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Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-106
21-25 11-22 24-31 17-28
Position#17
Record4-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#4
Record11-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game81.4
SpainACBRound 19
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bilbao v Valencia
18 Apr 2027
BIL v VAL
upcoming
05 Jun 2026
BIL71
VAL88
02 Jan 2026
BIL72
VAL116
27 Oct 2024
BIL98
VAL103
11 Feb 2024
BIL93
VAL78
09 Oct 2022
BIL71
VAL65
09 Apr 2022
BIL84
VAL78
09 Jan 2021
BIL73
VAL106
12 Nov 2017
BIL77
VAL81
12 Apr 2017
BIL88
VAL75
15 Nov 2015
BIL104
VAL111
01 Jun 2015
BIL70
VAL71
28 May 2015
BIL75
VAL91
11 Jan 2015
BIL82
VAL80
05 Jan 2014
BIL80
VAL83
12 May 2013
BIL61
VAL72
23 Jan 2013
BIL91
VAL76
10 Dec 2011
BIL85
VAL74
22 May 2011
BIL79
VAL75
10 Oct 2010
BIL77
VAL70
27 Dec 2009
BIL79
VAL80
11 Jan 2009
BIL72
VAL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#16
W
96-89
96
89
+7
no box
A22/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
76-85
76
85
-9
64avg 66
H03/12
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
L
77-78
77
78
-1
54avg 66
H06/12
ACB
Fortitudo Bologna
#42
W
69-64
69
64
+5
64avg 66
A08/12
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
76-105
76
105
-29
51avg 66
A13/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
67avg 66
A20/12
ACB
Fortitudo Bologna
#42
W
82-54
82
54
+28
78avg 66
H23/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#9
L
75-91
75
91
-16
72avg 66
H27/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
76avg 66
A29/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 66
H02/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-14
30-25
24-27
19-19
17-19
16-14
24-33
15-16
20-21
19-23
23-18
15-18
20-23
17-5
17-18
12-30
18-26
15-24
31-25
13-14
17-20
25-19
19-17
19-18
22-10
22-11
19-15
22-20
12-28
22-20
19-23
22-16
20-35
18-16
26-29
16-15
22-17
20-20
23-28
160.4Avg total
79.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.486.3165.6-6.924%
Season at home (8)78.081.8159.8-3.825%
Season away (9)80.690.3170.9-9.822%
Last 10 (10)79.281.2160.4-2.050%
Last 5 (5)79.678.2157.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.885.5159.2-11.80%
vs Similar (6)87.786.5174.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (11)77.769.8147.5+7.973%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 79
A13/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
A16/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
73-76
73
76
-3
70avg 79
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 79
H20/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
88-82
88
82
+6
91avg 79
H23/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
101-75
101
75
+26
106avg 79
H27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
70-71
70
71
-1
63avg 79
A29/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
101-85
101
85
+16
101avg 79
H02/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
91avg 79
A04/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
70avg 79
A07/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
19-13
21-21
31-20
25-16
27-23
24-26
20-20
22-20
14-25
21-12
16-19
14-22
28-21
18-19
29-16
16-13
29-16
14-23
29-30
30-16
33-22
21-18
17-19
30-17
17-22
11-16
12-16
29-21
27-24
18-17
27-23
19-17
25-19
27-14
20-30
12-18
21-20
21-29
18-22
166.9Avg total
86.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.481.4166.8+4.165%
Season at home (9)87.783.2170.9+4.456%
Season away (8)82.979.2162.1+3.675%
Last 10 (10)86.780.2166.9+6.570%
Last 5 (5)87.080.0167.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.882.3160.2-4.533%
vs Similar (11)84.784.6169.4+0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.279.5165.7+6.877%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
BilbaoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#16
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A22/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/12
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/12
ACB
Fortitudo Bologna
#42
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A08/12
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A13/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A20/12
ACB
Fortitudo Bologna
#42
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H23/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H27/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A29/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/01
ACB
76.5Avg total
