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Kastela vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-80
23-21 14-17 21-19 20-23
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
Position#7
Record6-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 12· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kastela v Gorica
24 Jan 2026
KAST80
GORI68
11 Jan 2025
KAST78
GORI80
03 Mar 2024
KAST61
GORI67
28 Oct 2015
KAST72
GORI99
21 Apr 2015
KAST97
GORI92
28 Feb 2015
KAST97
GORI105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 80
H20/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 80
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
75-65
75
65
+10
76avg 80
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
88-64
88
64
+24
88avg 80
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-63
83
63
+20
91avg 80
H16/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 80
A23/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 80
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
W
102-72
102
72
+30
104avg 80
H01/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
127-64
127
64
+63
121avg 80
H07/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
105-69
105
69
+36
114avg 80
H14/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
12-14
24-14
19-25
5-17
26-23
26-18
19-24
18-17
18-20
20-15
19-13
18-11
21-9
24-23
25-21
18-8
17-18
20-17
28-20
28-30
20-9
31-21
20-20
26-21
20-17
20-18
22-17
20-20
23-21
26-18
33-13
38-19
29-12
29-11
31-22
28-14
21-17
32-15
24-23
160.7Avg total
91.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.869.5158.3+19.380%
Season at home (6)93.366.2159.5+27.2100%
Season away (4)82.074.5156.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)91.169.6160.7+21.590%
Last 5 (5)104.271.6175.8+32.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.074.0137.0-11.00%
vs Similar (8)72.274.9147.1-2.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.771.1158.7+16.694%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 75
H19/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 75
A26/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
95-80
95
80
+15
90avg 75
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
95avg 75
A09/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
73avg 75
H16/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
55-68
55
68
-13
46avg 75
A23/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 75
H30/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
57-80
57
80
-23
49avg 75
A07/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
48avg 75
A13/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
74-49
74
49
+25
70avg 75
A07/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
33-23
22-19
19-16
17-27
18-12
22-22
28-22
26-18
28-25
20-24
21-13
20-20
20-11
21-23
16-23
14-25
19-19
21-31
21-17
17-17
19-14
10-13
9-24
12-23
24-13
19-23
19-10
12-21
11-18
11-24
23-17
9-25
23-20
10-19
23-13
24-14
7-14
21-10
22-11
155.3Avg total
77.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.080.9157.9-3.955%
Season at home (4)84.580.8165.2+3.875%
Season away (7)72.781.0153.7-8.343%
Last 10 (10)77.677.7155.3-0.160%
Last 5 (5)65.068.6133.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.086.9159.9-13.912%
vs Similar (8)82.581.1163.6+1.475%
vs Weaker (13)82.072.0154.0+10.085%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
KastelaGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H20/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A23/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
67-31
67
31
+36
H07/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H14/12
Prva Liga
74.7Avg total
41.9Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.475.5+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.234.674.8+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.936.476.4+3.557%-
Last 10 (10)41.932.874.7+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)50.636.086.6+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.339.771.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (8)34.438.072.4-3.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.733.477.2+10.372%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H19/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A26/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A09/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H16/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A23/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A07/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A07/01
Prva Liga
75.6Avg total
37.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.380.0-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.241.384.5+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)36.339.375.6-2.953%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.375.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.635.867.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.045.080.0-10.012%-
vs Similar (8)41.037.978.9+3.175%-
vs Weaker (13)41.838.279.9+3.669%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.9
59.2%
52.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.010.7
42.8%
33.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.612.9
77.7%
70.4%12.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.4
50.2%
52.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.8
33.1%
33.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.010.7
76.4%
70.4%10.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWWWWWWWLW
Gorica
WLLWLLWWWW
#3
League position
#7
+29.1
Net rating
-1.0
120.0
Offensive rating
98.5
91.0
Defensive rating
99.5
61.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.7%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
42.8%
3-point %
33.1%
66.7%
Assist %
64.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.0 · 98.5Defence91.0 · 99.5Shooting61.1% · 50.0%3-point %42.8% · 33.1%Ball care18.0% · 19.7%Off. rebounds28.3% · 26.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Kastela   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kastela wins
7
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Kastela v Gorica61-67
25/11/23Gorica v Kastela89-67
06/02/16Gorica v Kastela98-66
28/10/15Kastela v Gorica72-99
12/05/15Gorica v Kastela87-79
21/04/15Kastela v Gorica97-92
28/02/15Kastela v Gorica97-105
22/11/14Gorica v Kastela109-77
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HBosco105-69
07/12/24HHermes127-64
01/12/24HSamobor102-72
27/11/24HOsijek88-73
23/11/24ADakovo99-80
16/11/24HOmis83-63
10/11/24AMarsonia88-64
02/11/24HSonik Puntamika75-65
27/10/24AJazine76-82
20/10/24HCrikvenica68-64
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25ABosco74-49
13/12/24ASamobor65-77
07/12/24AOmis57-80
30/11/24HSonik Puntamika74-69
23/11/24ACrikvenica55-68
16/11/24HMladost75-92
09/11/24AKK Zagreb102-97 OT
02/11/24HHermes95-80
26/10/24ADakovo85-83
19/10/24HMarsonia94-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game88.893.382.0
Allowed / game69.566.274.5
Point differential+19.3+27.2+7.5
Avg total158.3159.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%75%43%
Points / game77.084.572.7
Allowed / game80.980.881.0
Point differential-3.9+3.8-8.3
Avg total157.9165.2153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1110191%87.779.9+7.8
2 Skrljevo119282%90.976.1+14.8
3 Mladost119282%83.676.5+7.1
4 Kastela108280%88.869.5+19.3
5 Jazine118373%95.384.5+10.7
6 Marsonia106460%83.178.3+4.8
7 Gorica116555%77.080.9-3.9
8 KK Zagreb105550%76.775.7+1.0
9 Omis104640%74.473.3+1.1
10 Sonik Puntamika103730%70.472.0-1.6
11 Crikvenica123925%67.380.1-12.8
12 Dakovo112918%76.887.2-10.4
13 Hermes1221017%77.293.6-16.4
14 Bosco121118%72.888.2-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2314212078
Gorica2117192380
← all games of the day
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