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Karsiyaka vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 85-76
20-19 24-11 27-16 14-30
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#26
Record2-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game73.2
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarsiyakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#5
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H23/12
Champions League
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
86-57
86
57
+29
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fortitudo Bologna
#42
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H05/01
Champions League
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fortitudo Bologna
#42
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A12/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#8
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
20-18
27-22
23-18
24-21
22-18
21-11
19-24
22-15
16-18
17-26
15-17
23-21
24-9
21-14
18-13
26-17
19-17
22-20
17-18
19-17
22-14
16-18
23-20
25-17
26-20
18-22
17-19
20-20
25-13
12-13
21-19
21-12
15-12
13-24
23-17
22-18
25-20
20-17
18-20
152.5Avg total
81.7Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.273.0151.2+5.260%
Season at home (2)75.072.5147.5+2.550%
Season away (3)80.373.3153.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)81.770.8152.5+10.990%
Last 5 (5)80.270.4150.6+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.074.0135.0-13.00%
vs Similar (6)82.777.7160.3+5.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.371.0153.4+11.391%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A13/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A20/12
ACB
Fortitudo Bologna
#42
W
82-54
82
54
+28
H23/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#9
L
75-91
75
91
-16
H27/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
A29/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H02/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
73-106
73
106
-33
H09/01
ACB
Bamberg
#5
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A12/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A17/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
73-96
73
96
-23
H23/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
18-26
15-24
31-25
13-14
17-20
25-19
19-17
19-18
22-10
22-11
19-15
22-20
12-28
22-20
19-23
22-16
20-35
18-16
26-29
16-15
22-17
20-20
23-28
21-25
11-22
24-31
17-28
21-17
17-20
14-28
23-25
13-18
13-19
24-22
20-13
24-29
8-23
20-21
21-23
162.5Avg total
76.5Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.873.2147.0+0.640%
Season at home (3)75.070.7145.7+4.333%
Season away (2)72.077.0149.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)76.586.0162.5-9.530%
Last 5 (5)74.488.8163.2-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.586.9160.4-13.40%
vs Similar (6)87.786.5174.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (7)78.071.3149.3+6.771%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
KarsiyakaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/12
Champions League
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fortitudo Bologna
#42
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/01
Champions League
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fortitudo Bologna
#42
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A12/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#8
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.2Avg total
43.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.676.6+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.233.574.8+7.785%-
Last 30 away (17)40.837.278.1+3.665%-
Last 10 (10)43.633.677.2+10.0100%-
Last 5 (5)44.032.676.6+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.038.061.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (6)42.037.379.3+4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.235.577.6+6.782%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A13/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A20/12
ACB
Fortitudo Bologna
#42
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H23/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H27/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A29/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H09/01
ACB
Bamberg
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A17/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H23/01
ACB
76.5Avg total
34.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.041.477.4-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.439.174.5-3.740%-
Last 30 away (15)36.543.880.3-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)34.342.276.5-7.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.241.074.2-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)33.243.576.8-10.219%-
vs Similar (6)38.340.078.3-1.733%-
vs Weaker (7)38.636.775.3+1.957%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.1
55.1%
52.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.1
34.5%
35.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.315.4
75.9%
73.2%15.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.0
54.5%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.1
33.9%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.611.6
74.4%
73.2%11.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karsiyaka
WWWWWWWLWW
Bilbao
LLLLWLLWWL
#10
League position
#26
+15.7
Net rating
-12.2
116.2
Offensive rating
101.4
100.6
Defensive rating
113.5
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
20.1%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.5%
3-point %
33.9%
70.5%
Assist %
53.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 101.4Defence100.6 · 113.5Shooting54.0% · 53.1%3-point %34.5% · 33.9%Ball care16.0% · 20.1%Off. rebounds34.7% · 23.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Karsiyaka   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Karsiyaka wins
0
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
27/10/20Bilbao v Karsiyaka72-81
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21APetkim Spor85-75
17/01/21HGaziantep72-65
12/01/21AFortitudo Bologna78-65
09/01/21AFethiye Bld.86-78
05/01/21HFortitudo Bologna80-69
02/01/21ABesiktas84-72
27/12/20HOGM Ormanspor86-57
23/12/20HBamberg70-76
19/12/20AGalatasaray86-74
16/12/20ABuyukcekmece90-77
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/21HBasket Zaragoza73-96
17/01/21AMoraBanc Andorra70-72
12/01/21ABamberg75-90
09/01/21HValencia73-106
02/01/21HGipuzkoa81-80
29/12/20ASan Pablo Burgos86-96
27/12/20HUnicaja75-91
23/12/20HFortitudo Bologna82-54
20/12/20AFuenlabrada74-70
13/12/20ABasket Zaragoza76-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Champions League 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game78.275.080.3
Allowed / game73.072.573.3
Point differential+5.2+2.5+7.0
Avg total151.2147.5153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
Champions League 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game73.875.072.0
Allowed / game73.270.777.0
Point differential+0.6+4.3-5.0
Avg total147.0145.7149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg550100%85.272.2+13.0
2 Basket Zaragoza65183%87.884.0+3.8
3 Turk Telekom65183%81.279.5+1.7
4 San Pablo Burgos54180%90.676.8+13.8
5 Brindisi54180%87.083.6+3.4
6 Nymburk64267%91.078.8+12.2
7 Tofas64267%88.280.3+7.8
8 Tenerife64267%92.084.5+7.5
9 Nizhny Novgorod64267%82.777.2+5.5
10 Strasbourg64267%82.077.7+4.3
11 VEF Riga64267%80.376.2+4.2
12 Hapoel Holon64267%79.875.8+4.0
13 AEK Athens64267%85.782.0+3.7
14 Dijon64267%76.274.8+1.3
15 Sassari64267%87.388.2-0.8
16 Bakken Bears85362%87.581.1+6.4
17 Igokea85362%76.176.1+0.0
18 Karsiyaka53260%78.273.0+5.2
19 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
20 Szombathely63350%82.278.5+3.7
21 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
22 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
23 Minsk84450%75.577.8-2.2
24 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
25 Bilbao52340%73.873.2+0.6
26 Hapoel Jerusalem62433%82.080.3+1.7
27 Peristeri62433%76.377.0-0.7
28 Limoges62433%76.577.7-1.2
29 Cholet62433%76.378.0-1.7
30 Rytas62433%77.885.7-7.8
31 Keravnos82625%69.885.1-15.4
32 Darussafaka51420%76.885.4-8.6
33 Oostende51420%81.490.0-8.6
34 Galatasaray61517%82.591.8-9.3
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin6060%72.085.0-13.0
42 Fortitudo Bologna5050%63.081.8-18.8
43 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karsiyaka2024271485
Bilbao1911163076
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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