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Kastela vs Sonik Puntamika Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 94-64
29-14 19-17 29-11 17-22
Position#2
Record11-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#12
Record4-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game78.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 16· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kastela v Sonik Puntamika
04 Feb 2026
KAST94
SONI64
02 Nov 2024
KAST75
SONI65
29 Oct 2022
KAST102
SONI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sonik Puntamika winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Omis
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
58avg 81
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
111-61
111
61
+50
116avg 81
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 81
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 81
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
55avg 81
H13/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
65-70
65
70
-5
55avg 81
A20/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
99-62
99
62
+37
102avg 81
H10/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A17/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
79avg 81
H24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
84-59
84
59
+25
86avg 81
A01/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
23-15
8-16
24-15
26-12
27-12
26-8
32-29
19-22
28-20
15-16
11-22
21-16
26-20
26-20
19-16
17-22
17-17
22-20
13-19
10-20
23-12
17-20
15-18
25-11
28-20
19-18
27-13
19-20
23-22
18-15
16-22
26-19
15-22
17-16
22-11
24-10
16-20
26-21
18-8
151.6Avg total
82.2Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.668.3151.9+15.373%
Season at home (7)81.070.0151.0+11.071%
Season away (8)85.966.9152.8+19.075%
Last 10 (10)82.269.4151.6+12.860%
Last 5 (5)80.867.6148.4+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.077.0126.0-28.00%
vs Similar (2)76.086.5162.5-10.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.572.4157.9+13.174%
This opponent (Sonik Puntamika) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sonik PuntamikaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPuntamika
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
L
68-71
68
71
-3
63avg 64
H15/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
58-66
58
66
-8
42avg 64
A22/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
69-66
69
66
+3
64avg 64
H29/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
70-83
70
83
-13
64avg 64
A07/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
74-76
74
76
-2
65avg 64
H13/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
60-78
60
78
-18
53avg 64
A20/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
55-65
55
65
-10
50avg 64
H10/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
76-101
76
101
-25
no box
A17/01
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
83-95
83
95
-12
79avg 64
A24/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
105-89
105
89
+16
106avg 64
H31/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
16-19
18-17
10-18
17-22
17-13
18-8
6-23
12-19
26-18
22-13
9-16
22-15
20-23
15-26
13-19
12-20
21-16
16-19
25-21
19-15
14-13
12-25
15-25
18-17
11-18
16-19
10-11
20-24
23-28
14-28
19-21
19-29
22-25
20-25
22-16
20-16
26-25
28-23
31-25
150.8Avg total
71.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.978.5150.3-6.627%
Season at home (8)71.075.9146.9-4.938%
Season away (7)72.981.4154.3-8.614%
Last 10 (10)71.879.0150.8-7.220%
Last 5 (5)75.885.6161.4-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.278.6149.8-7.333%
vs Similar (5)74.481.0155.4-6.640%
vs Weaker (7)83.676.6160.1+7.057%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
KastelaSonik Puntamika
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A20/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H10/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A01/02
Prva Liga
78.2Avg total
43.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.779.9+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.137.982.9+7.271%-
Last 30 away (16)39.637.677.2+1.944%-
Last 10 (10)43.135.178.2+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.277.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.039.059.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (2)36.549.586.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.436.880.2+6.663%-
This opponent (Sonik Puntamika) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sonik PuntamikaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H15/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A22/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H29/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A07/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H13/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A20/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H10/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/01
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A24/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H31/01
Prva Liga
77.1Avg total
37.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.075.9-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.636.775.4+1.965%-
Last 30 away (13)36.839.876.5-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.277.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.080.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.837.776.5+1.161%-
vs Similar (5)33.639.072.6-5.420%-
vs Weaker (7)38.438.176.6+0.357%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.716.6
54.1%
53.0%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.6
38.2%
32.7%37.8
🏀 Free throws15.312.6
82.4%
71.6%12.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sonik Puntamikatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sonik Puntamika: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.4
48.1%
53.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
32.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.910.8
67.9%
71.6%10.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWLWLLWLWW
Sonik Puntamika
WLLLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#12
+20.4
Net rating
-2.5
111.3
Offensive rating
92.7
90.9
Defensive rating
95.2
55.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
22.8%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.2%
3-point %
35.4%
61.6%
Assist %
63.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 92.7Defence90.9 · 95.2Shooting55.7% · 50.2%3-point %38.2% · 35.4%Ball care16.7% · 22.8%Off. rebounds31.6% · 29.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Kastela   ■ Sonik Puntamika
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kastela wins
1
Sonik Puntamika wins
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AMarsonia84-59
24/01/26HGorica80-68
17/01/26ADakovo76-79
10/01/26HNovi Zagreb99-62
20/12/25AKK Zagreb65-70
13/12/25HSkrljevo69-78
06/12/25ACrikvenica92-72
29/11/25HMladost73-80
22/11/25AOsijek111-61
15/11/25HOmis73-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HGorica105-89
24/01/26ANovi Zagreb83-95
17/01/26ASkrljevo76-101
10/01/26HMladost55-65
20/12/25AOmis60-78
13/12/25HJazine74-76
07/12/25AMarsonia70-83
29/11/25HDakovo69-66
22/11/25AKK Zagreb58-66
15/11/25HCrikvenica68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%71%75%
Points / game83.681.085.9
Allowed / game68.370.066.9
Point differential+15.3+11.0+19.0
Avg total151.9151.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%43%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sonik Puntamika
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%38%14%
Points / game71.971.072.9
Allowed / game78.575.981.4
Point differential-6.6-4.9-8.6
Avg total150.3146.9154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo1512380%95.373.3+22.1
2 Mladost1512380%84.171.8+12.3
3 Kastela1511473%83.668.3+15.3
4 Omis1510567%83.576.2+7.3
5 Jazine159660%81.378.3+3.0
6 KK Zagreb159660%78.579.0-0.5
7 Dakovo158753%83.179.4+3.7
8 Gorica158753%81.679.1+2.5
9 Crikvenica157847%77.279.0-1.8
10 Novi Zagreb167944%77.174.6+2.5
11 Marsonia156940%76.276.5-0.3
12 Sonik Puntamika1541127%71.978.5-6.6
13 Amfora1531220%77.490.9-13.5
14 Osijek160160%63.2106.4-43.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2919291794
Sonik Puntamika1417112264
← all games of the day
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