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Karsiyaka vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-88
15-21 27-21 27-23 22-23
Position#38
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarsiyakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 71
A03/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 71
H09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
71avg 71
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
A16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
66avg 71
H23/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
A07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
no box
A11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
H13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
56avg 71
A24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-26
17-20
21-17
15-16
27-19
16-20
21-23
29-16
19-29
12-17
17-22
18-24
13-16
18-17
22-15
23-14
16-24
12-18
19-22
20-21
26-16
25-23
13-20
17-22
13-21
13-22
23-25
21-22
28-20
14-15
16-16
18-28
24-17
17-19
9-19
26-22
19-16
15-17
19-21
154.9Avg total
75.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.179.8154.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)75.280.4155.6-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.577.9151.5-4.445%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.378.8158.1+0.545%
vs Weaker (7)85.177.6162.7+7.671%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#13
W
92-75
92
75
+17
94avg 69
H19/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
55avg 69
A27/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
H03/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
90-75
90
75
+15
85avg 69
H10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
89-85
89
85
+4
81avg 69
A17/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 69
H20/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 69
H07/05
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
72-96
72
96
-24
56avg 69
A14/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 69
H23/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
no box
A25/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
21-21
26-12
19-24
16-13
15-19
14-13
20-17
17-20
14-25
17-17
21-21
27-21
21-14
18-17
24-23
22-15
15-25
25-22
27-23
17-20
18-13
21-23
24-18
20-17
22-12
17-26
19-17
12-22
24-27
19-25
17-22
22-25
20-19
16-25
24-26
15-20
14-19
19-18
17-8
158.6Avg total
79.2Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.279.4158.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)77.482.8160.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.182.8156.8-8.725%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.379.8158.1-1.559%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
KarsiyakaAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.2Avg total
41.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.279.6-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.440.079.4-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)39.340.479.7-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.082.2+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.083.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.840.678.5-2.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.538.777.3-0.255%-
vs Weaker (7)44.639.684.1+5.071%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H19/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H03/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A17/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/05
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A25/05
Basket League
76.3Avg total
37.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.978.2-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.438.979.3+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)35.941.177.0-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.576.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.875.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.641.476.0-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.438.678.9+1.859%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.3
50.6%
51.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.4
31.5%
35.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws14.711.6
78.9%
74.3%11.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.1
48.9%
51.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.9
33.9%
35.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.214.3
74.5%
74.3%14.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karsiyaka
WLWLWLLLWL
AEK Athens
LLLWWWWLWW
#38
League position
#11
-7.4
Net rating
-2.3
104.8
Offensive rating
106.9
112.2
Defensive rating
109.2
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.5%
3-point %
33.9%
67.0%
Assist %
61.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 106.9Defence112.2 · 109.2Shooting49.1% · 49.8%3-point %31.5% · 33.9%Ball care15.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.9% · 30.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Karsiyaka   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karsiyaka wins
0
AEK Athens wins
No previous meetings.
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/22HManisa79-76
24/05/22AAnadolu Efes68-83
13/05/22HAnadolu Efes79-73
11/05/22AAnadolu Efes66-90
07/05/22ADarussafaka84-80
23/04/22HBuyukcekmece70-78
16/04/22ATurk Telekom71-72
13/04/22ABursaspor77-84
09/04/22HTofas79-78
03/04/22AGalatasaray78-84
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/22APromitheas75-77 OT
23/05/22HPromitheas82-95
14/05/22APAOK72-96
07/05/22HPeristeri78-72
20/04/22HIraklis80-74
17/04/22APromitheas89-85
10/04/22HLavrio90-75
03/04/22HPanathinaikos69-83
27/03/22AKolossos Rhodes65-62
19/03/22HIonikos92-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Champions League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AEK Athens
Champions League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja220100%102.565.5+37.0
2 Peristeri110100%86.070.0+16.0
3 Benfica440100%85.270.2+15.0
4 Bakken Bears220100%85.573.5+12.0
5 Tofas220100%75.067.5+7.5
6 Hapoel Holon110100%84.081.0+3.0
7 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%69.067.0+2.0
8 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
9 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
10 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
11 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
12 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
13 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
14 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
15 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
16 Darussafaka1010%67.069.0-2.0
17 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
18 Legia1010%81.084.0-3.0
19 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
20 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
21 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
22 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
23 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
24 VEF Riga1010%76.089.0-13.0
25 Bnei Herzliya1010%70.086.0-16.0
26 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
27 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
28 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
29 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
30 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
31 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karsiyaka1527272291
AEK Athens2121232388
← all games of the day
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