea77-68
19/01/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv71-67
15/01/17HKK Krka Novo mesto79-62
12/01/17HFenerbahce75-73
09/01/17AMega Bemax81-69 OT
06/01/17AZalgiris Kaunas77-61
02/01/17HZadar113-65
29/12/16HCSKA Moscow78-67
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/17HStrasbourg70-83
22/01/17HBuducnost78-71
17/01/17AJuventus74-82
15/01/17AFMP Beograd85-92
11/01/17AAvellino60-53
08/01/17HPetrol Olimpija93-70
03/01/17HCibona81-92
30/12/16AKarpos63-75
27/12/16HCibona92-57
21/12/16AMega Bemax53-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2016
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.489.184.0
Allowed / game67.367.367.3
Point differential+19.1+21.8+16.7
Avg total153.7156.4151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+84%89%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW37%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%70%0%
Points / game78.479.976.8
Allowed / game77.869.986.7
Point differential+0.6+10.0-9.9
Avg total156.3149.8163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda19190100%86.467.3+19.1
2 Partizan2015575%79.873.6+6.2
3 Cedevita2014670%89.881.0+8.8
4 Buducnost2014670%80.875.6+5.2
5 Cibona2011955%80.579.5+1.0
6 Petrol Olimpija2091145%79.881.0-1.2
7 Igokea2091145%74.377.7-3.4
8 FMP Beograd2081240%76.279.4-3.2
9 Karpos2081240%75.579.0-3.5
10 Mornar Bar1971237%78.477.8+0.6
11 KK Krka Novo mesto2071335%72.080.2-8.2
12 Mega Bemax2061430%80.283.2-3.0
13 MZT Skopje2061430%77.083.3-6.2
14 Zadar2061430%77.889.2-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda927212582
Mornar Bar2320131571
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