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Marsonia vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 59-84
10-24 20-16 21-26 8-18
Position#9
Record6-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#2
Record10-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game69.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 15· Sports Hall Viju
Other2025-26
Meetings · Marsonia v Kastela
01 Feb 2026
MARS59
KAST84
10 Nov 2024
MARS64
KAST88
23 Dec 2023
MARS81
KAST87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
L
67-72
67
72
-5
56avg 68
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
45avg 68
A15/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 68
H23/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
85-69
85
69
+16
82avg 68
A30/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 68
H07/12
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
76-64
76
64
+12
75avg 68
A14/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
123-67
123
67
+56
131avg 68
H20/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
71avg 68
A11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H17/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
82-65
82
65
+17
71avg 68
H25/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
15-14
13-24
23-21
12-22
8-17
18-25
23-21
25-15
20-21
7-20
21-20
21-21
17-23
26-16
21-9
15-22
23-20
26-15
19-13
23-17
23-19
14-11
16-17
35-8
28-18
30-25
30-16
11-23
16-22
25-25
31-16
19-19
14-19
23-28
30-15
28-16
13-20
22-15
19-14
155.4Avg total
81.9Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.476.0153.4+1.443%
Season at home (7)81.370.6151.9+10.757%
Season away (7)73.681.4155.0-7.929%
Last 10 (10)81.973.5155.4+8.460%
Last 5 (5)90.072.6162.6+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.585.5160.0-11.020%
vs Similar (13)82.682.6165.2+0.046%
vs Weaker (7)88.676.7165.3+11.971%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
92avg 81
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
58avg 81
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
111-61
111
61
+50
116avg 81
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 81
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 81
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
55avg 81
H13/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
65-70
65
70
-5
55avg 81
A20/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
99-62
99
62
+37
102avg 81
H10/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A17/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
79avg 81
H24/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
22-17
17-19
30-16
18-19
23-15
8-16
24-15
26-12
27-12
26-8
32-29
19-22
28-20
15-16
11-22
21-16
26-20
26-20
19-16
17-22
17-17
22-20
13-19
10-20
23-12
17-20
15-18
25-11
28-20
19-18
27-13
19-20
23-22
18-15
16-22
26-19
15-22
17-16
22-11
153.8Avg total
83.3Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.669.0152.6+14.671%
Season at home (7)81.070.0151.0+11.071%
Season away (7)86.168.0154.1+18.171%
Last 10 (10)83.370.5153.8+12.860%
Last 5 (5)77.871.4149.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.077.0126.0-28.00%
vs Similar (2)76.086.5162.5-10.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.872.1156.9+12.674%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
MarsoniaKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A15/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H23/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A30/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H07/12
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A14/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
63-26
63
26
+37
H20/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H17/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/01
Prva Liga
75.1Avg total
38.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.980.9-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.937.078.9+4.962%-
Last 30 away (17)36.745.682.4-8.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.236.975.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.278.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.241.077.2-4.840%-
vs Similar (13)39.142.581.6-3.546%-
vs Weaker (7)42.742.084.7+0.743%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A20/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H10/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/01
Prva Liga
79.5Avg total
43.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.779.5+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.137.982.9+7.271%-
Last 30 away (16)39.037.676.6+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)43.935.679.5+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.077.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.039.059.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (2)36.549.586.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.036.879.8+6.363%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.1
50.2%
53.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.1
30.9%
32.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.413.6
73.9%
71.6%13.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.8
56.2%
53.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.3
36.4%
32.7%36.9
🏀 Free throws15.212.3
80.9%
71.6%12.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marsonia
WWLWWWWLLL
Kastela
WLWLLWLWWW
#9
League position
#2
+5.8
Net rating
+21.4
103.3
Offensive rating
112.7
97.5
Defensive rating
91.3
48.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.9%
3-point %
36.4%
60.6%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 112.7Defence97.5 · 91.3Shooting48.8% · 55.3%3-point %30.9% · 36.4%Ball care17.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds35.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Marsonia   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marsonia wins
5
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Kastela v Marsonia77-72
23/02/25Kastela v Marsonia86-70
10/11/24Marsonia v Kastela64-88
27/03/24Kastela v Marsonia85-79
23/12/23Marsonia v Kastela81-87
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HDakovo82-65
17/01/26HKK Zagreb86-81
11/01/26ACrikvenica83-86
20/12/25HOsijek123-67
14/12/25AAmfora76-64
07/12/25HSonik Puntamika83-70
30/11/25AGorica85-69
23/11/25HNovi Zagreb73-76
15/11/25ASkrljevo61-85
09/11/25HMladost67-72
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HGorica80-68
17/01/26ADakovo76-79
10/01/26HNovi Zagreb99-62
20/12/25AKK Zagreb65-70
13/12/25HSkrljevo69-78
06/12/25ACrikvenica92-72
29/11/25HMladost73-80
22/11/25AOsijek111-61
15/11/25HOmis73-65
09/11/25AAmfora95-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marsonia
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW43%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game77.481.373.6
Allowed / game76.070.681.4
Point differential+1.4+10.7-7.9
Avg total153.4151.9155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW71%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game83.681.086.1
Allowed / game69.070.068.0
Point differential+14.6+11.0+18.1
Avg total152.6151.0154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%43%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo1512380%95.373.3+22.1
2 Mladost1512380%84.171.8+12.3
3 Kastela1410471%83.669.0+14.6
4 Omis1510567%83.576.2+7.3
5 Jazine159660%81.378.3+3.0
6 KK Zagreb159660%78.579.0-0.5
7 Dakovo158753%83.179.4+3.7
8 Gorica158753%81.679.1+2.5
9 Crikvenica157847%77.279.0-1.8
10 Marsonia146843%77.476.0+1.4
11 Novi Zagreb156940%74.276.0-1.8
12 Sonik Puntamika1541127%71.978.5-6.6
13 Amfora1531220%77.490.9-13.5
14 Osijek150150%63.9105.5-41.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marsonia102021859
Kastela2416261884
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