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Zadar vs Karpos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-74
24-18 19-19 23-20 27-17
Position#12
Record4-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game89.7
Zadar 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record2-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karpos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A28/10
ABA League
Split
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H31/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H03/11
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A06/11
Premijer liga
Hermes
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H10/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
W
110-104
110
104
+6
A13/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H19/11
ABA League
Zabok
#10
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A20/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#7
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H25/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A27/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
21-19
16-16
18-18
25-21
11-19
19-28
29-21
24-16
20-31
21-14
18-29
16-13
13-26
17-24
11-24
22-21
25-22
20-16
25-17
34-23
19-22
23-20
34-39
20-22
18-17
19-20
12-17
21-16
25-16
20-26
18-29
20-18
22-7
15-12
16-27
17-24
6-18
19-20
31-20
163.9Avg total
80.4Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.189.7168.8-10.636%
Season at home (6)76.282.7158.8-6.550%
Season away (5)82.698.2180.8-15.620%
Last 10 (10)80.483.5163.9-3.130%
Last 5 (5)81.882.6164.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.490.9169.3-12.540%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.974.7155.6+6.157%
vs Weaker (8)83.575.4158.9+8.175%
This opponent (Karpos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A23/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
H31/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A07/11
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H09/11
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H12/11
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A16/11
BIBL
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A21/11
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A23/11
BIBL
Cedevita
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H26/11
ABA League
Peja
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A29/11
BIBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-8
6-16
11-24
29-26
13-19
17-19
20-17
23-18
16-18
15-18
15-17
16-14
33-19
15-14
12-26
18-15
18-25
25-8
21-23
13-15
15-17
24-23
21-25
10-20
18-16
20-22
16-24
16-29
19-23
19-27
25-12
18-23
25-12
20-22
21-20
23-27
12-24
21-26
10-26
21-14
155.0Avg total
74.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.682.3155.9-8.618%
Season at home (5)81.081.4162.4-0.440%
Season away (6)67.583.0150.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)74.580.5155.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)74.886.4161.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.686.6159.2-14.020%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.176.8149.9-3.612%
vs Weaker (12)85.474.2159.6+11.267%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
ZadarKarpos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/10
ABA League
Split
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H03/11
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A06/11
Premijer liga
Hermes
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H10/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H19/11
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#7
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H25/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A27/11
ABA League
80.1Avg total
40.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.580.1-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.536.677.1+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.645.083.6-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.880.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.677.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.944.482.3-6.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.336.177.4+5.157%-
vs Weaker (8)41.437.078.4+4.462%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#13
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A23/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H31/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/11
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/11
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/11
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A16/11
BIBL
Crvena zvezda
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/11
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A23/11
BIBL
Cedevita
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H26/11
ABA League
Peja
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A29/11
BIBL
75.2Avg total
37.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.778.3-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.337.677.9+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.141.678.7-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.675.2+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.481.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.043.681.6-5.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.239.072.2-5.825%-
vs Weaker (12)42.737.079.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.6
51.7%
51.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.15.5
30.4%
34.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws22.916.7
72.9%
73.3%16.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.114.6
46.9%
51.9%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.4
32.7%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.917.5
76.4%
73.3%17.5
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
LWLLWWLLLL
Karpos
LWLLLWWLLL
#12
League position
#11
-14.7
Net rating
-12.5
98.8
Offensive rating
98.5
113.5
Defensive rating
111.0
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.9%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
19.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.4%
3-point %
32.7%
64.1%
Assist %
71.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 98.5Defence113.5 · 111.0Shooting49.9% · 47.9%3-point %30.4% · 32.7%Ball care19.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds26.7% · 19.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Zadar   ■ Karpos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zadar wins
0
Karpos wins
No previous meetings.
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/16ACibona73-82
25/11/16HOsijek73-64
20/11/16AZabok84-87
19/11/16HPartizan69-76
13/11/16AMornar Bar110-104
10/11/16HHermes92-76
06/11/16AJolly Sibenik57-87
03/11/16HIgokea83-90
31/10/16HSplit84-89
28/10/16AKK Krka Novo mesto79-80
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/16APeja64-90
26/11/16HCedevita89-81
23/11/16ASutjeska81-85
21/11/16ACrvena zvezda70-91
16/11/16AFeni Industries70-85
12/11/16HBuducnost77-71
09/11/16HTirana78-74
07/11/16AFMP Beograd62-67
31/10/16HPetrol Olimpija83-87 OT
23/10/16AMZT Skopje71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game79.176.282.6
Allowed / game89.782.798.2
Point differential-10.6-6.5-15.6
Avg total168.8158.8180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW18%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%40%0%
Points / game73.681.067.5
Allowed / game82.381.483.0
Point differential-8.6-0.4-15.5
Avg total155.9162.4150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda11110100%84.966.8+18.1
2 Buducnost1110191%84.574.7+9.8
3 Partizan118373%77.773.6+4.1
4 Cedevita117464%87.677.6+10.0
5 Cibona117464%83.781.8+1.9
6 Igokea116555%77.076.1+0.9
7 KK Krka Novo mesto105550%76.180.9-4.8
8 Mega Bemax114736%83.385.8-2.5
9 Zadar114736%79.189.7-10.6
10 Petrol Olimpija103730%80.884.0-3.2
11 Mornar Bar113827%78.280.5-2.4
12 FMP Beograd113827%72.677.7-5.1
13 MZT Skopje113827%75.784.0-8.3
14 Karpos112918%73.682.3-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2419232793
Karpos1819201774
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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