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Kastela vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:45
Final 102-72
20-20 23-21 26-18 33-13
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game70.0
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game79.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 8· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kastela v Samobor
01 Dec 2024
KAST102
SAMO72
17 Feb 2024
KAST71
SAMO72
19 Feb 2023
KAST103
SAMO65
07 Nov 2021
KAST71
SAMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 75
H27/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
65-81
65
81
-16
56avg 75
A06/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
62avg 75
A12/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 75
H20/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 75
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
75-65
75
65
+10
76avg 75
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
88-64
88
64
+24
88avg 75
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-63
83
63
+20
91avg 75
H16/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 75
A23/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 75
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
16-19
17-24
24-17
24-17
17-22
9-29
15-13
9-16
13-17
21-20
22-19
13-11
12-14
24-14
19-25
5-17
26-23
26-18
19-24
18-17
18-20
20-15
19-13
18-11
21-9
24-23
25-21
18-8
17-18
20-17
28-20
28-30
20-9
31-21
20-20
26-21
20-17
20-18
22-17
151.5Avg total
79.2Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.170.0149.1+9.171%
Season at home (3)75.364.0139.3+11.3100%
Season away (4)82.074.5156.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)79.272.3151.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)86.669.0155.6+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.074.0137.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.672.4143.0-1.825%
vs Weaker (18)85.172.7157.8+12.494%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 83
H06/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-99
69
99
-30
58avg 83
A13/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
61avg 83
H16/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
105avg 83
A12/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
82avg 83
H22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 83
A27/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 83
H02/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
83avg 83
A09/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 83
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
96-84
96
84
+12
91avg 83
A23/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
25-19
12-14
21-17
13-22
25-29
13-22
18-26
19-20
15-24
18-16
21-23
28-17
25-13
29-15
15-25
27-26
25-10
14-22
17-21
19-27
25-23
29-21
19-16
33-29
23-16
25-29
18-17
18-18
22-19
19-18
25-23
13-20
30-14
18-19
20-14
29-10
24-22
22-19
21-33
165.9Avg total
85.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.379.4169.7+10.9100%
Season at home (3)87.779.0166.7+8.7100%
Season away (4)92.279.8172.0+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.680.3165.9+5.380%
Last 5 (5)90.481.4171.8+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.083.6157.6-9.614%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.283.0169.2+3.283%
vs Weaker (16)94.181.4175.4+12.7100%
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
KastelaSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A12/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H20/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A23/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H27/11
Croatian Cup
70.2Avg total
36.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.475.1+4.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.935.473.4+2.550%-
Last 30 away (16)41.235.476.6+5.856%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.570.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.072.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.339.771.0-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.934.069.9+1.938%-
vs Weaker (18)42.435.277.6+7.267%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H06/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A13/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H16/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A12/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A27/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H02/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A09/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A23/11
Prva Liga
85.5Avg total
46.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.041.587.5+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.039.187.1+8.987%-
Last 30 away (15)43.943.987.8+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)46.239.385.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.239.686.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.740.981.6-0.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.842.285.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (16)49.241.290.4+8.175%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.2
52.9%
52.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.8
34.1%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.013.9
77.2%
70.4%13.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.5
57.0%
52.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.2
32.4%
33.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
70.4%12.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWWWWLWLLW
Samobor
WWWWWWWLLW
#3
League position
#1
+9.0
Net rating
+7.3
104.7
Offensive rating
107.7
95.7
Defensive rating
100.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.5%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.1%
3-point %
32.4%
80.4%
Assist %
63.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 107.7Defence95.7 · 100.4Shooting52.2% · 53.5%3-point %34.1% · 32.4%Ball care18.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds25.4% · 24.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Kastela   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kastela wins
1
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Kastela v Samobor71-72
11/11/23Samobor v Kastela52-89
19/02/23Kastela v Samobor103-65
19/11/22Samobor v Kastela66-86
05/02/22Samobor v Kastela65-81
07/11/21Kastela v Samobor71-66
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HOsijek88-73
23/11/24ADakovo99-80
16/11/24HOmis83-63
10/11/24AMarsonia88-64
02/11/24HSonik Puntamika75-65
27/10/24AJazine76-82
20/10/24HCrikvenica68-64
12/10/24ASkrljevo65-72
06/04/24AKK Zagreb65-81
27/03/24HMarsonia85-79
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24AOmis96-84
16/11/24HSonik Puntamika81-67
09/11/24ACrikvenica84-78
02/11/24HMladost99-91
27/10/24AKK Zagreb92-87
22/10/24HHermes83-79
12/10/24ADakovo97-70
16/04/24HOsijek73-83
13/04/24AOsijek69-99
06/04/24HOsijek82-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game79.175.382.0
Allowed / game70.064.074.5
Point differential+9.1+11.3+7.5
Avg total149.1139.3156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.387.792.2
Allowed / game79.479.079.8
Point differential+10.9+8.7+12.5
Avg total169.7166.7172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor770100%90.379.4+10.9
2 Skrljevo86275%88.275.8+12.5
3 Jazine86275%96.586.0+10.5
4 Mladost86275%83.077.4+5.6
5 Kastela75271%79.170.0+9.1
6 Gorica85362%81.485.5-4.1
7 Marsonia74357%84.679.7+4.9
8 KK Zagreb73443%74.176.0-1.9
9 Sonik Puntamika83538%68.866.5+2.2
10 Omis83538%72.973.1-0.2
11 Dakovo82625%79.990.0-10.1
12 Hermes82625%79.994.2-14.4
13 Bosco81712%76.486.4-10.0
14 Crikvenica81712%68.981.0-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela20232633102
Samobor2021181372
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