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AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 69-83
17-20 14-25 17-17 21-21
Position#5
Record9-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#2
Record16-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game68.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 20
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
08 Nov 2026
AAT v PAO
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
AAT63
PAO101
12 Jan 2025
AAT80
PAO103
12 Feb 2024
AAT69
PAO89
25 Mar 2023
AAT77
PAO73
03 Apr 2022
AAT69
PAO83
26 May 2021
AAT71
PAO78
21 May 2021
AAT92
PAO80
28 Apr 2021
AAT95
PAO104
24 Sep 2020
AAT73
PAO79
05 Jan 2020
AAT100
PAO97
10 Apr 2019
AAT72
PAO104
14 Jan 2018
AAT74
PAO94
05 Nov 2017
AAT73
PAO69
22 May 2017
AAT67
PAO105
14 May 2017
AAT71
PAO70
26 Mar 2017
AAT87
PAO106
16 Feb 2015
AAT62
PAO70
18 Dec 2010
AAT78
PAO95
17 Jan 2010
AAT47
PAO85
22 Apr 2009
AAT70
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
H26/12
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#9
L
81-101
81
101
-20
68avg 71
A16/01
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
67avg 71
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
73avg 71
H29/01
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
58avg 71
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A18/02
Greek Cup
Apollon Patras
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
75avg 71
H06/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
no box
A13/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
92-75
92
75
+17
94avg 71
H19/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
55avg 71
A27/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
33-24
20-20
22-12
25-28
14-20
24-28
18-25
21-21
15-20
25-10
11-16
15-12
20-15
23-23
16-30
16-15
15-20
19-21
15-26
18-16
11-16
13-24
28-20
30-20
13-21
15-12
19-22
30-22
11-22
18-18
14-29
26-18
21-21
26-12
19-24
16-13
15-19
14-13
20-17
154.5Avg total
75.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.980.0154.9-5.150%
Season at home (8)77.973.9151.8+4.075%
Season away (10)72.684.9157.5-12.330%
Last 10 (10)75.978.6154.5-2.750%
Last 5 (5)75.475.8151.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.183.4158.5-8.327%
vs Similar (17)77.179.7156.8-2.653%
vs Weaker (1)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
83-96
83
96
-13
76avg 77
H01/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
70avg 77
H04/03
Euroleague
Ionikos
#13
W
68-61
68
61
+7
66avg 77
A07/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
75-57
75
57
+18
70avg 77
H13/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#5
L
73-101
73
101
-28
58avg 77
A17/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
88-64
88
64
+24
no box
A20/03
Basket League
Bayern
#11
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 77
H22/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
77avg 77
H26/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
83-95
83
95
-12
80avg 77
H29/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 77
H31/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-29
24-23
27-24
22-20
19-14
17-26
15-23
24-13
15-15
20-23
20-16
13-7
20-13
20-10
18-20
17-14
13-38
20-20
18-20
22-23
18-17
15-23
34-11
21-13
26-16
16-19
13-17
25-15
22-16
22-15
19-17
14-19
26-23
20-32
12-15
25-25
22-11
19-21
18-22
28-32
155.9Avg total
78.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.468.5152.8+15.994%
Season at home (9)87.669.1156.7+18.4100%
Season away (8)80.867.8148.5+13.088%
Last 10 (10)78.977.0155.9+1.960%
Last 5 (5)83.075.8158.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.685.2159.8-10.515%
vs Similar (5)79.072.4151.4+6.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.567.5152.9+18.0100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
AEK AthensPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#16
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/12
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A16/01
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H29/01
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A18/02
Greek Cup
Apollon Patras
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H19/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/03
Basket League
76.4Avg total
38.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.679.0-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.338.880.1+2.569%-
Last 30 away (17)37.940.378.2-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.038.476.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.675.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.540.676.2-5.118%-
vs Similar (17)40.839.480.1+1.459%-
vs Weaker (1)50.028.078.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H01/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H04/03
Euroleague
Ionikos
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H13/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#5
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A17/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A20/03
Basket League
Bayern
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H22/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H29/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/03
Euroleague
78.8Avg total
38.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.579.8+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.139.581.6+2.760%-
Last 30 away (10)36.539.776.2-3.230%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.478.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.679.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.143.982.0-5.838%-
vs Similar (5)40.637.678.2+3.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.535.476.9+6.255%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.3
49.2%
51.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.8
30.4%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.015.1
68.6%
72.2%15.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.6
55.8%
51.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
34.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.713.9
78.5%
72.2%13.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWLWLLLWLW
Panathinaikos
WLWWWLWWLL
#5
League position
#2
-7.4
Net rating
+3.9
101.7
Offensive rating
112.3
109.1
Defensive rating
108.5
47.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.4%
3-point %
34.1%
73.3%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 112.3Defence109.1 · 108.5Shooting47.6% · 53.9%3-point %30.4% · 34.1%Ball care17.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.4% · 27.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEK Athens wins
8
Panathinaikos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22AKolossos Rhodes65-62
19/03/22HIonikos92-75
13/03/22AAris73-91
06/03/22HApollon Patras77-75
18/02/22AOlympiacos70-76
12/02/22ALarisa65-82
29/01/22HOlympiacos74-80
22/01/22HPAOK72-67
16/01/22APeristeri81-101
26/12/21HPeristeri90-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/22HReal Madrid87-86
29/03/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-95
26/03/22HPAOK77-67
22/03/22HBayern80-67
20/03/22AKolossos Rhodes88-64
17/03/22AOlympiacos73-101
13/03/22HPeristeri75-57
07/03/22AIonikos68-61
04/03/22HOlimpia Milano75-76
01/03/22HZalgiris Kaunas83-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%75%30%
Points / game74.977.972.6
Allowed / game80.073.984.9
Point differential-5.1+4.0-12.3
Avg total154.9151.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game84.487.680.8
Allowed / game68.569.167.8
Point differential+15.9+18.4+13.0
Avg total152.8156.7148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos1716194%84.468.5+15.9
2 Olympiacos1615194%95.773.2+22.5
3 Promitheas1611569%79.877.1+2.7
4 Kolossos Rhodes1810856%75.874.7+1.1
5 AEK Athens189950%74.980.0-5.1
6 Peristeri178947%75.277.8-2.6
7 PAOK167944%75.676.3-0.7
8 Larisa167944%76.981.5-4.6
9 Aris1981142%77.077.7-0.7
10 Lavrio1871139%72.178.2-6.1
11 Apollon Patras1861233%73.079.6-6.6
12 Iraklis1851328%77.081.5-4.5
13 Ionikos1941521%75.683.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1714172169
Panathinaikos2025172183
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