36.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.377.6-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.736.873.5-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.943.881.7-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)36.340.276.5-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.675.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.743.677.2-9.917%-
vs Similar (6)38.340.078.3-1.733%-
vs Weaker (11)39.836.075.8+3.873%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#18
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A16/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H23/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H02/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/01
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
45.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.781.6+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.141.283.4+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.079.6-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)45.239.284.4+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)48.639.287.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.542.378.8-5.833%-
vs Similar (11)41.241.082.2+0.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.839.682.4+3.254%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.9
50.5%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
36.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.6
76.5%
76.6%15.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.8
60.9%
53.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.1
38.5%
36.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.515.6
84.3%
76.6%15.6
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLLWWLWLLW
Valencia
LWWLWWWLWW
#17
League position
#4
-2.1
Net rating
+7.9
104.1
Offensive rating
119.1
106.2
Defensive rating
111.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
59.5%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.0%
3-point %
38.5%
60.4%
Assist %
70.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 119.1Defence106.2 · 111.2Shooting51.3% · 59.5%3-point %35.0% · 38.5%Ball care18.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.3% · 28.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Bilbao   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bilbao wins
7
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
11/03/18Valencia v Bilbao87-67
12/11/17Bilbao v Valencia77-81
12/04/17Bilbao v Valencia88-75
03/12/16Valencia v Bilbao83-61
31/01/16Valencia v Bilbao85-49
15/11/15Bilbao v Valencia104-111 OT
01/06/15Bilbao v Valencia70-71
30/05/15Valencia v Bilbao76-80
28/05/15Bilbao v Valencia75-91
16/05/15Valencia v Bilbao73-78
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/21HGipuzkoa81-80
29/12/20ASan Pablo Burgos86-96
27/12/20HUnicaja75-91
23/12/20HFortitudo Bologna82-54
20/12/20AFuenlabrada74-70
13/12/20ABasket Zaragoza76-105
08/12/20AFortitudo Bologna69-64
06/12/20HEstudiantes77-78
03/12/20HMoraBanc Andorra76-85
22/11/20AReal Betis96-89
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/21ABarcelona72-89
04/01/21AJoventut Badalona91-80
02/01/21HGran Canaria101-85
29/12/20ABaskonia70-71
27/12/20HGipuzkoa101-75
23/12/20HKhimki M.88-82
20/12/20HMurcia89-78
18/12/20ACrvena zvezda73-76
16/12/20AOlympiacos96-85
13/12/20AEstudiantes86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW24%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLWLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%25%22%
Points / game79.478.080.6
Allowed / game86.381.890.3
Point differential-6.9-3.8-9.8
Avg total165.6159.8170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%56%75%
Points / game85.487.782.9
Allowed / game81.483.279.2
Point differential+4.1+4.4+3.6
Avg total166.8170.9162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1716194%87.275.1+12.1
2 Barcelona1714382%84.274.2+10.1
3 Tenerife1714382%87.279.2+8.1
4 Baskonia1713476%82.476.6+5.8
5 San Pablo Burgos1712571%87.880.6+7.1
6 Valencia1711665%85.481.4+4.1
7 Joventut Badalona1710759%84.582.4+2.1
8 Unicaja179853%86.482.6+3.8
9 Murcia168850%81.982.6-0.6
10 Manresa168850%82.384.4-2.1
11 MoraBanc Andorra167944%78.278.6-0.4
12 Obradoiro CAB1661038%80.284.1-3.9
13 Gran Canaria1761135%75.382.8-7.5
14 Estudiantes1651131%79.284.8-5.6
15 Basket Zaragoza1751229%87.289.6-2.4
16 Fuenlabrada1751229%81.483.8-2.4
17 Real Betis1741324%76.283.1-6.8
18 Bilbao1741324%79.486.3-6.9
19 Gipuzkoa1721512%70.986.2-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2111241773
Valencia25223128106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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