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Kastela vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 71-72
17-24 16-16 20-20 18-12
Position#6
Record11-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game74.0
Kastela
Croatia
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#5
Record11-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 19· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kastela v Samobor
01 Dec 2024
KAST102
SAMO72
17 Feb 2024
KAST71
SAMO72
19 Feb 2023
KAST103
SAMO65
07 Nov 2021
KAST71
SAMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 76
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 76
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
95-72
95
72
+23
91avg 76
H16/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 76
A23/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
71-66
71
66
+5
76avg 76
H13/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 76
H20/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
90avg 76
A24/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
51avg 76
A28/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
93avg 76
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
81avg 76
H10/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
13-21
13-14
18-13
10-18
22-25
16-16
11-14
25-15
24-16
26-20
20-21
28-19
21-21
16-20
22-21
19-15
18-21
11-15
23-15
18-23
15-16
25-23
18-18
27-4
27-22
22-15
16-23
16-16
14-15
16-22
14-12
24-24
27-19
26-15
21-13
32-16
14-10
13-22
25-18
149.2Avg total
79.0Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.174.0155.1+7.161%
Season at home (9)80.174.6154.7+5.667%
Season away (9)82.173.4155.6+8.756%
Last 10 (10)79.070.2149.2+8.870%
Last 5 (5)82.069.2151.2+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.274.6144.8-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.479.1158.5+0.238%
vs Weaker (13)84.271.1155.2+13.192%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
61avg 77
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 77
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
95-79
95
79
+16
89avg 77
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 77
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 77
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
82avg 77
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 77
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
99-65
99
65
+34
80avg 77
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
113-92
113
92
+21
116avg 77
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 77
H11/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
28-21
20-27
16-21
22-20
31-20
19-14
13-20
24-24
25-7
22-18
24-30
23-22
19-13
25-28
35-26
25-23
16-31
18-20
18-22
21-22
22-14
20-25
19-25
20-23
23-23
32-24
16-15
28-18
17-17
25-16
29-14
31-21
36-28
25-26
21-17
31-24
23-31
17-16
26-17
176.3Avg total
91.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.883.4168.3+1.461%
Season at home (9)88.182.7170.8+5.467%
Season away (9)81.684.2165.8-2.756%
Last 10 (10)91.884.5176.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)96.483.2179.6+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.990.9171.8-10.08%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.084.6160.6-8.640%
vs Weaker (11)95.080.6175.6+14.4100%
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
KastelaSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H16/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A23/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
54-26
54
26
+28
A24/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A28/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H10/02
Prva Liga
77.0Avg total
41.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.977.0+3.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.335.975.1+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.937.978.8+2.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.277.0+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.075.8+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.138.271.3-5.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.437.177.5+3.238%-
vs Weaker (13)44.735.880.5+8.877%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H11/02
Prva Liga
90.2Avg total
47.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.986.1-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.943.286.1-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.444.786.1-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)47.842.490.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)50.444.294.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.646.586.2-6.931%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.646.483.0-9.820%-
vs Weaker (11)47.039.586.5+7.573%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.0
49.8%
52.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.0
33.7%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws13.911.2
80.6%
71.2%11.2
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.8
56.0%
52.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.1
38.1%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws14.411.0
76.4%
71.2%11.0
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWLWLWWWLW
Samobor
WWWWLLWWWL
#6
League position
#5
+11.4
Net rating
+9.0
106.3
Offensive rating
114.9
94.9
Defensive rating
105.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
56.5%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.7%
3-point %
38.1%
60.7%
Assist %
59.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 114.9Defence94.9 · 105.9Shooting50.1% · 56.5%3-point %33.7% · 38.1%Ball care17.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds33.5% · 27.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Kastela   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kastela wins
0
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Samobor v Kastela52-89
19/02/23Kastela v Samobor103-65
19/11/22Samobor v Kastela66-86
05/02/22Samobor v Kastela65-81
07/11/21Kastela v Samobor71-66
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HMladost84-66
04/02/24AHermes98-71
28/01/24AOsijek60-65
24/01/24ACrikvenica92-64
20/01/24HJazine76-80
13/01/24HKK Zagreb71-66
23/12/23AMarsonia87-81
16/12/23HPodstrana95-72
09/12/23AKvarner59-73
02/12/23HOmis68-64
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HMarsonia97-88
06/02/24HMladost113-92
27/01/24HPodstrana99-65
24/01/24AHermes91-85
21/01/24HKvarner82-86
13/01/24AOsijek77-96
23/12/23HOmis102-89
16/12/23ACrikvenica95-79
10/12/23HGorica85-74
02/12/23AJazine77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game81.180.182.1
Allowed / game74.074.673.4
Point differential+7.1+5.6+8.7
Avg total155.1154.7155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%33%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game84.888.181.6
Allowed / game83.482.784.2
Point differential+1.4+5.4-2.7
Avg total168.3170.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1817194%91.172.6+18.6
2 Osijek1816289%88.175.2+12.8
3 Gorica1813572%81.674.4+7.1
4 KK Zagreb1811761%81.272.9+8.2
5 Kastela1811761%81.174.0+7.1
6 Samobor1811761%84.883.4+1.4
7 Jazine1810856%87.686.6+1.0
8 Omis189950%77.779.7-2.1
9 Hermes1771041%90.690.8-0.2
10 Marsonia1861233%80.186.3-6.2
11 Mladost1741324%77.886.1-8.3
12 Podstrana1841422%71.785.2-13.6
13 Stoja1831517%77.990.9-12.9
14 Crikvenica1831517%73.286.7-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela1716201871
Samobor2416201272
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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